Archive for July, 2007

MCV over the central Plains

Wednesday, July 25th, 2007

mcv205-206movie.gif

An mesoscale phenomenon that sometimes emerges out of Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS) is the Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV). Intense latent heating within the rain core of an MCS can help spin up a vortex that will occasionally live on even as the MCS that spawned it withers away. The spin-up can be visualized as a potential vorticity response to latent heating in mid levels that increases static stability and therefore increases the potential vorticity, inducing spin. The spin development can also be viewed in terms of changes in height via the Quasi-geostrophic height tendency equation: latent heat above causes height falls below and the development of cyclonic spin.

Atmospheres that support the development of MCVs have things in common. Abundant moisture and low stability are important. It’s also common to have low values of vertical wind shear; that is, the wind profile is fairly uniform. The degree of uniformity together with the amount of moisture and instability help determine if the MCV will be sustained. The key to persistence is ongoing warming through latent heat release at mid levels.

On 24 July, a large MCS over the northern Plains spawned an MCV that moved eastward and southward into Minnesota. The loop is above. Focus on the large cloud mass over the Dakotas that moves towards central Minnesota. The cyclonic spin of the MCV is subtle but present.

This MCV traversed a region of plentiful moisture, as shown by surface dewpoint plots at 15z and at 21z. Dewpoint plots at 850 hPa also show plenty of moisture over the upper midwest, and plots of 700-400 hPa wind speed shearshow a region of small shear over the upper midwest. You can also check out Chanhassen’s upper air sounding at 12z on the 24th and 00z on the 25th.

What do the conventional data show? Abundant moisture in a region of small vertical shear. That is precisely the kind of atmosphere that supports MCVs.

Added: A visible loop that more clearly shows the cyclonic spin of the MCV is available here. (Caution: this is a 12 megabyte animated gif)

Rapid warming of southern Lake Michigan water temperatures

Monday, July 23rd, 2007

AWIPS MODIS SST image

An AWIPS image of the MODIS Sea Surface Temperature (SST) product (above) revealed a pocket of warmer SST values (72-75º F or 22-24º C, orange enhancement) over the mid-lake waters of southern Lake Michigan during the afternoon (around 19:41 UTC, or 2:41 PM local time) on 23 July 2007.

An animation of daily MODIS SST images (below) indicates that this particular warm water feature was not evident on afternoon MODIS SST imagery over southern Lake Michigan on 20 July or 21 July, but the water temperatures did begin to increase over that general region on 22 July.

MODIS SST images (Animated GIF)

A time series plot (below) of the air temperature and water temperature from the southern Lake Michigan Buoy 45007 (data courtesy of the National Data Buoy Center) shows that water temperatures at that location (along the northern fringe of the warm SST feature) warmed at a rate of nearly 1º F per hour during the afternoon hours on 23 July (with a total increase of 9º F or 5º C in the 12-hour period from 12:00-00:00 UTC). It is interesting to note that the Buoy 45007 water temperature (blue; measured at 0.6 meter below the site elevation) warmed more quickly than the Buoy 45007 air temperature (red; measured at 4 meters above the site elevation) during the daytime hours (12 GMT to 00 GMT) on both on 22 July and 23 July. Relatively light winds (4 knots or less) and low wave heights during the morning and afternoon allowed for such a rapid warming of the lake’s “skin temperature” (a similar diurnal change in SST values over the Gulf of Mexico and the western Atlantic Ocean — as much as 3º K (5º F) in regions of light winds — was previously reported using GOES-8/GOES-9 IR satellite data [Wu, Menzel, and Wade, 1999]). The maximum MODIS SST values of 77º F (25º C) seen on 23 July were the warmest observed over southern Lake Michigan during the 8-day period from 17-24 July.

Buoy 45007 air and water temperature