Showers over Wisconsin as viewed by GOES-16 Day Cloud Phase Distinction and Radar

April 21st, 2021 |

GOES-16 Day Cloud Phase Distinction RGB with 0.5 Reflectivity (Great Lakes Mosaic), 1836 UTC on 21 April 2021 (Click to enlarge)

The animation above toggles through the 1836 UTC GOES-16 Day Cloud Phase Distinction RGB with and without a Great Lakes Radar Mosaic of 0.5-degree Reflectivity.  There is an excellent correlation between green-tinted clouds in the RGB (signifying glaciated clouds) and radar echoes, so much so that it should be easy to say that clouds with the same color where radar data are missing, over north-central Wisconsin and the western Upper Peninsula, are also precipitating.  This relationship between the RGB and radar echoes has been noted before (here, very notably; see Figure 6!), and is most useful in cases of convective development without overlaying cirrus clouds.

(Added: Some of the snow showers in the Fox River Valley of Wisconsin were high-impact, as shown in this video)

Subtropical Storm Potira off the coast of Brazil

April 20th, 2021 |

GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images [click to play animation | MP4]

GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images [click to play animation | MP4]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (above) showed the circulation of Subtropical Storm Potira (warning issued by MARINHA) off the southeast coast of Brazil on 20 April 2021.

In the corresponding 1-minute GOES-16 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.35 µm) images (below), intermittent convective overshooting tops exhibited infrared brightness temperatures as cold as -60 to -65ºC (shades of orange).

GOES-16 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.35 µm) images [click to play animation | MP4]

GOES-16 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.35 µm) images [click to play animation | MP4]

Combined plots of all GOES-16 Atmospheric Motion Vector types — Visible, Infrared and Water Vapor — and pressure levels at 15-minute intervals (below) displayed the cloud motions of Potira (credit: Dave Stettner and Chris Velden, CIMSS). The algorithm used to generate these AMVs differs slightly from that used to create operational Derived Motion Winds: some constraints are relaxed/removed, and Visible winds are calculated at pressure levels above 700 hPa (all of which results in the display of a higher density of tracked targets).

Combined plot of all GOES-16 Atmospheric Motion Vector types (Visible, Infrared and Water Vapor) at 15-minute intervals [click to play animation | MP4]

Combined plots of all GOES-16 Atmospheric Motion Vector types (Visible, Infrared and Water Vapor) and pressure levels, at 15-minute intervals [click to play animation | MP4]

A sequence of EUMETSAT Metop ASCAT surface scatterometer winds (source) is is shown below — the strongest winds were located within the southern sector of the storm, well away from the center of circulation.

Metop ASCAT surface scatterometer winds [click to enlarge]

Metop ASCAT surface scatterometer winds [click to enlarge]

Rapid intensification of Super Typhoon Surigae

April 16th, 2021 |

JMA Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images [click to play animation]

JMA Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images [click to play animation]

2.5-minute interval rapid scan JMA Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images (above) showed Typhoon Surigae undergoing rapid intensification (ADT | SATCON) to become a Category 4 storm as of 18 UTC on 16 April 2021.

A DMSP-16 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) image from the CIMSS Tropical Cyclones site (below) displayed a well-defined eye, with distinct spiral bands feeding into the eyewall.

DMSP-16 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) image at 1944 UTC [click to enlarge]

DMSP-16 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) image at 1944 UTC [click to enlarge]

After sunrise, Himawari-8 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (below) showed the relatively compact eye, with hints of low-level mesovortices within the eye.

JMA Himawari-8 "Red" Visible (0.64 µm) images [click to play animation]

JMA Himawari-8 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images [click to play animation]

===== 17 April Update =====

JMA Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images [click to play animation | MP4]

JMA Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images [click to play animation | MP4]

The prolonged period of rapid intensification continued overnight, and as of 12 UTC on 17 April Surigae had become a Category 5 Super Typhoon — 2.5-minute interval rapid scan Himawari-8 Infrared images (above) showed the well-defined eye as the storm tracked northwestward across the Philippine Sea (just east of the Philippines). A faster animation (GIF | MP4) helped to highlight the trochoidal motion (wobble) of the eye — a behavior often seen with intense tropical cyclones. The 21 UTC advisory from JTWC listed sustained winds of 165 knots (and objective intensity estimates from ADT and SATCON were around 170 knots), making Surigae the only tropical cyclone on record to reach that intensity during the month of April.



An animation of Himawari-8 Infrared images with an overlay of deep-layer wind shear (below) indicated that Surigae was moving through a region of low to moderate wind shear; the storm was also moving across very warm water (SST + OHC).

Himawari-8 Infrared images, with contours of deep-layer wind shear at 18 UTC [click to enlarge]

Himawari-8 Infrared images, with contours of deep-layer wind shear at 18 UTC [click to enlarge]

Around the time that Surigae was reaching its peak intensity, a Suomi NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image several hours before sunrise (below) revealed concentric mesospheric airglow waves (reference) propagating away from the energetic Category 5 tropical cyclone.

Suomi NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image [click to enlarge]

Suomi NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image [click to enlarge]

In closer view of time-matched Himawari-8 Infrared and Suomi NPP Day/Night Band images (below), a cluster of bright DNB pixels highlighted the presence of lightning activity along the inner edge of the northern eyewall.

Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) and Suomi NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) images [click to enlarge]

Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) and Suomi NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) images [click to enlarge]

Cold cloud tops associated with Tropical Storm Surigae in the West Pacific

April 15th, 2021 |

JMA Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images [click to play animation | MP4]

JMA Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images [click to play animation | MP4]

2.5-minute interval rapid scan JMA Himawari-8 Infrared Window (10.4 µm) images (above) revealed intermittent cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures of -100ºC and colder (red pixels embedded within yellow-to-black inner cores) — with the coldest being -101.7ºC at 1342 UTC — within the Central Cold Cover (CCC) pattern of Tropical Storm Surigae on 15 April 2021.

A zoom-in of NOAA-20 VIIRS Infrared Window (11.45 µm) imagery at 1644 UTC as viewed using RealEarth (below) also showed 2 clusters of red -100ºC and colder pixels, with a minimum of -103.6ºC (incidentally, the coldest pixels on the 1644 UTC Himawari-8 Infrared image were -96ºC). About an hour and 15 minutes after this NOAA-20 image, Surigae was upgraded to a Category 1 typhoon (the first typhoon of the 2021 season in the West Pacific basin).

NOAA-20 VIIRSI Infrared Window (11.45 µm) image at 1644 UTC [click to enlarge]

NOAA-20 VIIRS Infrared Window (11.45 µm) image at 1644 UTC [click to enlarge]

A plot of 12 UTC rawinsonde data from Yap Island showed that the coldest air temperature was -84.7ºC at 100 hPa (16.7 km) — so an overshooting top of -100ºC or colder indicated a significant vertical ascent above the tropopause.

Plot of 12 UTC rawinsonde data from Yap Island [click to enlarge]

Plot of 12 UTC rawinsonde data from Yap Island [click to enlarge]