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Turbulence over New England caused by Lee

Hurricane Lee, moving northward off the east coast of the United States, is generating a large cirrus shield (see the ABI Band 4 image below) at high levels over New England, as also shown in the Air mass RGB shown above. The corrugated features in the cirrus are well-known predictors... Read More

Air mass RGB over Hurricane Lee, 1336 – 2051 UTC, along with PIREPs of turbulence and CIMSS estimates of Turbulence Probability, 1336 – 2051 UTC 15 September 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Hurricane Lee, moving northward off the east coast of the United States, is generating a large cirrus shield (see the ABI Band 4 image below) at high levels over New England, as also shown in the Air mass RGB shown above. The corrugated features in the cirrus are well-known predictors of aircraft turbulence, and pilot reports of observations are common within the field of cirrus (as shown in these blog posts). Additionally, the CIMSS Turbulence product, a prediction developed using Machine Learning and ABI Channels 8 (Upper-level water vapor, 6.19 µm) and 13 (Clean window infrared, 10.3 µm), along with GFS thermondynamic fields, shows a high probability of turbulence in the region where turbulence is observed. CIMSS turbulence probability fields are also available online here. A training recording (mp4) on the product is here.

GOES-East ABI Cirrus Channel (Band 4, 1.37 µm), 2006 UTC, 15 September 2023 (Click to enlarge)

For the latest on Hurricane Lee, refer to the National Hurricane Center (USA, Canada). Information is also available at the NWS Forecast Offices in Boston, Portland (Gray Maine), and Caribou.


Many thanks to Professor Rick DiMaio at Lewis University for focusing our attention on this event!

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Hurricane Lee passes west of Bermuda

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) showed Category 1 Hurricane Lee as it moved northward between Buoy 41048 and Bermuda (station identifier TXKF) on 14 September 2023. As shown in the plot below, the highest wind gust at Buoy 41048 was 41.0 m/s (79.7 knots, or 97.7 mph) at 2010 UTC (data transmission... Read More

GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images, from 1700-2225 UTC on 14 September [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) showed Category 1 Hurricane Lee as it moved northward between Buoy 41048 and Bermuda (station identifier TXKF) on 14 September 2023. As shown in the plot below, the highest wind gust at Buoy 41048 was 41.0 m/s (79.7 knots, or 97.7 mph) at 2010 UTC (data transmission from the buoy ceased after 2310 UTC). The strong winds from Lee produced wave heights to 32 ft — and produced upwelling that cooled the water temperature several degrees.

Plot of wind speed (blue), wind gust (red) and air pressure (green) at Buoy 41048

In 1-minute GOES-16 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (below), the coldest cloud tops exhibited infrared brightness temperatures around -80ºC (brighter shades of white embedded within darker black regions).

GOES-16 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images, from 1700 UTC on 14 September to 0300 UTC on 15 September [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Analyses of deep-layer wind shear from the CIMSS Tropical Cyclones site (below) showed that Lee was moving into an environment of increasingly unfavorable shear as it gained latitude — which was acting to suppress the development of deep convection and the maintenance of a well-defined eye.

Storm-centered GOES-16 Water Vapor images at 3-hour intervals, with analyses of deep-layer wind shear

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Storm Daniel moves inland across northeastern Libya

Daytime EUMETSAT Meteosat-10 High Resolution Visible (0.8 µm) images (above) showed Storm Daniel as it developed into a Medicane over the southern Mediterranean Sea on 09 September (with convective bands wrapping around the storm center), then moved inland across northeastern Libya on 10 September 2023.Hourly MIMIC Total Precipitable Water images from 09 to11... Read More

EUMETSAT Meteosat-10 High Resolution Visible (0.8 µm) images, from ~0430-1600 UTC on 08/09/10 September; HLLB denotes Benghazi, Libya [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Daytime EUMETSAT Meteosat-10 High Resolution Visible (0.8 µm) images (above) showed Storm Daniel as it developed into a Medicane over the southern Mediterranean Sea on 09 September (with convective bands wrapping around the storm center), then moved inland across northeastern Libya on 10 September 2023.

Hourly MIMIC Total Precipitable Water images from 09 to11 September (below) displayed bands of TPW in the 2.0-3.0 inch range (darker shades of red) wrapping around the center of Storm Daniel as it moved inland — causing heavy rainfall and extensive flooding (see this Climate Connections blog post for more details). Ship reports indicated that water temperatures in the central Mediterranean Sea — where Storm Daniel had meandered for a few days before approaching Libya — were in the 77-79ºF range.

MIMIC Total Precipitable Water images, from 2200 UTC on 09 September to 1600 UTC on 11 September [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

As the center of Storm Daniel was approaching the Libya/Egypt border on 11 September, a MIMIC Total Precipitable Water image with an overlay of Metop-C ASCAT surface scatterometer winds at 0800 UTC showed a long fetch of winds in the 25-33 knot range (red barbs) approaching the coast of Libya — then at 1100 UTC, a ship report within the same region of that ASCAT fetch reported a wind speed of 40 knots (below).

MIMIC Total Precipitable Water images, with an overlay of Metop-C ASCAT surface scatterometer winds at 0800 UTC and an overlay of surface/ship reports at 1100 UTC on 11 September [click to enlarge]

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Eruption of Kilauea on the Big Island of Hawai`i

5-minute PACUS Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm) and SO2 RGB images (above) showed the thermal anomaly (heat signature) and a plume of SO2 (brighter shades of cyan) for 1.5 hours following the onset of an eruption of Kilauea on the Big Island of Hawai`i late in the day on 10... Read More

GOES-18 Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm, top) and SO2 RGB images (bottom), from 0051-0231 UTC on 11 September [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

5-minute PACUS Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm) and SO2 RGB images (above) showed the thermal anomaly (heat signature) and a plume of SO2 (brighter shades of cyan) for 1.5 hours following the onset of an eruption of Kilauea on the Big Island of Hawai`i late in the day on 10 September 2023.

The Kilauea eruption began at 0115 UTC on 11 September (3:15 PM HST on 10 September) — and about 15 minutes later, the GOES-18 3.9 µm Shortwave Infrared brightness temperature sensed at the volcano summit reached 137.88ºC (below) — which is the saturation temperature of GOES-18 ABI Band 7 detectors.

Cursor sample of GOES-18 Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm, top) and SO2 RGB (bottom) images at 0131 UTC [click to enlarge]

GOES-18 True Color RGB + Nighttime Microphysics RGB images from the CSPP GeoSphere site (below) displayed the volcanic plume as it moved southwest; the Kilauea summit’s thermal anomaly appeared as darker blue pixels in the final (0411 UTC) Nighttime Microphysics RGB image of the animation.

GOES-18 True Color RGB + Nighttime Microphysics RGB images, 0056-1101 UTC on 11 September [click to play MP4 animation]

A longer animation of larger-scale GOES-18 Shortwave Infrared and SO2 RGB images (below) revealed the continued southwest transport of the SO2 plume for about 10 hours post-eruption. The GOES-18 Shortwave Infrared brightness temperature sensed at the Kilauea summit remained at the aforementioned 137.88ºC saturation temperature for nearly the entire time period shown.

GOES-18 Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm) and SO2 RGB images, 0051-1101 UTC on 11 September [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

A Suomi-NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image valid at 1247 UTC or 2:47 AM HST (below) showed a large bright signature over the Kilauea area, due to the intense glow of the volcanic lava flows. The VIIRS instrument was scanning from NW to SE; note the dark streak extending SE of the bright Kilauea glow, which was a hysteresis effect due to the sensor becoming saturated by the intense volcanic signature.

Suomi-NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image, valid at 1247 UTC [click to enlarge]

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