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Cyclone Batsirai in the South Indian Ocean

US Space Force EWS-G1 (formerly GOES-13) Infrared Window (10.7 µm) images (above) showed Cyclone Batsirai in the South Indian Ocean as it rapidly intensified from a Tropical Storm at 06 UTC to Category 2 storm (at 12 UTC on 27 January) and briefly exhibited a pinhole eye — and then... Read More

US Space Force EWS-G1 Infrared Window (10.7 µm) images [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

US Space Force EWS-G1 (formerly GOES-13) Infrared Window (10.7 µm) images (above) showed Cyclone Batsirai in the South Indian Ocean as it rapidly intensified from a Tropical Storm at 06 UTC to Category 2 storm (at 12 UTC on 27 January) and briefly exhibited a pinhole eye — and then rapidly collapsed back to Tropical Storm intensity by 00 UTC on 28 January 2022 (SATCON).

EWS-G1 Visible (0.63 µm) images  (below) also displayed the rapid formation of a pinhole eye.

US Space Force EWS-G1 Visible (0.63 µm) images [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

A map of Sea Surface Temperature from the CIMSS Tropical Cyclones site (below) showed that Batsirai had been moving over relatively warm water during its period of rapid intensification. 

Sea Surface Temperature, with the track of Cyclone Batsirai [click to enlarge]

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Residual snow cover from North Carolina to Delaware

GOES-16 (GOES-East) True Color RGB images created using Geo2Grid (above) displayed the areal extent of snow cover across parts of North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland and Delaware — resulting from a 21-22 January winter storm (NWS Newport/Morehead City NC | NWS Wakefield VA) — that still remained on 24 January 2022.A Suomi-NPP VIIRS True Color RGB image along with the... Read More

GOES-16 True Color RGB mages [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

GOES-16 (GOES-East) True Color RGB images created using Geo2Grid (above) displayed the areal extent of snow cover across parts of North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland and Delaware — resulting from a 21-22 January winter storm (NWS Newport/Morehead City NC | NWS Wakefield VA) — that still remained on 24 January 2022.

A Suomi-NPP VIIRS True Color RGB image along with the corresponding GOES-16 Land Surface Temperature (LST) derived product at 1800 UTC or Noon EDT  (below) showed that LST values over deeper snow cover near the Virginia/North Carolina border were held to the upper 30s and low 40s F (shades of blue), in contrast to upper 50s and low 60s F (shades of orange) over bare ground not far to the south and west. The closest reporting station to the coldest LST value of 37ºF was Elizabeth City, NC (where the morning snow depth was 3.0 inches).

Suomi-NPP VIIRS True Color RGB image and GOES-16 Land Surface Temperature product [click to enlarge]

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SAR views of ice over the Great Lakes

In addition to its use in detecting wind fields over water (link 1, link 2), SAR data can also be used to detect ice. An example is shown above: similar domains on 20 and 24 January 2022 (from this website; this image on 20 January 2022 and this on one 24 January 2022) are toggled. There is a general increase in Lake Michigan shore... Read More

SAR estimates of wind speed/ice on 20 January at 1124 UTC and 24 January at 1124 UTC (Click to enlarge)

In addition to its use in detecting wind fields over water (link 1, link 2), SAR data can also be used to detect ice. An example is shown above: similar domains on 20 and 24 January 2022 (from this website; this image on 20 January 2022 and this on one 24 January 2022) are toggled. There is a general increase in Lake Michigan shore ice off shore of southwestern Lower Michigan. Ice concentrations have also increased in western Lake Erie, Lake St Clair, Saginaw Bay in Lake Huron, and along the southwestern shore of Lake Huron. Strong winds were occurring over Lake Huron on the 20th as denoted by the yellow enhancement over the Lake.

SAR data are best used by viewing them each day. The imagery below shows views on different days in December 2021 and January 2022 over Lakes Erie (below) and Michigan (bottom). Note how ice cover can diminish (for example, over Saginaw Bay between 16 and 20 January) in response (typically) to strong winds that can move ice to the middle of the lake where it will melt.

A similar occurrence is shown in Lake Michigan (bottom): there is a filament of near-shore ice on 21 January that had detached from the shoreline under strong southwesterly flow. On 1200 UTC on 22 January, when strong southwesterlies continued, the ice is gone. It’s also not present on 1208 UTC on 23 January, when winds shift back to northerly. Detachment of ice from the shore can be a hazard to fishermen! The Lake Michigan cases also include very strong southwesterly winds (denoted by the yellow enhancements).

Views of Lakes Erie, St Clair, and Huron, dates as indicated. (Click to enlarge)
Views of Lake Michigan, dates as indicated.

Note that ice in a cloud can also cause strong returns that can be misinterpreted as strong winds. Ice will strongly reflect the microwave signals from the RCM (RADARSat Constellation Mission) satellites. That’s the case in this image over Lake Ontario, and this summertime convection view of Lake Superior. Use caution when you see very strong winds; ask: could this be ice in the cloud, or in the lake?

GOES-16 Visible imagery, below, from 21 January 2022 (more imagery from this date is available here), shows challenges in monitoring ice in single-banded imagery. The detached shoreline ice noted in the SAR imagery becomes more faint with time, suggesting melting. The ice over southern Lake Michigan is apparent. Clouds over western Lake Erie make it very hard to interpret ice coverage there.

GOES-16 Visible imagery, 1601-2156 UTC on 21 January 2022 (Click to enlarge)

Very cold air is forecast to overspread the Great Lakes this week. Check to see if ice coverage increases at this link!

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The Great Lakes, viewed using GOES-16 and NOAA-20 imagery

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) displayed mesovortices over southern Lake Michigan on 21 January 2022. The formation of these mesovortex features was aided by a mid-lake convergence of surface winds, which was suggested by RAP40 surface wind fields and shown n more detail by Metop-C ASCAT... Read More

GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) displayed mesovortices over southern Lake Michigan on 21 January 2022. The formation of these mesovortex features was aided by a mid-lake convergence of surface winds, which was suggested by RAP40 surface wind fields and shown n more detail by Metop-C ASCAT winds from this site (below).

Metop-C ASCAT surface scatterometer winds [click to enlarge]

Farther to the north, in spite of a cold night across northeast Wisconsin and Upper Michigan — with morning low temperatures of -30ºF at Laona, Wisconsin and -39ºF at Amasa, Michigan — GOES-16 Visible images (below) showed that southerly winds helped to open an ice lead near the center of Green Bay, with a slow northward drift of pack ice in the northern half of the bay. A lone ice floe was also seen moving northward near the western edge of the clouds in Lake Michigan.

 GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images [click to play animated GIF |MP4]

A toggle between NOAA-20 VIIRS True Color and False Color RGB images (below) revealed a more detailed view of the ice structure — and also showed the narrow southwest-to-northeast oriented damage path that remained from a June 2007 EF-3 tornado that went through a portion of Menominee, Langlade and Oconto counties. The higher spatial resolution of the VIIRS imagery helped to highlight the aforementioned isolated ice floe in Lake Michigan (which appeared as cyan in the False Color RGB image).

NOAA-20 VIIRS True Color and False Color RGB images [click to enlarge]

To the east, mesovortices were also observed in Lake Huron – long with ice floes drifting away from the coast of Lower Michigan (below).

GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

A was the case in Lake Michigan, these Lake Huron mesovortices were forming along an axis of surface wind convergence, seen in Metop-B ASCAT data (below).

Metop-B ASCAT surface scatterometer winds [click to enlarge]

A larger-scale toggle between NOAA-20 VIIRS True Color and False Color RGB images — created using data received from the SSEC/CIMSS Direct Broadcast ground station — provided a view of the entire Great Lakes region (below). 

NOAA-20 VIIRS True Color RGB and False Color RGB images (credit: Margaret Mooney, CIMSS) [click to play animation]

===== 23 January Update =====

GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

On 23 January, GOES-16 Visible images (above) showed that northwesterly winds were causing a few ice floes to drift eastward out of Green Bay and into Lake Michigan.

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