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South Fork Fire and Salt Fire in New Mexico

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Day Fire RGB, Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm), and “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with overlays of the Fire Power and Fire Mask derived product (2 components of the GOES Fire Detection and Characterization Algorithm FDCA) (above) displayed signatures of the South Fork Fire and Salt Fire, which started on 17 June 2024 near Ruisodo in southern New Mexico. The GOES-18 3.9 µm Shortwave Infrared brightness... Read More

1-minute GOES-18 Day Fire RGB (top left), Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm, top right), and “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with overlays of the Fire Mask (bottom left) and Fire Power derived products (bottom right), from 1800 UTC on 17 June to 0200 UTC on 18 June; State Highways are plotted in violet [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Day Fire RGB, Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm), and “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with overlays of the Fire Power and Fire Mask derived product (2 components of the GOES Fire Detection and Characterization Algorithm FDCA(above) displayed signatures of the South Fork Fire and Salt Fire, which started on 17 June 2024 near Ruisodo in southern New Mexico. The GOES-18 3.9 µm Shortwave Infrared brightness temperature exhibited by the northernmost South Fork Fire first reached 137.88ºC (the saturation temperature of GOES-18 ABI Band 7 detectors) at 2012 UTC — and that fire continually maintained the 137.88ºC saturation temperature for about 5.5 hours (ending at 0140 UTC). The 2 wildfires caused evacuations to be ordered for much of Ruisodo community.

1-minute GOES-18 True Color RGB images (source) on 17 June (below) showed the transport of dense smoke from the wildfires. Note the occasional brighter-white pyrocumulus jumps near the fire source region.

1-minute GOES-18 True Color RGB images, from 1900 UTC on 17 June to 0134 UTC on 18 June [click to play MP4 animation]

A Suomi-NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band image valid at 0809 UTC (2:09 AM local time) on 18 June (below) displayed the bright nighttime glow of the 2 wildfires near Ruisodo — with the combined smoke plume extending to the northeast and fanning out across the Texas Panhandle. Smoke occasionally restricted the surface visibility to 4-5 miles at Ruisodo Regional Airport KSRR.

Suomi-NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image valid at 0809 UTC on 18 June [click to enlarge]

1-minute GOES-18 images and derived fire products on 18 June are shown below.

1-minute GOES-18 Day Fire RGB (top left), Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm, top right), and “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with overlays of the Fire Mask (bottom left) and Fire Power derived products (bottom right), from 1500-2300 UTC on 18 June; State Highways are plotted in violet [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

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McDonald Fire in Alaska produces 2 pyrocumulonimbus clouds

10-minute Full Disk scan GOES-18 (GOES-West) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with an overlay of the Fire Mask derived product (a component of the GOES Fire Detection and Characterization Algorithm FDCA) and “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (above) showed 2 pulses of pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) clouds — exhibiting cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures in the... Read More

GOES-18 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with an overlay of the Fire Mask derived product (top) and “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (bottom) [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

10-minute Full Disk scan GOES-18 (GOES-West) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with an overlay of the Fire Mask derived product (a component of the GOES Fire Detection and Characterization Algorithm FDCA) and “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (above) showed 2 pulses of pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) clouds — exhibiting cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures in the -40s to -50s C, denoted by shades of blue to red in the 10.3 µm images — that were produced by the McDonald Fire (located just southeast of Fairbanks, Alaska) late in the day on 17 June 2024. As they moved eastward toward the Alaska/Yukon border, the first pyroCb reached a minimum cloud-top infrared brightness temperature of -53.7ºC, with the second pyroCb later reaching -54.4ºC.

A Suomi-NPP Infrared Window (11.45 µm) image valid at 2319 UTC on 17 June (below) captured the first pyroCb cloud not long after its formation — and included a cursor sample of cloud-top brightness temperatures for both the 11.45 µm (-55.58ºC) and the underlying 3.74 µm Shortwave Infrared image (+25.10ºC).  During the daytime, pyroCb cloud tops will usually exhibit significantly warmer Shortwave Infrared brightness temperatures, due to enhanced reflection of solar radiation off the smaller ice crystals found in the pyroCb anvil (reference).

Suomi-NPP Infrared Window (11.45 µm) image valid at 2319 UTC on 17 June, with a cursor sample of cloud-top brightness temperatures for both the 11.45 µm and the underlying 3.74 µm Shortwave Infrared image [click to enlarge]

A Landsat-9 Natural Color RGB image displayed using RealEarth (below) depicted the areal extent of the McDonald Fire burn scar (darker shades of brown) at 2105 UTC on 17 June, just prior to the flare-up of the wildfire that produced the 2 pyroCb clouds.

Landsat-9 Natural Color RGB image at 2105 UTC on 17 June [click to enlarge]

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Comparing Satellite Estimates for Rainfall

One of the products demonstrated at the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) in Norman in May and June this year was GREMLIN (GOES Radar Estimation via Machine Learning to Inform NWP) a tool created with Machine Learning (by Kyle Hilburn at CIRA) to use ABI and GLM data to create synthetic... Read More

One of the products demonstrated at the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) in Norman in May and June this year was GREMLIN (GOES Radar Estimation via Machine Learning to Inform NWP) a tool created with Machine Learning (by Kyle Hilburn at CIRA) to use ABI and GLM data to create synthetic radar reflectivity fields. (This article describes the product fully). GREMLIN was trained on GOES-16 CONUS data, but in these images it is displayed over American Samoa (the product has been incorporated into the AWIPS machine at WSO Pago Pago), and it’s being compared to hourly estimates of rainfall from CMORPH-2. The images below show 6 fields (at 10-minute intervals) of simulated radar and an hourly CMORPH-2 accumulation derived independently and displayed in RealEarth.

Consider the 15 different animations shown below, that step through an event with rain over the Samoan Islands. In general, the CMORPH-2 hourly accumulations on the right agree in general with where the radar estimates derived from GREMLIN suggest rain might be falling.

GREMLIN MRMS estimates 2210-2300 UTC 16 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 2259 UTC on 16 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 2310-0000 UTC 16-17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 2359 UTC on 16 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0010-0100 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0059 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0110-0200 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0159 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0210-0300 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0259 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0310-0400 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0359 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0410-0500 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0459 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0510-0600 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0559 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0610-0700 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0659 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0710-0800 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0759 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0810-0900 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0859 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 0910-1000 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 0959 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 1010-1100 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 1059 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 1110-1200 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 1159 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)
GREMLIN MRMS estimates 1210-1300 UTC 17 May 2024 (left) ; CMORPH-2 1-h rain estimates, 1259 UTC on 17 May 2024 (right) (Click to enlarge)

What should a user do when GREMLIN does or does not show rain where CMORPH-2 is or is not showing rain accumulation. It should not make a user think “Oh, this is wrong”; rather, it means a user should investigate those regions using other satellite imagery to determine whether or not rains are occurring.

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Post Fire in Southern California

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Day Fire RGB, Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm), and “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with overlays of the Fire Power and Fire Mask derived product (2 components of the GOES Fire Detection and Characterization Algorithm FDCA) (above) displayed signatures of the Post Fire, which reportedly started around 2052 UTC on 15 June 2024 near Gorman, California (in far northwest... Read More

GOES-18 Day Fire RGB (top left), Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm, top right), and “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with overlays of the Fire Mask (bottom left) and Fire Power derived products (bottom right), from 2057 UTC on 15 June to 0200 UTC on 16 June; Interstate 5 is plotted in violet [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Day Fire RGB, Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm), and “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with overlays of the Fire Power and Fire Mask derived product (2 components of the GOES Fire Detection and Characterization Algorithm FDCA(above) displayed signatures of the Post Fire, which reportedly started around 2052 UTC on 15 June 2024 near Gorman, California (in far northwest Los Angeles County). The initial GOES-18 fire detection occurred at 2104 UTC — and the 3.9 µm Shortwave Infrared brightness temperature first reached 137.88ºC (the saturation temperature of GOES-18 ABI Band 7 detectors) at 2216 UTC. The wildfire caused evacuations to be ordered for areas just west of Interstate 5.

1-minute GOES-18 True Color RGB images (source) from 2130 UTC on 15 June to 0149 UTC on 16 June (below) showed the transport of dense smoke from the wildfire. Note the occasional pyrocumulus jumps near the fire source region.

1-minute GOES-18 True Color RGB images, from 2130 UTC on 15 June to 0149 UTC on 16 June [click to play MP4 animation]

1-minute GOES-18 Day Fire RGB images (below) included plots of METAR surface reporting sites. Although the smoke plume  passed directly over KSDB and KWJF, the bulk of the smoke remained aloft (at altitudes between 2000-8000 ft, therefore casting a shadow onto the ground below) and did not significantly reduce the surface visibility at either site.

1-minute GOES-18 Day Fire RGB images with METAR sites plotted in yellow, from 2200 UTC on 15 June to 0200 UTC on 16 June [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

A NOAA-21 VIIRS Day/Night Band image valid at 0944 UTC (2:44 AM local time) on 16 June (below) displayed the bright nighttime glow of the Post Fire (between Gorman and Pyramid Lake).

NOAA-21 VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image valid at 0944 UTC on 16 June [click to enlarge]

A 27-hour animation of 1-minute GOES-18 Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm) images (below) showed the diurnal behavior of the Post Fire thermal signature as it continued to burn south-southeastward along the Interstate 5 corridor.

1-minute GOES-18 Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm) images, from 2100 UTC on 15 June to 2359 UTC on 16 June [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

In a toggle between NOAA-20 VIIRS True Color and False Color RGB images (source) at 2014 UTC on 16 June (below), the Post Fire burn scar appeared as shades of gray to reddish-orange — while an active fire front along the southern edge (from which a smoke plume was emanating) exhibited brighter shades of pink.

NOAA-20 VIIRS True Color and False Color RGB images at 2014 UTC on 16 June [click to enlarge]

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