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Super Typhoon Bolaven reaches Category 5 intensity

Target Sector (2.5-minute interval) JMA Himawari-9 AHI Red Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) and Clean Infrared Window (10.4 µm) mages (below) showed Super Typhoon Bolaven as it reached Category 5 intensity west of the Northern Mariana Islands at 0000 UTC (SATCON) on 11 October 2023. Bolaven was an annular tropical cyclone, exhibiting a symmetric eye surrounded by a... Read More

JMA Himawari-9 Red Visible (0.64 µm) images, from 2012 UTC on 10 October to 0752 UTC on 11 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Target Sector (2.5-minute interval) JMA Himawari-9 AHI Red Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) and Clean Infrared Window (10.4 µm) mages (below) showed Super Typhoon Bolaven as it reached Category 5 intensity west of the Northern Mariana Islands at 0000 UTC (SATCON) on 11 October 2023. Bolaven was an annular tropical cyclone, exhibiting a symmetric eye surrounded by a broad ring of dense and cold deep convection.

JMA Himawari-9 Clean Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images, from 2012 UTC on 10 October to 0752 UTC on 11 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

A closer view of Himawari-9 Visible and Infrared mages (below) revealed mesovortices within the eye, as well as the distinct stadium effect of the eye (with its edges sloping outward with height).

JMA Himawari-9 Red Visible (0.64 µm, left) and Clean Infrared Window (10.4 µm, right) images, from 2102 UTC on 10 October to 0702 UTC on 11 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Microwave (85 GHz) images from DMSP-16 (at 0818 UTC) and AMSR2 (at 1627 UTC) from the CIMSS Tropical Cyclones site (below) displayed a compact and fully closed eyewall.

DMSP-16 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) image at 0818 UTC [click to enlarge]


AMSR2 Microwave (85 GHz) image at 1627 UTC [click to enlarge]

A noctrnal Suomi-NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image valid at 1647 UTC (below) showed a pronounced packet of mesospheric airglow waves (reference) propagating southward away from the eye of Bolaven.

Suomi-NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image, valid at 1647 UTC [click to enlarge]

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Resuspended volcanic ash from the 1912 Novarupta-Katmai eruption

GOES-18 (GOES-West) Dust RGB images (above) showed a plume of resuspended volcanic ash (brighter shades of pink) from the 1912 Novarupta-Katmai eruption in Alaska, which was being transported offshore across the Shelikof Strait (and Buoy 46077, where the peak wind gusts were 31 knots) toward Kodiak Island on 10 October 2023. Surface ash within the Valley Of Ten Thousand Smokes was being lofted by a... Read More

GOES-18 Dust RGB images, from 2330 UTC on 09 October to 0100 UTC on 11 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

GOES-18 (GOES-West) Dust RGB images (above) showed a plume of resuspended volcanic ash (brighter shades of pink) from the 1912 Novarupta-Katmai eruption in Alaska, which was being transported offshore across the Shelikof Strait (and Buoy 46077, where the peak wind gusts were 31 knots) toward Kodiak Island on 10 October 2023. Surface ash within the Valley Of Ten Thousand Smokes was being lofted by a burst of strong northwesterly winds — a toggle between the 1200 UTC Dust RGB image and Topography (below) highlighted the valleys associated with the ash source region.

GOES-18 Dust RGB and Topography images [click to enlarge]

As the plume of resuspended ash moved over the northern portion of Kodiak Island, the Kodiak Airport (PADQ) began to report Volcanic Ash (VA) at 1900 UTC (below) — and the ash plume briefly restricted the surface visibility to 8 miles at 2200 UTC.

GOES-18 Dust RGB image at 1900 UTC, with a cursor sample of the Kodiak Airport METAR report [click to enlarge]

While a signature of the plume was also evident in GOES-18 Ash RGB imagery, it was more obvious in the Dust RGB (below) — both RGBs use the same spectral bands and spectral band differences, but the individual RGB components are scaled differently (so an examination of both is advised, in order to determine which RGB is best to track an ash-related feature).

GOES-18 Dust RGB and Ash RGB images at 1200 UTC [click to enlarge]

GOES-18 daytime True Color RGB + Nighttime Microphysics RGB images from the CSPP GeoSphere site (below) provided another view of the resuspended ash plume.

GOES-18 daytime True Color RGB and Nighttime Microphysics RGB images [click to play MP4 animation]

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Direct Broadcast imagery from the Guam Antenna of Bolaven

The direct broadcast antenna at the NWS forecast office on Guam processed important information to show details of Typhoon Bolaven as it passed through the Marianas Islands on 10 October. The toggle above compares VIIRS band M07 (0.865 ) and Rain Rate derived from ATMS imagery at 0338 UTC, when the typhoon was east of Guam. It passed between... Read More

NOAA-20 VIIRS M07 (0.865 µm) imagery and ATMS Rain Rate, ca. 0336 UTC on 10 October 2023 (Click to enlarge)

The direct broadcast antenna at the NWS forecast office on Guam processed important information to show details of Typhoon Bolaven as it passed through the Marianas Islands on 10 October. The toggle above compares VIIRS band M07 (0.865 ) and Rain Rate derived from ATMS imagery at 0338 UTC, when the typhoon was east of Guam. It passed between Rota and Tinian just after 0900 UTC, based on this graphic from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. The storm at the time was moving through a region of low shear (shear image from the SSEC/CIMSS Tropical Weather Website).

GCOM-W1 overflew Guam shortly before NOAA-20. The 89-GHz image from that overpass is shown below. THis image in combination with the rain rate image above might convince you that Bolaven at this time was storm with an asymmetric distribution of precipitation, with much of the precipitation in the western quadrant of the storm.

GCOM-W1 89-GHz brightness temperatures, 0327 UTC, 10 October 2023 (Click to enlarge)

CSPP software includes GAASP software used to compute winds, and the derived windspeeds from the AMSR-2 observations are shown below (in a display rendered by Panoply). The strongest winds are in the western half of the storm.

AMSR-2 Wind Speeds, 0327 UTC on 10 October 2023 (Click to enlarge)

At present, Bolaven is strengthening as it pulls away from the Marianas. For more information on the storm, consult the CIMSS Tropical Website, the JTWC website and the RSMC in Tokyo. Thanks to Doug Schumacher, CIMSS, for slacking me these images!


Himawari-9 is, of course, staring at Guam. The 4 Target sector images below show Band 4 (0.86 µm) from 0332-0339, bracketing the NOAA-20 overpass. The combination of geostationary satellites and polar orbiting satellites allows a user to access the strengths of both.

Himawari-9 Near-infrared (Band 4, 0.86 µm) imagery, 0332-0339 UTC on 10 October 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Bolaven underwent a remarkable transformation subsequent to its passage through the Marianas, as shown below. By 1932 UTC, a distinct eye is apparent! The 2100 UTC advisory from JTWC reports a storm with 100-knot winds, up from 70 knots at 0600 UTC!

Himawari-9 Clean Window Imagery, 0332, 1532, 1932 UTC on 10 October 2023 (Click to enlarge)

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Bolaven becomes a typhoon

Target Sector (2.5-minute interval) JMA Himawari-9 AHI Clean Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images (above) and Red Visible (0.64 µm) mages (below) showed Tropical Storm Bolaven as it intensified to become a Category 1 Typhoon just southeast of the Mariana Islands at 0000 UTC (SATCON | JTWC advisory) on 10 October 2023. The coldest cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures, associated with... Read More

JMA Himawari-9 Clean Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images, from 2012 UTC on 09 October to 0752 UTC on 10 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Target Sector (2.5-minute interval) JMA Himawari-9 AHI Clean Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images (above) and Red Visible (0.64 µm) mages (below) showed Tropical Storm Bolaven as it intensified to become a Category 1 Typhoon just southeast of the Mariana Islands at 0000 UTC (SATCON | JTWC advisory) on 10 October 2023. The coldest cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures, associated with brief vortical hot towers within the Central Dense Overcast of Bolaven, were around -90ºC (yellow pixels embedded within dark purple areas).

JMA Himawari-9 Red Visible (0.64 µm) images, from 2012 UTC on 09 October to 0752 UTC on 10 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]


JMA Himawari-9 Red Visible (0.64 µm) and Clean Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images at 0322 UTC on 10 October [click to enlarge]

One of the more notable vortical hot towers (VHTs) occurred just southeast of the island of Rota at 0322 UTC on 10 October, as seen in a toggle between Himawari-9 Red Visible (0.64 µm) and Clean Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images (above). The coldest infrared brightness temperature within the VHT cluster of yellow pixels was -94ºC; that temperature represented a significant air parcel overshoot of the local tropopause — which was -81.9ºC at 106 hPa, as seen in a plot of 0000 UTC rawinsonde data from Guam (below). On a side note, the Total Precipitable Water (PW) value of 2.74 in analyzed from that sounding was a record high value for 0000 UTC soundings on 10 October (the previous record was 2.61 in).

Plot of rawinsonde data from Guam at 0000 UTC on 10 October [click to enlarge]

Himawari-9 Infrared Window (11.2 µm) images from the CIMSS Tropical Cyclones site (below) showed that Bolaven was moving through an environment of low deep-layer wind shear — which, in addition to its motion across warm water (SST | OHC), favored continued intensification.

JMA Himawari9 Infrared Window (11.2 µm) images, with an overlay of deep-layer wind shear at 0000 UTC [click to enlarge]

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