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Category: LightningCast

South Dakota’s first February tornado on record

5-minute CONUS Sector GOES-16 (GOES-East) Visible and Infrared images (above) displayed a thunderstorm that was moving southeast from Aberdeen (KABR) to Watertown (KATY) in northeastern South Dakota on 24 February 2025. While overall GLM-detected lightning activity was relatively modest, periodic increases in Flash Extent Density (orange to red pixels) were evident.A Special... Read More

LightningCast version 2

The ProbSevere LightningCast version 1 (v1) model uses machine learning and GOES-R Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) data to predict the probability of lightning in the next 60 minutes. This version will be operational at NOAA later in 2025.As research and development continues, a new version of the model (LightningCast v2) adds... Read More

Assessing rain chances over the Samoan Islands

Night Microphysics RGB imagery from the CSPP Geosphere site (link) show the blossoming of high clouds (deep red in the RGB) north of the Samoan Islands, clouds that subsequently sag southward. Careful inspection of the animation also shows clouds that are more pink than deep red; these are likely mid-level... Read More

LightningCast applied to new sensors

GOES-19 is slated to become the next operational GOES-East in April. Despite being trained on GOES-16 data, CIMSS and NOAA scientists have been busy evaluating the AI lightning-prediction model, LightningCast, on GOES-19 output to prepare for the operational transition and see how adaptable the model is.Overall, the LightningCast output on... Read More