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Strong winds across Pennsylvania

Storm Prediction Center storm reports for the 24 hours ending 1200 UTC on 30 April 2025 show a line of strong wind reports from the mid-Mississippi River valley east-northeastward into central Pennsylvania. What satellite products could have been useful on 29 April to anticipate the arrival of these strong winds?... Read More

Storm Prediction Center storm reports for the 24 hours ending 1200 UTC on 30 April 2025 show a line of strong wind reports from the mid-Mississippi River valley east-northeastward into central Pennsylvania.

SPC Storm Reports for the 24 hours ending 1200 UTC on 30 April 2025

What satellite products could have been useful on 29 April to anticipate the arrival of these strong winds? The animation below shows Derived Lifted Index (a clear-sky only product) values plotted on top of visible imagery. Lifted Index values between -2 and -5 are widespread through much of the animation over western Pennsylvania. Convection moving in from the west will be able to access this instability.

GOES-East visible imagery (Band 2, 0.64 µm) and Derived Lifted Index (scaled from -5 to 10), 1441 UTC on 29 April 2025 to 0001 UTC on 30 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)

NUCAPS profiles were also available over Pennsylvania in a cluster from 1500-1800 UTC, as shown in the animation below. The ‘Sounding Availability Plot’ includes more than one overpass, and selected profiles are shown over central Pennsylvania. Of particular note is the region in very rural Clearfield County where three profiles were sensed over the course of 3 hours! It’s worth repeating that the NUCAPS points are actually a volume of air, a tube about 50km in diameter that matches the ATMS footprint. Considerable destabilization is diagnosed over the three hours. Based on these profiles, a forecaster observing the severe weather reports upstream might not suspect that incoming convection will weaken. (Here’s an animation of just the three profiles over rural Clearfield County).

NUCAPS Profiles over central Pennsylvania, 1500-1800 UTC on 29 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)

Clean window infrared imagery, below, spanning from 1900 UTC on 29 April through 0300 UTC on 30 April 2025, shows that coldest cloud tops warmed as the convection moved into central Pennsylvania. However, widespread power outages were reported, as shown here from this source.

GOES-19 Clean Window infrared (Band 13, 10.3 µm) imagery, 1900 UTC/29 April 2025 – 0300 UTC/30 April 2025

Were the power outages caused by the storms visible in the Day Night band, similar to this event in Spain? The toggle below compares Day Night Band imagery from early morning on the 29th (before the storms) and early morning on the 30th (just after the storms). It’s hard to tell for sure because a lot of the changes in illumination on 30 April are due to the thick cloud cover from the storms.

Day Night Band imagery over Pennsylvania, 0636 UTC on 29 April and 0758 UTC on 30 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)

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Giant hail and damaging winds in Texas

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) and “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (above) showed thunderstorms that produced giant hail (as large as 5.00 inches in diameter) and damaging wind gusts (as high as 106 mph) across the Texas Panhandle and North Texas (SPC Storm Reports) on 29 April 2025. The Infrared images revealed pulses of... Read More

1-minute GOES-19 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm, top) and “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm, bottom) images with time-matched (+/- 3 minutes) SPC Storm Reports plotted in red/white, from 1920 UTC on 29 April to 0010 UTC on 30 April [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) and “Clean” Infrared Window (10.3 µm) images (above) showed thunderstorms that produced giant hail (as large as 5.00 inches in diameter) and damaging wind gusts (as high as 106 mph) across the Texas Panhandle and North Texas (SPC Storm Reports) on 29 April 2025. The Infrared images revealed pulses of thunderstorm overshooting tops that exhibited 10.3 µm brightness temperatures as cold as -78ºC (brighter white pixels embedded within dark black regions) — and the signature of an Above-Anvil Cirrus Plume (reference) was evident in Visible imagery (although the warmer AACP signature was less distinct in the lower-resolution Infrared images).

According to a plot of rawinsonde data (source) from Fort Worth, Texas at 0000 UTC on 30 April (below), the coldest GOES-19 cloud-top infrared brightness temperature of -78ºC represented a ~1.5 km overshoot of the Most Unstable air parcel Equilibrium Level (MU EL).

Plot of rawinsonde data from Fort Worth, Texas at 0000 UTC on 30 April [click to enlarge]

GOES-19 Visible images with plots of GLM Flash Points (below) displayed abundant lightning activity associated with these supercell thunderstorms — which were generally focused in the vicinity of a quasi-stationary frontal boundary.

1-minute GOES-19 Visible (0.64 µm) images with plots of 1-minute GOES-19 GLM Flash Points, from 1910 UTC on 29 April to 0009 UTC on 30 April [click to play MP4 animation]

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Power outage on the Iberian Peninsula in the Day Night Band

Power outages over the Iberian Peninsula on 28-29 April 2025 have caused wide-spread travel (and life) disruptions (Reuters link). Day Night Band imagery from the NASA Worldview Site (link), shown below, show a reduction in city lights especially over southern Spain on the 29th. The NOAA-20 overpass on 29 April was... Read More

Power outages over the Iberian Peninsula on 28-29 April 2025 have caused wide-spread travel (and life) disruptions (Reuters link). Day Night Band imagery from the NASA Worldview Site (link), shown below, show a reduction in city lights especially over southern Spain on the 29th. The NOAA-20 overpass on 29 April was shortly after 0140 UTC. Skies at that time were mostly clear over southern Spain

The 3-day animation below includes imagery from 27 April as well.

NOAA-20 Day Night Band visible (0.7 µm) imagery, 27-29 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)

When NOAA-20 overflew Spain early on 30 April, Day Night Band imagery did not show widespread outages, as shown below.

NOAA-20 Day Night Band visible (0.7 µm) imagery, 30 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)

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Long-range transport of blowing dust from Mexico, New Mexico and Texas to the Upper Midwest

5-minute CONUS Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) daytime True Color RGB images created using Geo2Grid (above) provided a distinct view of widespread blowing dust that had its primary source regions in northern Mexico and southern New Mexico on 27 April 2025. Peak wind gusts were as high as 50 knots at Deming NM and 46 knots at El Paso TX. After sunset, Dust RGB... Read More

5-minute GOES-19 daytime True Color RGB + nighttime Dust RGB images, from 1901 UTC on 27 April to 0601 UTC on 28 April [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

5-minute CONUS Sector GOES-19 (GOES-East) daytime True Color RGB images created using Geo2Grid (above) provided a distinct view of widespread blowing dust that had its primary source regions in northern Mexico and southern New Mexico on 27 April 2025. Peak wind gusts were as high as 50 knots at Deming NM and 46 knots at El Paso TX. After sunset, Dust RGB images highlighted the airborne dust (shades of magenta) as it was transported northeastward as far as southeast Colorado and southwest Kansas by 0601 UTC on 28 April. In addition, a few wildfires across northern Mexico and central New Mexico were producing notable smoke plumes prior to sunset.

A longer animation of 10-minute Full Disk scan GOES-19 Dust RGB images (below) showed that the leading edge of airborne dust had advanced as far northeastward as Nebraska by 0900 UTC on 28 April, and northwestern Wisconsin and the western Upper Peninsula of Michigan by 2110 UTC on 28 April.

10-minute GOES-19 Dust RGB images, from 1800 UTC on 27 April to 0600 UTC on 29 April [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

HYSPLIT Model forward trajectories initialized near the dust source regions in far northern Mexico (below) indicated that the dust-laden air parcels likely ascended to altitudes of 4.0 to 6.5 km by the time they passed over Wisconsin and Michigan by 0000 UTC on 29 April — which was in good agreement with what was observed in the longer animation of GOES-19 Dust RGB images.

HYSPLIT Model forward trajectories, from 2000 UTC on 27 April to 0500 UTC on 29 April

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