GOES-14 SRSO-R: severe thunderstorms in parts of the Midwest and the Southern Plains

May 11th, 2016

GOES-14 Infrared Window (10.7 µm) images, with parallax-corrected SPC storm reports [click to play animation]

GOES-14 Infrared Window (10.7 µm) images, with parallax-corrected SPC storm reports [click to play animation]

The GOES-14 satellite remained in Super Rapid Scan Operations for GOES-R (SRSO-R) mode for part of the day on 11 May 2016; Infrared Window (10.7 µm) images (above) showed the nocturnal development of a severe thunderstorm ahead of an approaching occluded front (surface analyses) that dropped large amounts of hail in the northwestern section of Omaha, Nebraska (station identifier KOMA), stripping trees of foliage and clogging some city streets (even requiring the use of snow plows and shovels: photo 1 | photo 2). The storm began to exhibit an “enhanced-V” signature just prior to the time that it started producing large hail in Omaha. Note: the plotted location of the SPC storm reports on this animation (and all animations on this blog post) have been parallax-corrected, moving them slightly north-northeastward to match the location of cloud top features having a mean altitude of 10 km. The letters UNK after a W wind report denotes “unknown intensity”.

During the late afternoon and early evening, GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images (below; also available as a large 59 Mbyte animated GIF) revealed additional thunderstorms which produced hail and damaging winds across eastern Missouri and southern Illinois (SPC storm reports). These storms fired along an outflow boundary left in the wake of another mesoscale convective system (MCS)  that moved through the region earlier in the day.

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images, with parallax-corrected SPC storm reports [click to play MP4 animation]

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images, with parallax-corrected SPC storm reports [click to play MP4 animation]

Side note: there was a planned outage of GOES-14 SRSO-R imagery from 1059-2119 UTC. During this time, the GOES-13 (GOES-East) satellite had been placed into Rapid Scan Operations (RSO) mode, providing images as frequently as every 5-7 minutes. Visible (0.63 µm) images (below) showed the mesoscale convective system that produced hail as large as 4.0 inches in diameter in the St. Louis, Missouri area.

GOES-13 visible (0.63 µm) images, with parallax-corrected SPC storm reports [click to play animation]

GOES-13 visible (0.63 µm) images, with parallax-corrected SPC storm reports [click to play animation]

Finally, late in the day another MCS developed in North Texas, just west of the Dallas/Fort Worth area. GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images with parallax-corrected SPC storm reports (below; also available as a large 54 Mbyte animated GIF) showed the large hail and damaging winds produced by this storm. One feature of interest was the “storm-top plume” that emanated from the largest cluster of overshooting tops, and was blown northeastward.

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images, with parallax-corrected SPC storm reports [click to play MP4 animation]

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images, with parallax-corrected SPC storm reports [click to play MP4 animation]

GOES-14 SRSO-R: severe thunderstorms in Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma

May 9th, 2016

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 um) images, with SPC storm reports [click to play MP4 animation]

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images, with SPC storm reports [click to play MP4 animation]

Widespread severe thunderstorms (SPC storm reports) developed across Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma in the warm sector of a surface low centered over western Kansas (surface analyses) on 09 May 2016. The GOES-14 satellite was operating in Super Rapid Scan Operations for GOES-R (SRSO-R) mode, providing images at 1-minute intervals; Visible (0.63 µm) images with overlays of SPC storm reports covering Nebraska/Kansas (above; also available as a large 133 Mbyte animated GIF) and Kansas/Oklahoma (below; also available as a large 130 Mbyte animated GIF) showed the development of the convection during the 1845 UTC to 0115 UTC (3:45 pm to 8:15 pm local time) period. The first EF4-rated tornado of the 2016 season (which was responsible for 1 fatality) occurred near Katie, Oklahoma; hail was as large as 4.25 inches in diameter Nebraska and 4.0 inches in Oklahoma.

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 um) images, with SPC storm reports [click to play MP4 animation]

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images, with SPC storm reports [click to play MP4 animation]

NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere with a tornadic cell in Kansas/Oklahoma

April 26th, 2016
GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) Imagery, 26 April 2016. An orphan anvil is indicated by the Green Arrow at the start of the animation (click to play animation)

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) Imagery, 26 April 2016. An orphan anvil is indicated by the Green Arrow at the start of the animation (click to play animation)

April 26 2016 was a day of well-anticipated severe weather (even a week out!) over the central and southern Plains, with a Moderate Risk of Severe Weather predicted for parts of Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas. The GOES-14 visible animation, above, shows the development of strong thunderstorms in north-central Oklahoma that propagated into south central Kansas, producing hail around 2000 UTC. Note the presence of an orphan anvil just downstream of the developing convection (to the south of the Green Arrow) at the beginning of the GOES-14 SRSO-R animation (that unfortunately has a 15-minute data gap starting at 1900 UTC).

How did the NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere product perform with this severe cell? ProbSevere provides a probabilistic estimate of whether a cell will produce severe weather within the next 60 minutes. The animation below shows the quick development of the radar feature that became the hail producer. The Satellite Growth of this particular storm was not observed to be strong. Moderate satellite growth and weak glaciation was diagnosed. However, ProbSevere values became very large because of the environment in which the cell developed, because of the presence of large MRMS MESH observations, and active lightning. ProbSevere exceeded a 50% threshold at 1912 UTC, 6 minutes before the Severe Thunderstorm Warning was issued.  The Table at the bottom shows the ProbSevere components as a function of time.

According to SPC storm reports, the cell produced a brief rope tornado at 2058 UTC in far southern Kansas. This storm was blogged about at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. Click here and here for blog posts on the environmental instability.

NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere Output, 1824-1946 UTC on 26 April 2016 (click to play animation)

NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere Output, 1824-1946 UTC on 26 April 2016 (click to play animation)

A zoomed-in animation of the Visible Imagery shows the orphan anvil developing around 1740 UTC. (A rocking animation is here).

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) Imagery, 26 April 2016. The orphan anvil is indicated by the Cyan Arrows through the animation (click to play animation)

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) Imagery, 26 April 2016. The orphan anvil is indicated by the Cyan Arrows through the animation (click to play animation)

 

Time (UTC) ProbSevere MUCAPE Env. Bulk Shear MRMS MESH (Inches) Satellite Growth Satellite Glaciation # Flashes
1854
1858 20% 4739 41.9 0.29 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 0
1900 29% 4702 41.8 0.45 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 0
1908 34% 4640 40.9 0.54 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 5
1910 47% 4628 40.7 0.65 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 13
1912 59% 4623 40.4 0.65 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 24
1914 58% 4619 40.1 0.65 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 24
1916 58% 4614 39.8 0.65 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 24
1918 54% 4614 39.8 0.60 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 24
1920 60% 4592 39.4 0.74 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 20
1922 65% 4591 39.1 0.80 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 20
1924 73% 4591 39.1 0.80 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 25
1926 75% 4572 38.8 0.84 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 26
1928 88% 4578 38.7 1.01 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 31
1930 89% 4578 38.7 1.01 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 36
1932 97% 4580 38.6 1.24 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 49
1934 97% 4560 38.3 1.24 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 58
1936 97% 4544 38.1 1.24 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 58
1938 97% 4543 38.0 1.24 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 58
1940 97% 4540 37.8 1.26 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 58
1942 98% 4528 37.7 1.53 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 56
1944 99% 4516 37.5 1.71 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 56
1946 99% 4507 37.4 1.71 1.9% (Moderate) 0.02 (Weak) 56

 

GOES-14 SRSO-R: Convection over Wyoming/Montana, and the Storm Hill Fire in South Dakota

April 24th, 2016

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images, with surface plots [click to play MP4 animation]

GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) images, with surface plots [click to play MP4 animation]

GOES-14 was in SRSO-R mode on 23 April24 April 2016, providing 1-minute Visible (0.63 µm) images (above; also available as a large 115 Mbyte animated GIF) which showed the development of convection over far northern Utah/Colorado, much of Wyoming, southern Montana, and far western South Dakota during the daytime hours of 23 April. Some of this convection produced moderate to heavy rainfall (and some accumulating snowfall) across Wyoming and southern Montana.

Hat tip to Jim Strain, who sent out the Tweet:

Taking a closer look at the Black Hills of South Dakota with GOES-14 Visible (0.63 µm) and Shortwave Infrared (3.9 µm) images (below; also available as a large 151 Mbyte animated GIF), one can see intermittent smoke plumes from the Storm Hill Fire (located near the center of the red circle) on the Visible images during the late afternoon and early evening hours, with the continuation of a fire “hot spot” signature (dark black to yellow color enhancement) on the Shortwave Infrared images into the nighttime hours. The maximum shortwave IR brightness temperature was 324 K at 0424 UTC (10:24 pm local time); the fire hot spot became obscured by dense cloud cover after about 0600 UTC. Highways are plotted in dashed magenta lines on the images.

GOES-14 0.63 µm Visible (left) and 3.9 µm Shortwave Infrared (right) images [click to play MP4 animation]

GOES-14 0.63 µm Visible (left) and 3.9 µm Shortwave Infrared (right) images [click to play MP4 animation]