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Turbulence aboard Lufthansa flight 469 from Austin TX to Frankfort

From the CIMSS Satellite Blog mailbag: This morning Lufthansa flight DLH469 AUS-IAD at FL370 0011Z at 34.9198N 89.5592W turbulence event, with 4 minor injuries. Your product (ed. note: The CIMSS Turbulence Product, available here) had highlighted the area up pretty well! The Flight Log for this Airbus A330, snipped from... Read More

From the CIMSS Satellite Blog mailbag:

This morning Lufthansa flight DLH469 AUS-IAD at FL370 0011Z at 34.9198N 89.5592W turbulence event, with 4 minor injuries. Your product (ed. note: The CIMSS Turbulence Product, available here) had highlighted the area up pretty well!

The Flight Log for this Airbus A330, snipped from the FlightAware website (direct link), below, shows the changes in speed/altitude that occurred with this event.

Flight Log of DLH469, 000817 – 001427 UTC on 2 March 2023 (Click to enlarge)

The CIMSS Turbulence product at 0000 UTC, just before that event is shown below. Note that 34.9198oN / 89.5592oW is very near the middle of the Mississippi/Tennessee border.

Probability of Moderate-or-Greater (MOG) Turbulence, Flight levels 36000 – 37000 feet, 0000 UTC on 2 March 2023 (click to enlarge)

The animation from 2300 UTC on 1 March through 0100 UTC on 2 March, below, shows a general expansion of the area with larger MOG Probabilities along the northern Mississippi border with Tennessee.

MOG Probability contours, 2300 UTC on 1 March through 0100 UTC 2 March 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Radar imagery from NQA, shown below (courtesy Don Eick, NTSB), shows the path of the plane into the observed convection.

WSR-88D Radar Imagery from KNQA, 0011/0012 UTC on 2 March 2023 for a scan angle of 9.98o (left) and 12.5o (right). White dots show the plane’s path into the convection (Click to enlarge)

What did the satellite imagery show for this event? Band 8 (Upper level water vapor, 6.19 µm) and Band 13 (Clean Window, 10.3 µm) infrared imagery, below, shows the plane flying through a region of developing convection. How adept are you at picking out the region of convection associated with this turbulence?

GOES-16 Band 8 (Upper Level Water Vapor, 6.19 µm) and Band 13 (Clean Window, 10.3 µm) infrared imagery, 2301 UTC on 1 March 2023 through 0101 UTC on 2 March 2023 (Click to enlarge)

The imagery below brackets the time of the convection, and the region of turbulence is circled. The satellite imagery shows multiple convective towers erupting.

GOES-16 Band 8 (Upper Level Water Vapor, 6.19 µm) and Band 13 (Clean Window, 10.3 µm) infrared imagery, 0006 UTC — 0016 UTC on 2 March 2023; the region where the aircraft encountered turbulence is circled (Click to enlarge)

The plane diverted to Dulles (KIAD) because of injuries on board. The screencapture below is from an Instagram user on board the plane. Flight information from FlightAware shows that the flight continued for about an hour after the turbulence before the diversion to Dulles.

Instagram imagery from Camila McConaughey (click to enlarge)

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SAR data over American Samoa, part VII

RADARSAT-2 overflew the Samoan Islands shortly after sunset on 4 March 2023, as shown above. The NRCS and derived wind fields show light winds over the entire region. The toggle below show Metop-B and Metop-C ASCAT winds between 0800 and 1000 UTC on 5 March. Those instruments also detect light winds.MIMIC Total Precipitable water fields, below,... Read More

Derived Winds and Normalized Radar Cross Section over the Samoan Islands, 0552 UTC on 5 March 2023 (Click to enlarge)

RADARSAT-2 overflew the Samoan Islands shortly after sunset on 4 March 2023, as shown above. The NRCS and derived wind fields show light winds over the entire region. The toggle below show Metop-B and Metop-C ASCAT winds between 0800 and 1000 UTC on 5 March. Those instruments also detect light winds.

Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) winds from the ascending pass of Metop C (0848 UTC) and Metop-B (0935 UTC) on 5 March 2023 (click to enlarge)

MIMIC Total Precipitable water fields, below, from 0000 UTC 04 March through 0000 UTC 06 March, show the Samoan islands north of an active storm path (cyclone Kevin moves from 170oE to 170oW during the animation, the remains of cyclone Judy move from 170oW to 150oW during the animation), and south of a region of moisture moving in slowly from the east.

MIMIC Total Precipitable Water fields, 0000 UTC 04 March – 0000 UTC 06 March 2023 (Click to enlarge)

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Cyclone Kevin reaches Category 4 intensity

Only 2 days after Cyclone Judy, Cyclone Kevin traversed the far southern islands of Vanuatu on 03 March 2023 — and due to a favorable environment of low deep-layer wind shear coupled with warm Sea Surface Temperature, the storm reached Category 3 Intensity at 1800 UTC. Kevin displayed a distinct eye, with feeder bands wrapping into the... Read More

Only 2 days after Cyclone Judy, Cyclone Kevin traversed the far southern islands of Vanuatu on 03 March 2023 — and due to a favorable environment of low deep-layer wind shear coupled with warm Sea Surface Temperature, the storm reached Category 3 Intensity at 1800 UTC. Kevin displayed a distinct eye, with feeder bands wrapping into the storm center, in DMSP-17 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) imagery at 1848 UTC (below).

DMSP-17 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) image at 1848 UTC (from theCIMSS Tropical Cyclonessite) [click to enlarge]

Kevin continued to strengthen during the day, reaching Category 4 intensity (130 knot wind speed) at 0000 UTC on 04 March (SATCON) — JMA Himawari-9 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images (below) showed a well-defined eye, surrounded by cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures in the -80ºC to -90ºC range.

JMA Himawari-9 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

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Severe weather (and record low pressure) across the Tennessee/Ohio Valley

GOES-16 (GOES-East) Air Mass RGB images (above) include plots of time-matched Local Storm Reports — which showed some of the impacts of a deep low pressure system (surface analyses) that moved northeastward across the Tennessee and Ohio Valley on 03 March 2023. A Mesoscale Domain Sector was positioned over part of that area — and 1-minute... Read More

GOES-16 Air Mass RGB images, with and without plots of time-matched Local Storm Reports [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

GOES-16 (GOES-East) Air Mass RGB images (above) include plots of time-matched Local Storm Reports — which showed some of the impacts of a deep low pressure system (surface analyses) that moved northeastward across the Tennessee and Ohio Valley on 03 March 2023

A Mesoscale Domain Sector was positioned over part of that area — and 1-minute GOES-16 “Red” Visible  (0.64 µm) images (below) included time-matched (+/- 3 minutes) plots of SPC Storm Reports. Tornadoes, wind gusts to 77 mph and hail of 1.00 inch diameter were reported.

GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images, with time-matched SPC Storm Reports plotted in red [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

This storm also set new all-time record low pressures at a few locations.

The lowest pressure record (977.5 hPa) was set at Evansville, Indiana — a plot of their weather conditions is shown below.

Plot of surface weather conditions at Evansville, Indiana [click to enlarge]

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