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LightningCast domain size over American Samoa increased

At the request of Pacific Region Headquarters, the LightningCast domain centered on American Samoa has increased. At 1840 UTC, the domain roughly doubled, as shown in the two screen shots below from the RealEarth site. The Red Box captures the size of the previous domain; note that at 1900 UTC the contours extend... Read More

At the request of Pacific Region Headquarters, the LightningCast domain centered on American Samoa has increased. At 1840 UTC, the domain roughly doubled, as shown in the two screen shots below from the RealEarth site. The Red Box captures the size of the previous domain; note that at 1900 UTC the contours extend from 160oW westward to the dateline. The north-south domain size has also increased. The 1940 UTC image at the bottom of this post includes the new domain.

NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere LightningCast Probabilities over the American Samoa domain, 1830 and 1900 UTC on 6 May 2024 (Click to enlarge)
NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere LightningCast Probabilities over the new American Samoa domain shown in red, 1940 UTC on 6 May 2024 (Click to enlarge)

Users will note that contours that touch the dateline in RealEarth will be drawn incorrectly (as shown here). This is being investigated. The AWIPS screen-capture, below, courtesy Eric Jacobsen, NWS/PRH, shows the display in AWIPS.

AWIPS Screen-capture of LightningCast Probabilities overlain on top of GOES-18 Band 13 infrared (10.3 µm) imagery, 1950 UTC on 6 may 2024 (Click to enlarge)

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River valley fog in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa

5-minute CONUS Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) showed narrow tendrils of river valley fog — along a portion of the Mississippi River and a few of its tributaries in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa — which dissipated after sunrise on 05 May 2024.In southwest Wisconsin, the GOES-16 Marginal Visual Flight Rules (MVFR)... Read More

GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images, with/without plots of 15-minute METAR surface reports [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

5-minute CONUS Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) showed narrow tendrils of river valley fog — along a portion of the Mississippi River and a few of its tributaries in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa — which dissipated after sunrise on 05 May 2024.

GOES-16 MVFR Fog Probability derived product, with plots of 15-minute METAR surface reports [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

In southwest Wisconsin, the GOES-16 Marginal Visual Flight Rules (MVFR) Fog Probability derived product (above) correctly displayed an area of increased MVFR Probabillty just north of KCMY-KVOK beginning at 0801 UTC — and at 0901 UTC the visibility at the METAR site located within that region of higher probability dropped to 1/4 mile with fog. At 1101 UTC, surface reports at 2 sites in southwest Wisconsin reported Freezing Fog, with visibility as low as Zero to 1/4 mile. While the MVFR product did display low to medium probability values for some of the more pronounced areas of river valley fog, many of the fog features were too narrow to be resolved by the 2-km resolution Infrared data from GOES.

The GOES-16 Low Cloud Thickness derived product (below) indicated that most of the fog and low stratus across the region was only 500-800 ft thick — with some of the more pronounced areas of river valley fog exhibiting values of 1000-1200 ft.

GOES-16 Low Cloud Thickness derived product, with plots of 15-minute METAR surface reports [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

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Cyclone Hidaya reaches Category 1 Hurricane intensity

EUMETSAT Meteosat-9 Infrared Window (10.8 µm) images (above) showed Cyclone Hidaya as it intensified from a Tropical Storm (at 1200 UTC on 02 May) to Category 1 Hurricane intensity at 0000 UTC on 03 May 2024 (advisory | discussion). JTWC later noted that Hidaya had become the most intense tropical... Read More

EUMETSAT Meteosat-9 Infrared Window (10.8 µm) images, from 1200 UTC on 02 May to 1200 UTC on 03 May [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

EUMETSAT Meteosat-9 Infrared Window (10.8 µm) images (above) showed Cyclone Hidaya as it intensified from a Tropical Storm (at 1200 UTC on 02 May) to Category 1 Hurricane intensity at 0000 UTC on 03 May 2024 (advisory | discussion). JTWC later noted that Hidaya had become the most intense tropical cyclone on record for this region, peaking at 80 kt (discussion).

A DMSP-18 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) image at 0024 UTC on 03 May, from the CIMSS Tropical Cyclones site (below) revealed a well-defined eye and surrounding eyewall structure.

DMSP-18 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) image at 0024 UTC on 03 May [click to enlarge]

Cyclone Hidaya had been moving across warm water and through an environment of fairly low deep-layer wind shear (below), two factors which were favorable for intensification.

Meteosat-9 Infrared Window images, with contours and streamlines of deep-layer wind shear at 0000 UTC on 03 May [click to enlarge]

An overpass of RCM-3 provided Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery (source) at 1531 UTC on 02 May (below) — the maximum sensed wind speed was 74.94 kt in the SE quadrant of the eyewall.

RCM-3 SAR image at 1531 UTC on 02 May [click to enlarge]

However, an overpass of RCM-3 at 1539 UTC on 03 May (below) sensed a maximum velocity of 92.29 kt in the NE quadrant.

RCM-3 SAR image at 1539 UTC on 03 May [click to enlarge]

===== 04 May Update =====

EUMETSAT Meteosat-9 Infrared Window (10.8 µm) images, from 1200 UTC on 03 May to 1200 UTC on 04 May [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Although Hidaya weakened to Tropical Storm intensity at 0000 UTC on 04 May (track), Meteosat-9 Infrared images (above) showed that a few brief convective bursts occurred as the tropical cyclone was approaching the coast of Tanzania. Hidaya made landfall by about 0300 UTC on 04 May (near Mafia Island), while still at Tropical Storm intensity.

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30-second imagery of severe thunderstorms over Oklahoma and Kansas

Overlapping 1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sectors provided 30-second interval GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) — which showed thunderstorms that produced tornadoes, large hail (up to 4.4 inches in diameter) and damaging winds (SPC Storm Reports) across western Oklahoma on 30 April 2024. Pulses of overshooting tops and evidence of Above-Anvil Cirrus Plumes (reference | VISIT training | blog posts) were... Read More

30-second GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with time-matched SPC Storm Reports plotted in red [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Overlapping 1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sectors provided 30-second interval GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) — which showed thunderstorms that produced tornadoes, large hail (up to 4.4 inches in diameter) and damaging winds (SPC Storm Reports) across western Oklahoma on 30 April 2024. Pulses of overshooting tops and evidence of Above-Anvil Cirrus Plumes (reference | VISIT training | blog posts) were apparent in the Visible imagery.

A longer animation of 30-second GOES-16 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (below) extended a few hours past sunset. The coldest overshooting top infrared brightness temperatures were in the -75 to -78ºC range (brighter shades of white).

30-second GOES-16 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images with time-matched SPC Storm Reports plotted in cyan [click to play animated GIF |  MP4]

Small Radiance Anomaly along the Focal Plane Array

An anomaly that’s immediately obvious is a “flicker” between Infrared images from the 2 Mesoscale Sectors (which was also evident in full bit depth AWIPS imagery). This oscillation is also seen in a McIDAS-X “radiance” animation of alternating Meso Sectors — where radiance values of 120 to 10 are mapped to brightness values from 0 to 255. This anomaly was due to combining 1-minute images from the upper portion of Meso 1 with 1-minute images from the lower portion of Meso 2 (figure) to create 30-second imagery; as the GOES ABI scans each Mesoscale Sector, a swath-to-swath discontinuity is mainly caused by the difference in detector response at the ends of the focal plane array (FPA) — depending on the location in the ABI field of regard (thanks to Tim Schmit, NOAA/NESDIS for tracking down the explanation for this image anomaly, which came from F. Yu, GOES Calibration Working Group). In general, the magnitude of these differences are less than 0.1 K @300 K (although for an extremely cold scene, the brightness temperature difference may be larger than 1 K). These difference values are within the ABI design specification.
Note that brightness temperature discontinuities can sometimes be seen between ABI horizontal scan swaths, if the scene is very cold. One such ABI Band 13 example was seen with Hurricane Zeta (from this blog post). In addition, here’s an example from Zeta showing a scan swath discontinuity from 3 GOES-16 sectors (Full Disk, CONUS and Mesoscale).

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Farther to the north, 30-second GOES-16 Visible images centered over southern Kansas (below) also displayed pulses of overshooting tops and signatures of Above-Anvil Cirrus Plumes.

30-second GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images with time-matched SPC Storm Reports plotted in red [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

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