Severe weather season is underway across the southern U.S. NOAA and CIMSS are using satellite, radar, and lightning observations of thunderstorms to develop and evaluate artificial intelligence (AI) tools that forecast and diagnose convection.The NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere portfolio has several such tools to help forecasters keep tabs on storms. LightningCastProbSevere LightningCast... Read More
The NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere portfolio contains AI models for nowcasting convective weather. I’ll use Monday’s severe weather over the Southern Plains to highlight several of them.A strong cold front spawned numerous severe-hail, wind, and tornado producing storms over Texas and Oklahoma, aided by very large values of convective available potential energy... Read More
When NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center issues a High Risk of severe weather (below), people sit up and take notice. Are there easily accessible tools to monitor the state of the atmosphere in/around a region of expected severe weather?The toggle above shows products (early in the morning on 17 March — at 439 AM CDT) in RealEarth... Read More
Accumulating hail fell in Daytona Beach FL (Link) on 6 March 2021 in association with a front over the Florida peninsula. Preliminary storm reports from SPC (link) show reports of 1″ to 1.75″ hail. (The region was under a general thunderstorm outlook from SPC: link). The animation above shows the Convection RGB from 1431 through 1701... Read More
