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Transport of ice floes from Green Bay into Lake Michigan

GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images which include plots of GOES-16 Derived Motion Winds within the Suface-900 hPa layer (above) showed the eastward transport of several ice floes from the northern portion of Green Bay into Lake Michigan on 30 January 2023. Surface wind gusts and Derived Motion Wind speeds were generally in the... Read More

GOES-16 “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images, with GOES-16 Derived Motion Winds plotted in yellow and hourly METAR surface reports plotted in cyan [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

GOES-16 (GOES-East) “Red” Visible (0.64 µm) images which include plots of GOES-16 Derived Motion Winds within the Suface-900 hPa layer (above) showed the eastward transport of several ice floes from the northern portion of Green Bay into Lake Michigan on 30 January 2023. Surface wind gusts and Derived Motion Wind speeds were generally in the 15-20 knot range during much of the day.

VIIRS True Color RGB and False Color RGB images from NOAA-20 and Suomi-NPP (below) confirmed that these features were ice floes (snow and ice appear as shades of cyan in the False Color RGB images). The VIIRS data were downloaded and processed by the SSEC/CIMSS Direct Broadcast ground station.

VIIRS True Color RGB and False Color RGB images from NOAA-20 and Suomi-NPP [click to enlarge]

The emergence of ice floes into Lake Michigan can also be seen in a comparison of RADARSAT Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) wind data (source) at 1208 UTC and 2332 UTC (below). Ice features are very reflective in SAR wind data, and appear as brighter shades of yellow to red in these 2 images.

RADARSAT SAR wind imagery at 1208 UTC and 2332 UTC [click to enlarge]

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Lake effect Bands and one Convergence Band over Lake Superior

An animation of the Day Cloud Type RGB over Lake Superior on 30 January 2023, above, shows two prominent features: persistent lake-effect bands oriented west-northwest to east-southeast over the western four-fifths of the Lake (station KCMX on the Keewenaw peninsula, for example, observed heavy snow during this animation), and a more north-south oriented convergence band that extends from the eastern Upper Peninsula of... Read More

GOES-16 Day Cloud Type RGB, 1611 UTC – 1836 UTC on 30 January 2023 (Click to enlarge)

An animation of the Day Cloud Type RGB over Lake Superior on 30 January 2023, above, shows two prominent features: persistent lake-effect bands oriented west-northwest to east-southeast over the western four-fifths of the Lake (station KCMX on the Keewenaw peninsula, for example, observed heavy snow during this animation), and a more north-south oriented convergence band that extends from the eastern Upper Peninsula of Michigan towards Marathon, ON. Note the northeast wind observation on Caribou Island in eastern Lake Superior.

Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) winds from Metop-B (that had a timely descending overpass to view Lake Superior), shown below, neatly show the convergent wind field. (Imagery from this website). A 1500 UTC surface analysis (here) shows a trough of low pressure over extreme eastern Lake Superior consistent with the region of northeast winds.

ASCAT winds from Metop-B, 1526 UTC on 30 January 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Note that the RGB used above is the Day Cloud Type RGB (rather than the perhaps more well-known Day Cloud Phase Distinction). In very cold airmasses, the ‘red’ band of the Day Cloud Phase Distinction RGB loses the ability to discriminate between the cold ground and higher cloud tops that might have a temperature similar to the Earth’s surface. The Day Cloud Type RGB uses Band 4 (the so-called ‘Cirrus Band’) rather than Band 13. The toggle below compares Day Cloud Type and Day Cloud Phase Distinction RGBs at 1736 UTC. Day Cloud Type is doing a better job on this day in discriminating between the different cloud tops in the Lake-Effect bands and in the convergence band.

GOES-16 Day Cloud Type and Day Cloud Phase Distinction RGBs, 1736 UTC on 30 January 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Thanks to Paul Ford, ECCC, for drawing our attention to this interesting convergent band over Lake Superior!

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Flooding in Auckland New Zealand

Auckland, on the North Island of New Zealand, has experienced significant flooding starting on 27 January 2023. MIMIC Total Precipitable Water fields, above, (from this site, or downloadable here) show an atmospheric connection between the deep tropical moisture that is persistent between 5oS and 20oS; a filament moves with a cyclonic swirl from 26-28 January. A second region of... Read More

MIMIC Total Precipitable Water, 0000 UTC 25 January 2023 – 2300 UTC 29 January 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Auckland, on the North Island of New Zealand, has experienced significant flooding starting on 27 January 2023. MIMIC Total Precipitable Water fields, above, (from this site, or downloadable here) show an atmospheric connection between the deep tropical moisture that is persistent between 5oS and 20oS; a filament moves with a cyclonic swirl from 26-28 January. A second region of even more moisture is poised to the north of New Zealand by 0000 UTC 30 January. How unusually wet is this moisture stream? NOAA’s Office of Satellite Products and Observations (OSPO) produces percent-of-normal total precipitable water products, available at this website. The values near New Zealand early on 27 January are around 150% of normal, as shown below.

Percent of Normal Total Precipitable Water, observations ending 0102 UTC on 27 January 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Values approaching New Zealand on 30 January 2023, shown below, are somewhat larger: closer to 175% of normal.

Percent of Normal Total Precipitable Water, observations ending 1002 UTC on 30 January 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Himawairi-9 imagery on 26-27 January 2023, shown below, shows persistent convective development in/around Auckland.

Himawari-9 clean window infrared (10.4) imagery, every half-hour from 0000 UTC 26 January – 1000 UTC 27 January 2023 (Click to enlarge)

Rain totals can be estimated from Satellite. GsMap, a website maintained by JAXA, produces hourly and daily rainfall maps, and the 24-hour total ending at 1200 UTC on 27 January (from this link) is shown below. A similar image, but for the 24 hours ending at 1200 UTC on 30 January 2023, also shown below, indicates very large accumulations over the ocean to the north of New Zealand.

GsMAP estimates of 24-h rainfall ending 1200 UTC 27 January 2023 (Click to enlarge). Maximum values (in orange) are a bit greater than 100 mm.
GsMAP estimates of 24-h rainfall ending 1200 UTC 30 January 2023 (Click to enlarge). Maximum values (in red) to the southeast of New Caledonia are a bit greater than 250 mm

CMORPH real-time estimates of 24-hour precipitation are available in RealEarth (enter ‘CMORPH’ in the search box at that website, or click this link for the event discussed in this blog post). Values for the 24 hours ending 2359 UTC on 26 January, and for the 24 hours ending on 27 January, below, show values near 100 mm around Auckland for the two days. Values for the 24 hours ending 29 January show heavy rains moving back on to the North Island.

CMORPH estimates of 24-hour precipitation ending 2359 UTC on 27 January 2023 (Click to enlarge)

GOES-18 also views New Zealand. The animation of the Night Microphysics RGB, below, produced by the CSPP Geosphere site shows the deep clouds (in red) associated with the abundant moisture/tall clouds to the north of New Zealand, with a slow southward motion to the cloud mass.

Night Microphysics RGB, 1040 UTC – 1420 UTC on 30 January 2023

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Flash flooding across parts of Hawai’i

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) “Clean” Infrared images (above) showed convection — which was focused along a quasi-stationary surface trough axis — that was producing periods of moderate to heavy rainfall across parts of Hawai’i on 28 January 2023. Numerous Flash Flood Warnings were issued by NWS Honolulu during this time,... Read More

GOES-18 “Clean” Infrared images [click to play MP4 animation]

1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) “Clean” Infrared images (above) showed convection — which was focused along a quasi-stationary surface trough axis — that was producing periods of moderate to heavy rainfall across parts of Hawai’i on 28 January 2023. Numerous Flash Flood Warnings were issued by NWS Honolulu during this time, frequently for the island of Maui (where the storms appeared to be back-building at times).

During the daytime hours, 1-minute GOES-18 “Red” Visible images (below) also displayed the Total Precipitable Water (TPW) derived product (in cloud-free areas) — with TPW values as high as 1.5-1.6 inches in the vicinity of the surface trough axis.

GOES-18 “Red” Visible images [click to play MP4 animation]

GOES-18 “Clean” Infrared Window images which included an overlay of GLM Flash Extent Density (below) showed that these storms produced occasional lighting over the Big Island, Maui and Moloka’i.

GOES-18 “Clean” Infrared Window images, with an overlay of GLM Flash Extent Density [click to play MP4 animation]

The MIMIC-TPW product (below) displayed the plume of moisture that was flowing northeastward across the island chain during te 27-28 January period.

MIMIC-TPW product during the 27-28 January period [click to play animated GIF | MP4]

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