Archive for the ‘Severe convection’ Category

Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) in the Upper Midwest region

Friday, August 14th, 2009
GOES-12 10.7 µm IR images

GOES-12 10.7 µm IR images

AWIPS images of the GOES-12 10.7 µm IR channel (above) showed a strong Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) that developed over  South Dakota on 13 August 2009. This MCS spawned a long-lived Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV)  — sometimes referred to as a Mesocale Vorticity Center or MVC — that later helped to initiate another MCS over Minnesota and Wisconsin during the pre-dawn hours on 14 August 2009.

GOES-12 visible images

GOES-12 visible images

The circulation of the MCV then continued to move northeastward across the Upper Peninsula of Michigan during the day on 14 August, as seen on an animation of GOES-12 visible images (above) and radar reflectivity (below).

Radar reflectivity

Radar reflectivity

The Blended Total Precipitable Water (TPW) product (below) showed that there was a plume of higher moisture (TPW values of 37-41 mm or 1.5 to 1.6 inches) feeding northeastward across Wisconsin into the Upper Peninsula, helping to sustain convective development in the vicinity of the MCV.

Blended TPW product + GOES-12 IR images

Blended TPW product + GOES-12 IR images

Since the Atlantic Basin has been seemingly disinterested in producing any notable tropical cyclone activity so far this season, one had to look to the Upper Midwest region of the US for signs of any “tropical development”:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
500 PM EDT FRI AUG 14 2009

.SYNOPSIS...

TO THE S...LAZY FLOW EXISTS ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
GREAT LAKES. AS A RESULT...MESOSCALE VORTICITY CENTER GENERATED BY
CONVECTION IN SD TWO NIGHTS AGO AND NOW LOCATED OVER CNTRL UPPER MI
IS STILL JUST DRIFTING ALONG IN AN ERLY DIRECTION. MVC CIRCULATION
REMAINS VERYWELL-DEFINED...JUST AS IMPRESSIVE AS IT WAS 24HRS AGO
DUE TO THE VERY LIGHT MID/UPPER FLOW IN WHICH IT IS EMBEDDED. WEAK
FLOW HASKEPT IT FROM SHEARING APART. IF THIS WAS LOCATED IN THE TROPICS...
YOU WOULD THINK IT WAS A TROPICAL SYSTEM. ALTHOUGH COMPACT...TIGHT
SPIRALING CLOUD CANOPY AROUND MVC HAS BEEN SUFFICIENT TO LIMIT AFTN
HEATING...SO CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN KEPT IN CHECK THIS AFTN.

Rapid Scan Operations (RSO) imagery from 2 satellites

Monday, July 20th, 2009
GOES-11 and GOES-12 visible images

GOES-11 and GOES-12 visible images

The National Weather Service forecast office at Cheyenne WY requested that both the GOES-11 (GOES-West) and the GOES-12 (GOES-East) satellites be placed into Rapid Scan Operations (RSO) to monitor severe convection across their County Warning Area (CWA) on 20 July 2009:

SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
2114Z MON JUL 20 2009

GOES RSO INFO…

A GOES EAST RSO WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 2226Z TILL 0426Z
AND GOES WEST RSO WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 2203Z TILL
0403Z THIS EVENING AS REQUESTED BY WFO CYS /CHEYENNE/
WHO IS ON THE CUSP OF THE SATELLITE RSO COVERAGE AREAS
FOR SVR WX MONITORING SUPPORT.

While there were reports of hail up to 1.0 inch in diameter in the Cheyenne CWA, the thunderstorms that developed further to the east over western Nebraska and western Kansas were more severe (producing tornadoes in Kansas, and hail as large as 4.25 inches in diameter in both Kansas and Nebraska). A comparison of GOES-11 and GOES-12 visible images (above) shows the view of these storms from each satellite perspective. Note that some features were easier to see from the GOES-11 perspective, which allowed more of a view from the side (to reveal surface boundaries and flanking line development more clearly).

A comparison of GOES-11 and GOES-12 10.7 µm IR images (below) shows that the development of a distinct “enhanced-v” signature was apparent on imagery from both satellites from the 23:00 to 23:11 UTC period. The coldest IR brightness temperatures were -67º C (darker black color enhancement) from both GOES-11 and GOES-12.

GOES-11 amd GOES-12 10.7 µm IR images

GOES-11 amd GOES-12 10.7 µm IR images

These thunderstorms appeared to be propagating southward ahead of an advancing cold frontal boundary, and along a decaying stationary frontal boundary that was oriented northwest-to-southeast from western Nebraska into central Kansas. GOES sounder Derived Product Images (DPI) of Lifted Index (LI) and Total Precipitable Water (TPW) (below) indicated that there was an axis of instability (LI values of -4 to -6 º C) and moisture (TPW values of 20-30 mm, or 0.8 to 1.2 inches) along the stationary frontal boundary.

GOES sounder Lifted Index and Total Precipitable Water products

GOES sounder Lifted Index and Total Precipitable Water products

A few hours later, thunderstorms that developed ahead of the advancing cold front in Oklahoma and southern Kansas exhibited cloud top IR brightness temperatures as cold as -84º C (purple color enhancement) on AWIPS imagery of the MODIS 11.0 µm channel (below).

MODIS 11.0 µm IR image + SPC storm reports

MODIS 11.0 µm IR image + SPC storm reports

===== 21 JULY UPDATE =====

On the following day, MODIS 3.7 µm shortwave IR and MODIS Land Surface Temperature (LST) images (below) revealed a long swath of rain-cooled ground across far western Kansas. MODIS LST values were in the 75-85º F range (green colors) within the swath of rain-cooled ground, in contrast to LST values in excess of 110º F (darker orange colors) just to the west.

MODIS 3.7 µm shortwave IR + MODIS Land Surface Temperature product

MODIS 3.7 µm shortwave IR + MODIS Land Surface Temperature product