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1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) showed supercell thunderstorms that produced tornadoes, hail as large as 4.25″ in diameter and wind gusts as high as 100 mph (SPC Storm Reports) across parts of Texas and Oklahoma on 08 June 2025. Frequent pulses of overshooting tops were apparent with these thunderstorms.In the corresponding 1-minute... Read More
1-minute GOES-19 Red Visible (0.64 µm) images with time-matched (+/- 3 minutes) SPC Storm Reports plotted in red, from 2000 UTC on 08 June to 0132 UTC on 09 June [click to play animated GIF | MP4]
1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) showed supercell thunderstorms that produced tornadoes, hail as large as 4.25″ in diameter and wind gusts as high as 100 mph (SPC Storm Reports) across parts of Texas and Oklahoma on 08 June 2025. Frequent pulses of overshooting tops were apparent with these thunderstorms.
In the corresponding 1-minute GOES-19 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (below), the coldest cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures associated with some of the pulsing overshooting tops were -80ºC or colder (shades of magenta embedded within bright white regions).
1-minute GOES-19 Clean Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images with time-matched (+/- 3 minutes) SPC Storm Reports plotted in white, from 2000 UTC on 08 June to 0537 UTC on 09 June [click to play animated GIF | MP4]
1-minute GOES-19 Red Visible (0.64 µm) images with an overlay of the GOES-19 CAPE derived product (in cloud-free areas), from 2001 UTC on 08 June to 0000 UTC on 09 June [click to play MP4 animation]
Many of these thunderstorms were moving into a broad corridor of enhanced instability and moisture that was in place from northern Texas into southern Oklahoma, as shown by GOES-19 CAPE(above) and Total Precipitable Water(below) derived products.
1-minute GOES-19 Red Visible (0.64 µm) images with an overlay of the GOES-19 Total Precipitable Water derived product (in cloud-free areas), from 2001 UTC on 08 June to 0000 UTC on 09 June [click to play MP4 animation]
1-minute GOES-19 Visible images with an overlay of GLM Flash Points (below) displayed abundant lightning activity with these thunderstorms.
1-minute GOES-19 Red Visible (0.64 µm) images with an overlay of GOES-19 GLM Flash Points, from 2001-2359 UTC on 08 June [click to play MP4 animation]
GOES-18 imagery from the CSPP Geosphere site, above, shows a thin line of trade wind cumulus from which strong convection develops over Tutuila (the main island of American Samoa). The heavy rains prompted the issuance of Flood Advisories. What products or imagery might have helped in anticipating this convective development?LightningCast probabilities between 0000 and 0100... Read More
GOES-18 True Color imagery (daytime) and Night Microphysics RGB (nighttime), 2300 UTC 7 June – 0940 UTC 8 June 2025
GOES-18 imagery from the CSPP Geosphere site, above, shows a thin line of trade wind cumulus from which strong convection develops over Tutuila (the main island of American Samoa). The heavy rains prompted the issuance of Flood Advisories. What products or imagery might have helped in anticipating this convective development?
LightningCast probabilities between 0000 and 0100 UTC on 8 June, below, computed using this CSPP Geo software, show small probabilities developing by 0100 UTC. A forecaster viewing these fields might see them and conclude that something bigger is about to commence.
LightningCast Probabilities centered over Samoa, 0000-0100 UTC on 8 June 2025 (Click to enlarge)
The Clean Window infrared imagery below, from 0040 – 0110 UTC on 8 June 2025, shows the development of the convection at the western tip of Tutuila. Cooler brightness temperatures are apparent at 0050 UTC — that an the increase in LightningCast probability (shown above) might be enough to convince a forecaster that convection is starting.
GOES-18 Clean Window infrared (Band 13, 10.3 µm) imagery, 0040-0110 UTC 8 June 2025 (Click to enlarge)
GOES-18 Lifted Index fields, a field that is computed in clear skies only, shows an atmosphere slowly destabilizing around Tutuila from 2300 on the 7th to 0210 on the 8th, changing from about -1.1 to -1.7. So — the cumulus line is approaching an area that is becoming less stable. Strong convection has developed by 0200 UTC.
Derived Lifted Index (in clear skies, scaled from -3 to 5) plotted over GOES-18 Clean Window infrared (Band 13, 10.3 µm) imagery, 2300 UTC 7 June 2025 to 0210 UTC 8 June 2025 (Click to enlarge)
It’s worth mentioning that parallax errors from GOES-18, overhead at 137.2oW (compared to 171oW for Pago Pago) means that the convection that is mapped to the west of Tutuila is, in reality, over the island. Parallax computations (link) suggest that a 30000-foot storm top would be displaced by almost 9 km, or about 4 pixels. The convection was also developing in a region with a bit more moisture (as diagnosed by GOES-R Total Precipitable Water, TPW, below). Regions just east of Tutuila become more moist over the course of the animation below; TPW increases from about 1.8″ to 2″
Derived Total Precipitable Water (in clear skies, scaled from -3 to 5) plotted over GOES-18 Clean Window infrared (Band 13, 10.3 µm) imagery, 2300 UTC 7 June 2025 to 0750 UTC 8 June 2025 (Click to enlarge)
The Pago Pago sounding from 0000 UTC on 8 June 2025, below, shows abundant instability available if a modest capping inversion can be broken.
Upper Air sounding, 91765/Pago Pago, American Samoa, 0000 UTC on 8 June 2025 (Click to enlarge)
Thanks to WSO Pago Pago for alerting me to this challenging case. The interpretation of the Lifted Index is very much simpler because the colorbar bounds were changed! Change defaults to highlight subtle features.
Given that the narrow lines of tradewind cumulus are possible regions of convective development, what tools are available to monitor them at night? The Day Night Band on NOAA-20/NOAA-21/Suomi-NPP produces visible imagery at night. The image below, from the NASA Worldview site, shows a narrow line of tradewind cumulus approaching the Samoan Islands and the convection from earlier moving north of the islands. June 8th was two days before a full Moon, so there was ample illumination.
Day Night Band visible (0.7 µm) imagery from NOAA-20, 1255 UTC on 8 June 2025; the orbital path of NOAA-20 and time overhead is indicated at the western edge of the image (Click to enlarge)
Today at 17:40 UTC, NOAA decommissioned one of its three remaining legacy polar-orbiting weather satellites, NOAA-18. The spacecraft was launched on May 20th, 2005, and was declared operational on August 30th, 2005. For nearly 20 years, NOAA-18 collected weather information across the whole globe, with every point on Earth in... Read More
Today at 17:40 UTC, NOAA decommissioned one of its three remaining legacy polar-orbiting weather satellites, NOAA-18. The spacecraft was launched on May 20th, 2005, and was declared operational on August 30th, 2005. For nearly 20 years, NOAA-18 collected weather information across the whole globe, with every point on Earth in view, at minimum, every 12 hours.
The final NOAA-18 orbit collecting data over the continental United States occurred around 16:08 UTC today. At this point, the AVHRR visible/IR imaging sensor was no longer collecting infrared bands 4 and 5. The HRPT direct broadcast signal during this overpass was collected by SSEC’s X/L-band tracking antenna in Madison, and processed using EUMETSAT’s AAPP and CSPP Polar2Grid software:
Band 1: “Red Visible” [0.63 µm]
Band 2: “Vegetation Near-IR” [0.86 µm]
Band 3A: “Snow/Ice Near-IR” [1.61 µm]
Of NOAA’s 5th generation POES spacecraft, 2 remain active: NOAA-15 and NOAA-19. Both are expected to be decommissioned later this summer. Prior to today, the last NOAA polar weather satellite to be decommissioned was NOAA-16 on June 9th, 2014. The JPSS constellation (S-NPP, NOAA-20, and NOAA-21) remains active as NOAA’s primary polar-orbiting weather satellites.
True-Color imagery and GOES-R Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) imagery from early on 5 June 2025 (the imagery was captured from the CSPP Geosphere site) from GOES-West, above, and GOES-East, below, shows the a smoke plume emanating from fires in western Canada and spreading over all of southern Canada. The smoke has occasionally... Read More
GOES-West True Color Imagery with Aerosol Optical Depth, 1340-1530 UTC on 5 June 2025
True-Color imagery and GOES-R Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) imagery from early on 5 June 2025 (the imagery was captured from the CSPP Geosphere site) from GOES-West, above, and GOES-East, below, shows the a smoke plume emanating from fires in western Canada and spreading over all of southern Canada. The smoke has occasionally pushed south into the United States, as noted in recent CIMSS BlogPosts (and elsewhere). The smoke plume can be thick enough that it is misclassified as cloud in the AOD algorithm. The misclassification is affected by both satellite view angle and solar zenith angle.
GOES-East True Color Imagery with Aerosol Optical Depth, 1340-1530 UTC on 5 June 2025
What do NGFS detections look like for this ongoing event? NGFS can detect fires using observations from GOES-R or JPSS Satellites; the imagery below from the NGFS RealEarth site shows NGFS microphysics RGB imagery computed using NOAA-21 data. NOAA-21 data are downloaded at direct broadcast antennas with fire detections and imagery created in a very timely manner. Many detections are shown for this widespread wildfire event.
NOAA-21 NGFS microphysics RGB and fire detections (color-coded by Fire Radiative Power) at 1053 UTC on 5 June 2025 (Click to enlarge)
The zoomed-in view below highlights the much greater horizontal resolution of NOAA-21 v. GOES-18 over northern Canada. The higher resolution is the great advantage of JPSS satellites at high latitudes in describing the horizontal extent of a fire . The NGFS microphysics RGB imagery shows well-defined hot regions as purple that are also identified as detections. GOES-18 struggles to see many of the fires at such a high latitude.
NOAA-21 NGFS microphysics RGB imagery alone and overlain with NOAA-21 and then GOES-18 NGFS detections, 1050-1053 UTC on 5 June 2025 (Click to enlarge)
The toggle below compares the NOAA-21 and GOES-18 NGFS detections only (that is, it doesn’t include the NGFS microphysics RGB only image that is included in the toggle above).
NGFS Fire detections from NOAA-21 and GOES-18 overlain on NOAA-21 NGFS microphysics RGB imagery valid at 1050/1053 UTC on 5 June 2025 (Click to enlarge)