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Aircraft turbulence associated with transverse cirrus bands

Transverse cirrus bands — narrow cirrus cloud filaments oriented perpendicular to the mean wind flow at the altitude of those cloud features — have long been recognized as indicators of potential aircraft turbulence. Such was the case on 20 September 2025, when a Mesoscale Convective System over Kansas/Oklahoma began to exhibit transverse... Read More

5-minute GOES-19 Upper-level Water Vapor (6.2 µm) images, with Pilot Reports of turbulence plotted in red, from 0946-1501 on 20 September [click to play MP4 animation]

Transverse cirrus bands — narrow cirrus cloud filaments oriented perpendicular to the mean wind flow at the altitude of those cloud features — have long been recognized as indicators of potential aircraft turbulence. Such was the case on 20 September 2025, when a Mesoscale Convective System over Kansas/Oklahoma began to exhibit transverse banding along its northern to eastern periphery as it moved eastward toward the mid-Mississippi Valley (above). Several high-altitude pilot reports of light to moderate turbulence were seen in the area of transverse banding.

A stepped comparison of GOES-19 Infrared Window (10.3 µm), Upper-level Water Vapor (6.2 µm), Near-Infrared Cirrus (1.37 µm) and Red Visible (0.64 µm) images at 1301 UTC (below) showed that the transverse cirrus bands were best visualized using the Near-Infrared Cirrus and Water Vapor (and to a somewhat lesser extent, the Infrared) imagery — the presence low- to mid-level clouds tended to mask the appearance of some of the thin high-altitude cirrus bands.

GOES-19 Infrared Window (10.3 µm), Upper-level Water Vapor (6.2 µm), Near-Infrared Cirrus (1.37 µm) and Red Visible (0.64 µm) images at 1301 UTC on 20 September, with Pilot Reports of turbulence plotted in red [click to enlarge]

Transverse cirrus bands are also occasionally observed near the axis of strong jet streaks and around the periphery of tropical cyclones.

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Resuspended volcanic ash from the 1980 eruptions of Mount St. Helens

5-minute PACUS Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Visible images (above) showed the hazy signature of resuspended volcanic ash (remaining from the 1980 eruptions of Mount St. Helens) that was being lofted from the surface by strong east-southeast winds — which were gusting as high as 38-42 mph at nearby RAWS sites — and being... Read More

5-minute GOES-18 Visible images with plots of 30-minute RAWS surface observations (yellow) and intermittent Pilot Reports of volcanic ash (red), from 1421-1921 UTC on 16 September [click to play MP4 animation]

5-minute PACUS Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Visible images (above) showed the hazy signature of resuspended volcanic ash (remaining from the 1980 eruptions of Mount St. Helens) that was being lofted from the surface by strong east-southeast winds — which were gusting as high as 38-42 mph at nearby RAWS sites — and being transported west-northwestward on 16 September 2025. Pilot reports indicated that the resuspended ash was reaching altitudes of 10000 ft at 1610 UTC and 7000-8000 ft at 1753 UTC.

In the corresponding GOES-18 Split Cloud Top Phase brightness temperature difference images (below), the resuspended ash exhibited darker shades of blue.

5-minute GOES-18 Split Cloud Top Phase brightness temperature difference images with 30-minute plots of RAWS surface observations (yellow) and intermittent Pilot Reports of volcanic ash (red), from 1421-1921 UTC on 16 September [click to play MP4 animation]

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5-minute GOES-18 True Color RGB images, from 1421-2101 UTC on 16 September [click to play MP4 animation]

True Color RGB images (source) from GOES-18 (above) provided good contrast between the hazy resuspended ash and the underlying vegetated landscape — and True Color RGB images from GOES-19 (GOES-East) (below) leveraged a more favorable forward scattering geometry later in the day to reveal that the transport of resuspended ash continued for a longer time period than was apparent in the GOES-18 imagery. The 2 sets of GOES True Color RGB images (both centered at Mount St. Helens) are displayed in the native projection of each satellite.

5-minute GOES-19 True Color RGB images, from 1541 UTC on 16 September to 0031 UTC on 17 September [click to play MP4 animation]

A side-by-side comparison of True Color RGB images from GOES-18 and GOES-19 — remapped to a common projection using Geo2Grid (below) — similarly showed that the hazy signature of resuspended ash was more apparent later into the day in GOES-19 imagery, due to enhanced forward scattering associated with the GOES-East viewing angle.

True Color RGB images from GOES-18 (left) and GOES-19 (right), from 1411 UTC on 16 September to 0001 UTC on 17 September [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

In a plot of rawinsonde data from Salem, Oregon KSLE (below) note the transition from east-southeast winds below the 790 hPa (2.1 km) level to southerly winds between that and the 635 hPa (4 km) level — this change in wind direction influenced the transport of resuspended ash, carrying it more northward as the ash reached higher altitudes (which was apparent in the GOES True Color RGB images).

Plot of rawinsonde data from Salem, Oregon at 1200 UTC on 16 September [click to enlarge]

South-facing USGS Johnston Ridge Observatory webcam images (below) offered a ground-level view of the resuspended ash that was being lofted by strong winds on 16 September.

USGS Johnston Ridge Observatory webcam images of resuspended ash on 16 September [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Resuspended ash from Mount St. Helens has also occurred with strong westerly winds.

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Outbreak of tornadoes across North Dakota

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) Visible and Infrared images (above) included time-matched (+/- 3 minutes) plots of SPC Storm Reports — which showed supercell thunderstorms that produced a south-to-north oriented swath of at least 12 tornadoes across central North Dakota on 14 September 2025. With this outbreak, a new record was set for the number of... Read More

1-minute GOES-19 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm, left) and “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm, right) images with time-matched (+/- 3 minutes) SPC Storm Reports plotted in red/blue, from 1730 UTC on 14 September to 0022 UTC on 15 September [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) Visible and Infrared images (above) included time-matched (+/- 3 minutes) plots of SPC Storm Reports — which showed supercell thunderstorms that produced a south-to-north oriented swath of at least 12 tornadoes across central North Dakota on 14 September 2025. With this outbreak, a new record was set for the number of tornadoes in North Dakota during a calendar year.

A plot of rawinsonde data from Bismarck, North Dakota at 1800 UTC on 14 September (below) indicated that the Most Unstable (MU) air parcel’s Equilibrium Level (EL) was at an altitude near 12 km, where the air temperature was around -55C (which closely corresponded to the coldest cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures seen in GOES-19 Infrared imagery).

Plot of rawinsonde data from Bismarck, North Dakota at 1800 UTC on 14 September [click to enlarge]

GOES-19 Visible and Infrared images at 2231 UTC (below) included plots of three SPC tornado reports (T) that were received very near that time — plotted at both their observed surface locations, and at their “parallax-corrected” location (assuming a mean cloud-top height of 12 km). It can be seen that that the parallax-corrected locations were moved NW, closer to the parent supercell thunderstorms.

GOES-19 Visible (left) and Infrared (right) images at 2231 UTC on 14 September, with SPC Storm Reports of three tornadoes plotted at their surface locations as well as at their “parallax-corrected” cloud-top locations [click to enlarge]

Another important ingredient helping to produce this tornado outbreak was the presence of climatologically high values of Precipitable Water (below) — the value of 1.39 inch derived from 1800 UTC Bismarck rawinsonde data was above the 90th percentile for 14 September, and not far below the daily maximum value of 1.68 inch.

Plot of annual Precipitable Water climatology for all Bismarck soundings — with the values for 14 September highlighted [click to enlarge]

Hourly SPC Mesoscale Analyses of Precipitable Water (below) depicted the broad corridor of high moisture that was being transported northward across the Dakotas on 14 September.

Hourly SPC Mesoscale Analysis of Precipitable Water across the north-central US, from 1500 UTC on 14 September to 0000 UTC on 15 September [click to play MP4 animation]

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kiko north of Hawai’i

5-minute CONUS Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Infrared images (above) revealed the exposed low-level circulation center (LLCC) of Tropical Storm Kiko as the system continued to weaken north of the Hawaiian island of Oahu, and downgraded to a Post-Tropical Cyclone at 1500 UTC on 10 September 2025. Clusters of deep convection developed north... Read More

5-minute GOES-18 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images with an overlay of GLM Flash Extent Density, from 0901 UTC on 10 September to 0001 UTC on 11 September [click to play MP4 animation]

5-minute CONUS Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Infrared images (above) revealed the exposed low-level circulation center (LLCC) of Tropical Storm Kiko as the system continued to weaken north of the Hawaiian island of Oahu, and downgraded to a Post-Tropical Cyclone at 1500 UTC on 10 September 2025. Clusters of deep convection developed north of the LLCC after 1400 UTC, which exhibited abundant satellite-detected lightning activity. Note that the LLCC passed just to the east of a semi-stationary yellow ship report around 1301 UTC — that was the RV Kilo Moana (Maritime call sign WDA7827), an oceanographic research vessel.

A comparison of GOES-18 Infrared and Visible images (below) showed that the LLCC was more distinct in the higher spatial resolution Visible imagery — however, the LLCC eventually moved beneath the canopy of growing thunderstorms after 1900 UTC, making it impossible to further track.

5-minute GOES-18 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm, left) and “Red” Visible (0.64 µm, right) images, from 1621 UTC on 10 September to 0001 UTC on 11 September [click to play MP4 animation]

The LLCC was also very apparent in GCOM-W1 AMSR2 Microwave imagery (source) not far north-northeast of Oahu at 1150 UTC (below).

GCOM-W1 AMSR2 Microwave (36.5 GHz) image at 1150 UTC on 10 September [click to enlarge]

ASCAT surface scatterometer winds (source) from Metop-B (at 0735 UTC, when Kiko was still a Tropical Storm) and Metop-C (at 2051 UTC, about 6 hours after Kiko was downgraded to a Post-Tropical Cyclone) are shown below. The depiction of the LLCC wind field was seen to degrade during the ~13 hour period between the two ASCAT images.

ASCAT winds from Metop-B (at 0735 UTC) and Metop-C (at 2051 UTC) on 10 September

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