GOES-19 is slated to become the next operational GOES-East in April. Despite being trained on GOES-16 data, CIMSS and NOAA scientists have been busy evaluating the AI lightning-prediction model, LightningCast, on GOES-19 output to prepare for the operational transition and see how adaptable the model is.Overall, the LightningCast output on... Read More
A positively-tilted upper-level trough generated severe thunderstorms across the eastern U.S. recently. The associated surface low-pressure system with attendant cold front spawned numerous severe storms from Mississippi to Ohio to Virigina.The LightningCast model picked up on this developing convection, providing 10-30 minutes of lead time to lightning initiation in many... Read More
Lightning dashboard for Bismarck Airport, North Dakota.
The Storm Prediction Center placed portions of the upper Midwest United States in a marginal risk of severe weather on 8 February 2024 and issued two mesoscale discussion on the thunderstorm development, one at 2053 UTC, one at 2345 UTC. The graphic from the 2053 UTC MD is shown below. The animation above shows clean window infrared imagery overlain by the Level... Read More
