This website works best with a newer web browser such as Chrome, Firefox, Safari or Microsoft Edge. Internet Explorer is not supported by this website.

Hurricane Julia makes landfall in Nicaragua

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (above) showed that Hurricane Julia made landfall as a Category 1 intensity storm along the east coast of Nicaragua around 0715 UTC on 09 October 2022. A notable increase in the areal coverage of deep convection was seen around the center... Read More

GOES-16 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (above) showed that Hurricane Julia made landfall as a Category 1 intensity storm along the east coast of Nicaragua around 0715 UTC on 09 October 2022. A notable increase in the areal coverage of deep convection was seen around the center of Julia as it approached the coast, suggesting a trend of further intensification just prior to landfall.

Julia was upgraded from a Tropical Storm to a Hurricane at 2300 UTC on 08 October — an analysis of deep-layer wind shear at that time from the CIMSS Tropical Cyclones site (below) indicated that Julia was moving through an environment of very low shear (which favored further intensification). The tropical cyclone was also traversing warm water with Sea Surface Temperature values around 29ºC.

GOES-16 Infrared Window (11.2 µm) images, with contours of deep-layer wind shear valid at 2300 UTC [click to enlarge]

A DMSP-17 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) image at 2353 UTC (below) showed that a closed eyewall was beginning to develop, but still remained open to the west-southwest.

DMSP-17 SSMIS Microwave (85 GHz) image at 2353 UTC [click to enlarge]

However, an animation of the MIMIC-TC product (below) showed that a closed eyewall did form around the time of landfall.

MIMIC-TC morphed microwave product [click to enlarge]

View only this post Read Less

Effects of convection over the southwestern United States and over the Pacific Ocean

The animation above (from the CSPP Geosphere site — click here for a direct link to the animation) shows True Color imagery (daytime) and Night Microphysics RGB (nighttime) from 2310 on 6 October through 0540 UTC on 7 October 2022 in 10-minute time-steps. Convection developed over southwest Arizona after noon on... Read More

GOES-West True Color Imagery (daytime) and Night Microphysics RGB (Night time), 2310 UTC on 6 October through 0540 UTC on 7 October 2022 (10-minute timesteps)

The animation above (from the CSPP Geosphere site — click here for a direct link to the animation) shows True Color imagery (daytime) and Night Microphysics RGB (nighttime) from 2310 on 6 October through 0540 UTC on 7 October 2022 in 10-minute time-steps.

Convection developed over southwest Arizona after noon on 6 October, and the outflow boundary that developed generated a haboob that propagated from the Imperial and Coachella Valleys into San Diego County, California, and resulted in at least one Dust Storm Warning from the NWS in San Diego (The NWS San Diego Twitter Feed has plenty of surface-based images of the dust).   How well does the dust show up in the true-color imagery above?  Imagery before 0000 UTC on the 7th suggest dust, and likely  even a linear feature at the leading edge of the dust, over the central part of extreme southern California, even though the background is about the same color as the dust cloud that is moving over it.  Zoomed in, however, below, the dust feature is indeed distinct!

GOES-West True Color Imagery, 2311 UTC on 6 October through 0031 UTC on 7 October 2022 (5-minute timesteps)

Did the GOES-West Dust RGB capture this wind event? Somewhat. The animation below shows the Dust RGB plotted with surface observations that testify to the vigor of the outflow boundary. Dust should show up as bright pink/magenta in the RGB, and there are some small regions where that color is apparent. Information on the Dust RGB is available here and here. For this case, True-color imagery better identifies the dust than does the Dust RGB.

GOES-West Dust RGB, 2201 UTC on 6 October to 0026 UTC on 7 October (Click to enlarge)

After sunset, the ability to track the dust (in the visible) is gone, and the dust RGB also loses its signal.  The focus of attention can then shift in the animation at the top of the blog post to the very interesting scouring of the low clouds along the northwest Mexican coast. Dry continental air moves over the ocean (in the form of an outflow boundary from decaying convection over the land). Mixing of this dry air with the marine boundary layer occurs, causing evaporation of clouds.  The bright cyan enhancement in the Night Microphysics depicts low clouds.  As the clouds evaporate, the purple enhancement that replaces cyan shows the underlying sea surface.  Notice also the ripples in the cyan enhancement showing gravity waves propagating along the top of the boundary layer stratus ahead of the outflow boundary! 

View only this post Read Less

LightningCast Probabilities over Guam in a regime of light winds

The animation above shows ProbSevere LightningCast probabilities over the Island of Guam for 80 minutes near noon local time on 6 October 2022 (imagery taken from this RealEarth website). The animation above shows LightningCast probabilities increasing from 0110 UTC (when a 10% contour appears) through 0140 UTC and 0150 UTC (when a... Read More

RealEarth views of LightningCast Probabilities over Guam (along with the Himawari-8 Sandwich product), 0100-0220 UTC on 6 October 2022. 10% contours in blue, 25% contours in cyan, 50% contours in green, 75% contours in magenta.

The animation above shows ProbSevere LightningCast probabilities over the Island of Guam for 80 minutes near noon local time on 6 October 2022 (imagery taken from this RealEarth website). The animation above shows LightningCast probabilities increasing from 0110 UTC (when a 10% contour appears) through 0140 UTC and 0150 UTC (when a 75% contour — in magenta — is present. The sequence of events initially caused some astonishment when the 0110 UTC image appeared. The toggle below compares 0100 and 0110 UTC imagery; there appears to be little difference in the imagery between those two times, yet probabilities increase. It seemed odd at the time that maximum values were separated from the observed clouds!

LightningCast Probabilities over Guam, 0100 and 0110 UTC, 6 October 2022 (Click to enlarge)

Lightning was observed at 0141 UTC, just off the east coast of central Guam, and at 0152 UTC, close to the NWS Office in Barrigada (and in fact, that thunder was audible in the office). Both lightning events fell within (or very close to) the 75% contour, and were also close to the radar, so radar interrogation of the storm was difficult.

LightningCast Probabilities over Guam, 0140 and 0150 UTC, 6 October 2022 (Click to enlarge

As noted in the blog title, atmospheric winds during this event were light. Click here to see a toggle of satellite-derived winds at upper levels (above 400 mb) and lower levels (below 400 mb) from the SSEC Tropical Website (direct link to western Pacific winds).

The image below shows the detected lightning (in the Guam Forecast Office AWIPS display system) at 0152 UTC. Click here to view a similar image showing one lightning strike at 0141 UTC.

NLDN and GLD Lightning strokes (5-minute accumulation), including lightning at 0152 UTC on 6 October (Click to enlarge). Range circles of 5 and 20 miles are drawn around the Guam airport, site of the radar.

View only this post Read Less

30-second images of the SpaceX/NASA Crew-5 mission launch

Overlapping 1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sectors provided GOES-16 (GOES-East) images at 30-second intervals from all 16 ABI spectral bands (above), which displayed the northeast-moving warm thermal signature of a SpaceX Falcon-9 rocket booster as the Crew-5 Mission was launched from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida at 16:00:57 UTC on... Read More

GOES-16 images from all 16 ABI spectral bands [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Overlapping 1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sectors provided GOES-16 (GOES-East) images at 30-second intervals from all 16 ABI spectral bands (above), which displayed the northeast-moving warm thermal signature of a SpaceX Falcon-9 rocket booster as the Crew-5 Mission was launched from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida at 16:00:57 UTC on 05 October 2022. The low-altitude rocket launch condensation cloud was also evident, drifting slowly eastward away from the launch site. One or both of these rocket launch signatures were detected in all 16 of the ABI spectral bands.

30-second GOES-16 Plume RGB images (below) provided a multi-band integrated view that highlighted both the northeast-moving hot thermal signature of the rocket booster (lighter shades of green to yellow), and the low-altitude rocket condensation cloud (darker shades of green) that drifted eastward.

GOES-16 Rocket Plume RGB images [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

In a time-matched comparison of Rocket Plume RGB images from GOES-16 and GOES-17 (GOES-West), valid at 16:02:55 UTC (below), the significant eastward displacement of the brighter yellow rocket thermal signature in the GOES-17 image was due to parallax — resulting from the very large viewing angle from that satellite, especially for such a high-altitude feature (approximately 39 km at that point in time).

Rocket Plume RGB images from GOES-16 and GOES-17, valid at 16:02:55 UTC [click to enlarge]

View only this post Read Less