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Saharan Dust Plume Streams Over the Atlantic

While the Pacific has kept seeing its share of intense tropical systems, the Atlantic has been quieter. This is consistent with what we expect with a strong El Niño, as the global scale impacts from that phenomenon tend to include increased wind shear in the Caribbean and western Atlantic which... Read More

While the Pacific has kept seeing its share of intense tropical systems, the Atlantic has been quieter. This is consistent with what we expect with a strong El Niño, as the global scale impacts from that phenomenon tend to include increased wind shear in the Caribbean and western Atlantic which prevents storms in the tropics from intensifying and consolidating into cyclones. But we’re also seeing another major inhibitor of tropical cyclone development in large quantities of Saharan dust streaming off of north Africa into the skies over the eastern Atlantic. The air associated with these dust plumes is very dry, having originated over one of the largest and driest deserts on Earth. When this air is advected over the Atlantic, it mixes with the existing air and disrupts the development of any deep convection while also enhancing local wind shear. The radiative impact of the dust also stabilizes the atmosphere by absorbing solar energy above the surface while preventing warming at the surface, thus increasing the strength of the trade wind inversion and further limiting the vertical growth that is critical for hurricane formation and maintenance.

Since we’re interested in an African phenomenon, the geostationary satellites operated by EUMETSAT are going to be well-positioned to investigate this. The Flexible Combined Imager (FCI) on the geostationary Meteosat 12 plaform captured the following true color animation of the brown dust stretching hundreds of miles off of the shore of Africa and into the Atlantic air. FCI, like the Himawari Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) has true red, green, and blue channels and is thus able to depict and event like this with chromatic fidelity. This animation was made on the EUMETSAT’s Eumetview site.

Of course, dust has different radiative properties than clear or cloudy air does, and with the numerous channels on the FCI, we can exploit those differences to create a Dust RGB product that highlights the position of the dust. Here’s the same period and time window as the true color animation above, but this time see how the dust can be made visually distinct from its surroundings through the application of infrared channel differences. The full recipe is given in the Dust RGB Quick Guide from EUMETSAT. Here, the purple and magenta colors represent the locations of the dust. Note how this product is even able to distinguish between a dust storm on the Algeria/Mali border (the bright magenta on the right side of the animation) from the surrounding desert; this is almost impossible to see in the true color loop above. The Dust RGB uses only infrared channels (including differences between different infrared channels) so it can be used 24 hours a day without issue.

Dust in the air, of course, means an increase in the optical depth. As this dust streams westward, it emerges into the field of view of the GOES-19 (GOES East) Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI). Here’s an animation from CSPP Geosphere that shows the Level 2 Aerosol Optical Depth product from the CSPP Geo software suite. This view shows data on the curved surface of the earth, with northern South America in the bottom left and western Africa curving away from the viewer in the middle. The dust can be seen as the bright colors at the center of the animation. As the day goes on, clouds in the dust region grow and thicken. Since the aerosol optical depth product is a clear sky and daytime only product, this results in increasing areas of the loop showing no data.

Finally, we can use VIIRS to take a very high resolution view of the dust. Unlike geostationary satellites which are fixed to specific locations, NOAA’s polar orbiting satellites roam the entire planet. Here’s a true color view from NOAA-21. The 375 m spatial resolution of the raw visible-wavelength channels enables ultra-detailed views of the dust, as can be seen in this image of the Atlantic between the Cap-Vert peninsula that is home to Dakar, Senegal on the right and the islands of Cabo Verde on the left.

NOAA-21 VIIRS true color view of the eastern Atlantic Ocean.

These dust plumes aren’t uncommon this time of year, and have even been known to make their way all the way to the continental United States where they can affect everything from air quality to the beauty of the sunsets.

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Category 5 Super Typhoon Dolphin in the West Pacific

2.5-minute Target Sector Himawari-9 Visible images (above) and Infrared Window images (below) showed Super Typhoon Dolphin as it reached 150-knot Category 5 intensity (ADT | D-MINT | SATCON) over the West Pacific Ocean (north of the Marshall Islands) at 2100 UTC on 29 July 2026. Mesovortices were evident within the... Read More

2.5-minute Himawari-9 Visible images, from 1852 UTC on 29 July to 0712 UTC on 30 July

2.5-minute Target Sector Himawari-9 Visible images (above) and Infrared Window images (below) showed Super Typhoon Dolphin as it reached 150-knot Category 5 intensity (ADT | D-MINT | SATCON) over the West Pacific Ocean (north of the Marshall Islands) at 2100 UTC on 29 July 2026. Mesovortices were evident within the eye — and periodic swirls of mid- to upper-level cloud material appeared to be shedding from the inner edge of the eyewall, suggesting that the mesovortex circulations (which are normally rather shallow) were fairly deep in this case.

2.5-minute Himawari-9 Infrared Window images, from 1852 UTC on 29 July to 0712 UTC on 30 July

Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery (below) from around the beginning and ending times of the Himawari-9 animations displayed an apparent break in the eyewall, with hints of narrow wind features that were similar in appearance to the cloud filaments seen in Himawari images. Dolphin was also undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle during this time period.

Sentinel-1D SAR wind mage at 1845 UTC on 29 July [click to enlarge]
Sentinel-1D SAR wind image at 0714 UTC on 30 July [click to enlarge]

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Tornadoes (including the Appleton/Menasha EF3), large hail and damaging winds from northern Wisconsin to the Chicago area

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) Visible and Infrared Window images (above) included time-matched plots of SPC Storm Reports — most notably the EF3-rated tornado that moved through the Appleton/Menasha area in northeastern Wisconsin, beginning around 1656 UTC — produced by clusters of thunderstorms on 27 July 2026. Very large hail also occurred in Wisconsin... Read More

1-minute GOES-19 Visible and Infrared Window images with time-matched plots of SPC Storm Reports (T=Tornado, H300=Hail 3.00″ in diameter, W74=Wind gust 74 mph, W=Wind damage), from 1320-2048 UTC on 27 July [best viewed as an animated GIF]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) Visible and Infrared Window images (above) included time-matched plots of SPC Storm Reports — most notably the EF3-rated tornado that moved through the Appleton/Menasha area in northeastern Wisconsin, beginning around 1656 UTC — produced by clusters of thunderstorms on 27 July 2026. Very large hail also occurred in Wisconsin with these storms, including a few reports of 3.00 inches in diameter (and one report of 4.50 inches in diameter, which did not get plotted). Separate thunderstorms also produced large hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes in the Chicago area.

1-minute GOES-19 Visible and Infrared Window images with an overlay of surface fronts (below) depicted the presence of a surface trough / developing warm front across eastern Wisconsin — the severe thunderstorms were moving southward near or just east of that surface boundary.

1-minute GOES-19 Visible and Infrared Window images with an overlay of surface fronts, from 1401-2200 UTC on 27 July

A closer look centered near Appleton — airport METAR identifier KATW (below) showed very high dew points across that area, with KATW reporting a dew point of 81 F at 1545 UTC (surface report plot), about an hour before the tornado. As the parent thunderstorm was approaching from the north, pulses of overshooting tops exhibited infrared brightness temperatures as cold as -75 to -78 C (brighter white pixels embedded within dark black regions).

1-minute GOES-19 Visible and Infrared Window images with plots of METAR surface reports, from 1401-1900 UTC on 27 July

According to a plot of rawinsonde data from Green Bay (below), infrared brightness temperatures of -75 to -78 C represented a significant overshoot of the Most Unstable (MU) air parcel’s Equilibrium Level (EL). The sounding also portrayed a very unstable atmosphere having a MUCAPE value of 4770 J/kg and a Lifted Index of -12 C.

Plot of rawinsonde data from Green Bay, Wisconsin at 1200 UTC on 27 July [click to enlarge]

Also of note was the Total Precipitable Water (PW) value of 2.12 inches — according to the SPC Sounding Climatology site, this was a record high PW value for all 27 July 1200 UTC soundings at Green Bay (below).

Climatology of Total Precipitable Water (PW) for all 1200 UTC soundings at Green Bay, with the 27 July value highlighted [click to enlarge]

It is uncommon to see strong tornadoes in the morning in Wisconsin. Looking back from 1950 through April 30 of this year, the prime time for strong tornadoes in Wisconsin is between 2 and 7 pm (CST). Yesterday's tornado began at 10:56 am CST, making it just the 10th to start during that hour.

Wisconet (@wisconet.bsky.social) 2026-07-28T14:44:03.051Z

===== 29 July Update =====

Comparison of Landsat-8 Natural Color images on 13 July and 29 July 2026

In toggle between before/after (13 July vs 29 July) Landsat-8 Natural Color RGB images as visualized using RealEarth (above), a faint signature of the tornado damage path (a transition from green shades to tan shades, due to tree/vegetation damage and an increase of structural debris on the ground) could be seen in the vicinity of Appleton, Fox Crossing and Menasha on 29 July.

Similarly, an image slider comparison between Sentinel-2 Optimized Natural Color RGB images on 13 July vs 28 July is shown below — which provided a better view of the vegetation damage swath (most notably near the bottom-center portion of the 28 July image, which is the Menasha area).

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Hurricane Genevieve rapidly intensifies to a Category 5 storm in the East Pacific

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-Eas)t Visible images (above) showed Hurricane Genevieve as it was rapidly intensifying to become a Category 4 storm on 26 July 2026. Low-altitude mesovorticies were very apparent within the eye — and GLM Flash Points depicted intermittent lightning activity within the eyewall of the hurricane.The... Read More

1-minute GOES-19 Visible images with plots of GLM Flash Points, from 1701 UTC on 26 July to 0000 UTC on 27 July

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-Eas)t Visible images (above) showed Hurricane Genevieve as it was rapidly intensifying to become a Category 4 storm on 26 July 2026. Low-altitude mesovorticies were very apparent within the eye — and GLM Flash Points depicted intermittent lightning activity within the eyewall of the hurricane.

The corresponding 1-minute GOES-19 Infrared Window images (below) displayed cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures as cold as -75 to -80 C surrounding the eye.

1-minute GOES-19 Infrared Window images with plots of GLM Flash Points, from 1701 UTC on 26 July to 0000 UTC on 27 July

Products from the CIMSS Tropical Cyclones site indicated that Genevieve was moving through an environment of low deep-layer wind shear, and traversing warm water. These favorable factors allowed the hurricane to reach a 135-knot intensity by 0300 UTC on 27 July (ADT | D-MINT | SATCON).

===== 27 July Update =====

1-minute GOES-19 Infrared Window images with plots of GLM Flash Points, from 0201-0700 UTC on 27 July

Hurricane Genevieve continued to intensify after sunset, reaching 140-knot Category 5 intensity by 0600 UTC on 27 July (0900 UTC NHC discussion).

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