On 28 April, SPC’s convective outlook showed a small region of SLGT RSK over western Nebraska, with Marginal probabilities over most of Nebraska and Kansas (link to 2000 UTC outlook). The animation above shows hourly CAPE predictions from a 3-km version of the Rapid Refresh that is run hourly and initialized with Polar Hyperspectral... Read More
A colder-than-normal February over the western Great Lakes (through the 27th, Duluth is 10o F below normal; Marquette is 5o F below normal; Green Day is 2o F below normal; Cleveland is 1o F below normal) has fostered a growth in ice cover over the Lakes (This figure, from here, for... Read More
MIMIC Total Precipitable Water esimates over the Indian Ocean for the 24 hours ending at 2000 UTC on 1 February 2022, above, show the strong cyclonic circulation associated with Cyclone Basirai. Its forecast motion is westward towards Madagascar, as shown in the toggle below that also includes sea-surface temperatures and... Read More
Microwave-derived estimates of Total Precipitable Water (TPW), above, from MIMIC TPW, show an increase in moisture around the Samoan Islands to the west of 170o W. Percent of Normal mappings of blended TPW in this region, as shown below (taken from this site), show values at >150% of normal.In anticipation of heavy... Read More
