NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere Model

NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere is a statistical model that predicts the probability that a storm will produce severe weather in the near-term. ProbSevere inputs include: GOES-East, GOES-West, Rapid Refresh NWP, MRMS severe weather products, and total lightning (see one-pager).

2018 ProbSevere Update PDF

ProbSevere v1 vs. v2 fact sheet