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Category: ProbSevere

NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere with a tornadic cell in Kansas/Oklahoma

April 26 2016 was a day of well-anticipated severe weather (even a week out!) over the central and southern Plains, with a Moderate Risk of Severe Weather predicted for parts of Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas. The GOES-14 visible animation, above, shows the development of strong thunderstorms in north-central Oklahoma that propagated into south central Kansas, producing hail around 2000 UTC. Note the presence of an... Read More

Strong Winter Storm over the upper Ohio River Valley with severe weather in the Mid-Atlantic

A strong winter storm produced a swath of winter weather from Arkansas through lower Michigan on 23-24 February. GOES-14 SRSO-R Imagery was centered on the occluded storm on 24 February, and the water vapor animation, above (available here as an animated gif image), shows strong flow north-northwest from the Mid-Atlantic states into the Upper Midwest,... Read More

NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere with a Nebraska Hailstorm

A severe hail-producing thunderstorm moved over northeast Nebraska before noon on 22 September (SPC Storm Reports). The region hit was just south of a Marginal Risk of Severe Weather (The update at 1630 UTC included the region of severe weather). The GOES-13 visible animation, above, shows the initial development occurring along a subtle cloud line aligned mostly east-west.The NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere model produces... Read More