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Cat 5 Hurricane Otis from the Wisconsin Direct Broadcast site

Hurricane Otis explosively developed yesterday and made landfall near midnight on 25 October. The image below shows Day Night Band visible imagery from NOAA-20 at 0752 UTC, shortly after the storm made landfall near Acapulco, Mexico as a Category 5 storm. A clear eye is not apparent, and no lightning... Read More

Hurricane Otis explosively developed yesterday and made landfall near midnight on 25 October. The image below shows Day Night Band visible imagery from NOAA-20 at 0752 UTC, shortly after the storm made landfall near Acapulco, Mexico as a Category 5 storm. A clear eye is not apparent, and no lightning streaks are detected either. The Sensor Data Records (SDRs) for the image below were downloaded from the CIMSS Direct Broadcast website (at this temporary link; pre-made imagery is also available here), and the imagery was created using Polar2Grid (available at the CSPP download site here). Sensor Data Records for NOAA-20 can also be downloaded here.

NOAA-20 Day Night Band image, 0752 UTC on 25 October 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Note: The image above is time-stamped 0752 UTC, as that was when the first line of the satellite data used to create the image was received. In reality, NOAA-20 was acquiring data over Acapulco closer to 0808 UTC based on this predicted orbit path (from this site).

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Hurricane Otis rapidly intensifies to Category 5, just prior to making landfall near Acapulco, Mexico

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (above) showed Hurricane Otis as it approached the coast of Mexico, making landfall near Acapulco (Acapulco International Airport, METAR identifier MMAA, is located about 16 miles southeast of the city center) around 0625 UTC on 25 October 2023. During the 11-hour time period shown,... Read More

GOES-18 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images, from 2000 UTC on 24 October to 0700 UTC on 25 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (above) showed Hurricane Otis as it approached the coast of Mexico, making landfall near Acapulco (Acapulco International Airport, METAR identifier MMAA, is located about 16 miles southeast of the city center) around 0625 UTC on 25 October 2023. During the 11-hour time period shown, Otis was rapidly intensifying from a Category 2 hurricane at 2000 UTC on 24 October to Category 5 at 0300 UTC on 25 October (SATCON) — exhibiting a pinhole eye in the process. The coldest cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures were in the -80 to -90ºC range (shades of white, embedded within dark shades of black). After landfall Otis weakened quickly to a Category 2 storm by 1200 UTC on 25 October, due to interaction with the complex Sierra Madre del Sur topography.

Note that surface reports from Acapulco International Airport ceased after 0341 UTC on 25 October (presumably due to evacuation and/or power outages) — by that time, the site had already received 11 inches of rainfall (below) .

Plot of surface report data from Acapulco International Airport, from 1846 UTC on 24 October to 0341 UTC on 25 October [click to enlarge]

1-minute GOES-18 Infrared images with an overlay of GLM Flash Extent Density (below) revealed continuous lightning activity within the eyewall — which peaked in intensity at 0550 UTC, about 35 minutes prior to landfall.

GOES-18 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images with an overlay of GLM Flash Extent Density, from 2000 UTC on 24 October to 0700 UTC on 25 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

1-minute GOES-18 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images (below) showed a cloud-filled eye during the hours leading up to sunset, with intermittent pulses of convective overshooting tops within the eyewall (Visible/Infrared image toggle at 2246 UTC).

GOES-18 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images, from 2000 UTC on 24 October to 0000 UTC on 25 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

An image of RCM-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) winds at 0052 UTC on 25 October (source) is shown below — the maximum satellite-derived wind speeds were in the northeast and southeast quadrants of the eyewall.

RCM-1 SAR wind speeds at 0052 UTC on 25 October [click to enlarge]


GOES-18 Water Vapor images, with contours and streamlines of deep-layer wind shear [click to enlarge]

Imagery from the CIMSS Tropical Cyclones site indicated that Otis was moving through an environment characterized by low values of deep-layer wind shear (above), and was also traversing warm water (below) — both factors that were favorable for further intensification.

Sea Surface Temperature and Ocean Heat Content on 24 October, with an overlay of the track of Otis [click to enlarge]

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GOES-18 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images, from 0500 UTC to 0900 UTC on 25 October [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

Around the time of landfall, Otis began to exhibit a “cloud cliff” feature that extended southward from the western edge of the eye (above). To further characterize this cloud cliff, the Cloud Top Height derived product was examined from GOES-16 (GOES-East) — using both the full-resolution (2 km) CLAVR-x version and the “legacy” 10-km resolution version that is currently distributed in AWIPS (below). It is clear that the sharp horizontal gradient associated with the cliff feature was not well resolved with the 10-km version. This unique cloud cliff feature has occasionally been seen in strong typhoons in the West Pacific — for example, Typhoon Lekima and Typhoon Neoguri

GOES-16 “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm), CLAVR-x Cloud Top Height and legacy Cloud Top Height at 0636 UTC [click to enlarge]

Cursor samples of GOES-16 infrared (10.3 µm) brightness temperature, CLAVR-x Cloud Top Height and legacy Cloud Top Height across 2 portions of the cloud cliff feature (below) indicated that the “top” of the cliff was at CLAVR-x heights of 55904-56006 ft, while the adjacent downwind “trench” dropped to CLAVR-x heights of 47774-50523 ft — the height difference between the cliff top and the adjacent trench was 8210 ft and 5483 ft at the northern and southern cursor-sampled points, respectively. In addition, the CLAVR-x product cliff top heights were 4000-5000 ft higher (and the trench heights 2000-3000 ft lower) compared to the legacy product.   Thanks are extended to Joleen Feltz (CIMSS) for staging the CLAVR-x products on our local AWIPS data server, allowing this Cloud Top Height comparison to be made.  

Cursor samples of GOES-16 Infrared (10.3 µm) brightness temperature (white), CLAVR-x Cloud Top Height (blue) and legacy Cloud Top Height (red) at 0636 UTC [click to enlarge]

Due to ample illumination from the Moon (which was in the Waxing Gibbous phase, at 70% of Full), the trench feature was also evident just south of the Mexico coastline in a nocturnal NOAA-20 VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image valid at 0808 UTC on 25 October (below) — another version of the NOAA-20 image is available in this blog post; the corresponding GOES-18 Infrared image that showed the (warm) trench at that time can be seen here.

NOAA-20 VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm) image, valid at 0808 UTC on 25 October [click to enlarge]

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Severe Tropical Cyclone Lola in the southwest Pacific

MIMIC Total Precipitable Water fields, above, show the development of Tropical Cyclone Lola near 170oE Longitude. The storm pushed south out of the western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone. By 0000 UTC on the 23rd, it began to entrain dry air into its circulation as it approached Vanuatu. In addition to... Read More

MIMIC Total Precipitable Water fields, 0000 UTC on 20 October to 1200 UTC on 24 October 2023 (click to enlarge)

MIMIC Total Precipitable Water fields, above, show the development of Tropical Cyclone Lola near 170oE Longitude. The storm pushed south out of the western Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone. By 0000 UTC on the 23rd, it began to entrain dry air into its circulation as it approached Vanuatu. In addition to the intrusion of dry air noted above, the projected path of the storm, shown below, is towards higher latitudes where cooler SSTs and stronger wind shear is diagnosed (imagery taken from the SSEC/CIMSS Tropical Website).

Wind shear (200 mb-850mb) at 1200 UTC on 24 October 2023 on top of the SST analysis from ca. 0000 UTC on 24 October. The past and forecast path of Lola are indicated (Click to enlarge)

GOES-18 imagery from 0000 – 0600 UTC on 24 October show Lola losing an eye. The storm itself is becoming more asymmetric as well. There remains, however, a well-developed outflow channel moving poleward from the storm and then being entrained into the westerlies around 20oS.

GOES-18 Upper Level Water Vapor (Band 8, 6.19 µm, top) and Clean Window (Band 13, 10.3 µm, bottom) infrared imagery, 0000 – 0600 UTC on 24 October 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Shortly after 0700 UTC on 24 October, RCM1, and then Sentinel-1A both passed over Lola, allowing for SAR wind estimates in/around the storm eye. Comparison between RCM1 (at 0702) and Sentinel-1A (at 0714) with the closest-in-time ABI data are shown below.


Near-wind analyses from the SAR data are available at this link. The wind plots are shown below. Peak SAR Wind estimates at 0700 UTC exceeded 100 knots from both instruments, wind stronger winds in the SW/SE quadrants of the storm.

Radial Wind analysis over Lola, 0702 UTC (RCM1) and 0714 UTC (Sentinel-1A) on 24 October 2023 (Click to enlarge)

MetopB and MetopC both overflew Lola in between 1000 and 1100 UTC on 24 October. Wind plots from the two overpasses, below, (from this website) show a surface circulation that is much larger over the southern half of the storm.

Metop-C ASCAT winds over Lola, 1006 UTC on 24 October 2023 (left) and Metop-B ASCAT observations from 1053 UTC on 24 October 2023 (right) (Click to enlarge)

Lola is forecast to diminish in strength in the next few days. But for more information on Lola, refer to the RSMC in Fiji (link), the CIMSS Tropical Weather Website (link), or the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (link).

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Super Fog causes multi-vehicle accidents along Interstate 55 in Louisiana

A Super Fog event — caused by the combination of dense fog and smoke from a large swamp fire just southeast of Lake Pontchartrain — was responsible for multi-vehicle accidents along Interstate 55 (between Lake Maurepas and Lake Pontchartrain) during the early morning hours on 23 October 2023 (meda report). Before a patch of... Read More

GOES-16 Nighttime Microphysics and daytime True Color RGB images, centered on the I-55 accident site [click to play MP4 animation]

A Super Fog event — caused by the combination of dense fog and smoke from a large swamp fire just southeast of Lake Pontchartrain — was responsible for multi-vehicle accidents along Interstate 55 (between Lake Maurepas and Lake Pontchartrain) during the early morning hours on 23 October 2023 (meda report). Before a patch of high clouds moved across the area, 1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) Nighttime Microphysics RGB imagery from the CSPP GeoSphere site (above) displayed the swamp fire thermal signature as a cluster of darker purple pixels, with its brighter white smoke-filled cloud plume beginning to move west-northwest across Lake Pontchartrain (toward the I-55 accident sites). After sunrise, True Color RGB images showed the continued west-northwest transport of smoke from the swamp fire; the fog/stratus over I-55 between the 2 lakes eventually dissipated by about 1900 UTC.

Around 8-9 AM CST (1300-1400 UTC), GOES-16 Low Instrument Flight Rules (LIFR) Probability values (below) were 70% in the vicinity of the I-55 vehicle accidents — but began to decrease as the fog (and visibility) between the 2 lakes slowly improved throughout the morning hours. LIFR Probability is a component of the Fog/low stratus (FLS) Products suite.

GOES-16 Low IFR Probability product [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

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