Probability of Moderate or Greater (MOG) Turbulence is a Machine-Learning product that uses satellite imagery (Band 13 — the clean window infrared channel at 10.3 µm — over the GOES-West domain; GOES-16 Probabilities use both Band 13 and the upper-level water vapor imagery — Band 8 at 6.19 µm; training... Read More
GOES-16 (GOES-East) Mid-level Water Vapor (6.9 µm) images (above) displayed an isolated vortex of very dry air moving over Texas and Louisiana on 24 March 2022. Contours of RAP40 model PV1.5 Pressure — a representation of the “dynamic tropopause” — indicated that this dry feature was a Potential Vorticity (PV) anomaly,... Read More
GOES-16 (GOES-East) Mid-level Water Vapor (6.9 µm) images along with a Turbulence Probability product (above) showed the formation of a banner cloud in northwestern Montana on 14 March 2022 — this orographic cloud feature appeared to be anchored to the Lewis Range and Sawtooth Range, which rise to elevations of 8,000-9,000 feet. The Probability of... Read More
Turbulence probability is an aviation tool created (using machine learning techniques) at CIMSS to diagnose the likelihood of Moderate Or Greater (MOG) turbulence at least once during a 10-minute period. The image above shows the 1455 UTC MOG Turbulence Probability along with pilot reports (PIREPS) of turbulence, taken from this website.... Read More
