{"id":63907,"date":"2025-04-04T20:57:06","date_gmt":"2025-04-04T20:57:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/?p=63907"},"modified":"2025-04-05T16:21:21","modified_gmt":"2025-04-05T16:21:21","slug":"when-you-have-an-isolated-thunderstorm-how-can-you-tell-that-its-not-a-volcanic-eruption","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/63907","title":{"rendered":"When you have an isolated thunderstorm, how can you tell that it&#8217;s not a volcanic eruption?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Brandon Aydlett, the Science and Operations Officer (SOO) at the NWS forecast office in Guam (where the National Weather Service day begins) relays the following message:  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><code>Yesterday we received a call from a local radio noting something suspicious in IR imagery over the Philippines. Of course, it looked eerily like a volcanic eruption, of course, in a volcanically-active area<\/code><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What steps might one take see if something is\/is not a volcano? Consider the image below that the radio personality saw, from 1820 UTC on 2 April 2025. What is that isolated feature over the island of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Samar\">Samar<\/a> in the central Philippines? If you saw that very cold cloud top, how might you decide if it&#8217;s a thunderstorm vs. a volcano?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/HIMAWARI-9_AHI_B13_20250402_182000_PhilLL.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/HIMAWARI-9_AHI_B13_20250402_182000_PhilLL.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63916\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/HIMAWARI-9_AHI_B13_20250402_182000_PhilLL.png 960w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/HIMAWARI-9_AHI_B13_20250402_182000_PhilLL-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/HIMAWARI-9_AHI_B13_20250402_182000_PhilLL-768x576.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Himawari-9 Band 13 Clean Window (10.4 \u00b5m) infrared imagery, 1820 UTC on 2 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>NOAA-20 overflew the region shortly after 1700 UTC on 2 April, and a toggle between the Day Night Band imagery and the I05 infrared (11.45) imagery, below (<a href=\"https:\/\/worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov\/?v=113.2968094314461,4.670108143954809,135.23417825544334,18.103581789063767&amp;l=Reference_Labels_15m(hidden),Reference_Features_15m(hidden),Coastlines_15m,OrbitTracks_NOAA-20_Descending,VIIRS_NOAA20_DayNightBand_At_Sensor_Radiance(hidden),VIIRS_NOAA20_Brightness_Temp_BandI5_Night,VIIRS_NOAA21_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),VIIRS_NOAA20_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),VIIRS_SNPP_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor&amp;lg=true&amp;t=2025-04-02-T22%3A00%3A00Z\">from the NASA Worldview site<\/a>), shows a very faint cloud signature (the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.moongiant.com\/phase\/4\/02\/2025\/\">waxing crescent moon<\/a> was providing no illumination!), but a faint circulation can (just barely) be discerned in the <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/N20_DNB-2025-04-02T17Z.jpg\">Day Night band imagery<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2016\" height=\"1473\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/N20_DNB_I05-2025-04-02T17Ztoggle.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63917\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">NOAA-20 enhanced infrared I05 (11.45 \u00b5m) infrared imagery and Day Night Band visible (0.7 \u00b5m) imagery, 1700 UTC on 2 April 2025.  The sub-satellite point of NOAA-20 is indicated (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>MIMIC Total Precipitable Water fields, below, from 0000 UTC 1 April through 0000 UTC 3 April show a concentrated area of moisture moving towards\/over Samar, arriving at about 1200 UTC on 2 April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"470\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/MIMIC_WPAC_TPW_comp20250401.0000_to_0403.0000anim.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63920\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">MIMIC Total Precipitable water over the Western Pacific, 0000 UTC 1 April &#8211; 0000 UTC 3 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>ASCAT winds from Metop-B, shown below (<a href=\"https:\/\/manati.star.nesdis.noaa.gov\/datasets\/ASCATBData.php\">source<\/a>), also show a circulation moving towards the island of Samar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"740\" height=\"650\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/ASCAT_MetopB_2April2025_0017_1305UTCtoggle.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63921\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">ASCAT winds from Metop-B at 0017 UTC and 1305 UTC on 2 April 2025 (Click to enlarge);  Note the circulation center at 12 N!<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Himawari-9 provides animations (and multispectral observations) that might help differentiate between a thunderstorm and a volcano.  The animations (clean window infrared and Ash RGB) below are from 1000 to 2000 UTC;  at 2000 UTC the cold cloud tops are starting to warm.   Structures in the warmest clouds in the Band 13 imagery show arcs that are consistent with the circulation detected by Metop-B ASCAT.  The Ash RGB lacks the pink hues associated with volcanic ash (Ash RGB Quick Guide is <a href=\"https:\/\/rammb.cira.colostate.edu\/training\/visit\/quick_guides\/GOES_Ash_RGB.pdf\">here<\/a>).  So far, a lot of satellite indicators &#8212; from both geostationary and polar orbiters &#8212; argue against a volcanic event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/HIMAWARI-9_AHI_B13_20250402_1000_to_2000anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/HIMAWARI-9_AHI_B13_20250402_1000_to_2000anim.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63922\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Himawari-9 Band 13 Clean Window (10.4 \u00b5m) infrared imagery, 1000-2000 UTC on 2 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/HIMAWARI-9_AHI_ash_20250402_1000_to_2000anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"720\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/HIMAWARI-9_AHI_ash_20250402_1000_to_2000anim.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63923\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Himawari-9 Ash RGB, 1000-2000 UTC on 2 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s not unheard of that tropical convection and volcanic eruptions coincide in this part of the Philippines. (<a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2025\/04\/1991_06_14_2329utc_noaa10_visible_Pinatubo_ash_cloud_Yunya_landfall.png\">Here&#8217;s<\/a> the ash cloud from Pinatubo in 1991 mingling with the clouds of <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Typhoon_Yunya_(1991)\">Typhoon Yunya<\/a>, from <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/21415\">this blog post<\/a>; in Pinatubo&#8217;s case, the daytime imagery allowed for an easy visual distinction between the darker gray ash cloud and the brighter white cumulonimbus. This event on 2 April was at night.) However, neither the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.data.jma.go.jp\/vaac\/data\/index.html\">Tokyo VAAC<\/a> nor Seismic monitoring nor imagery at the <a href=\"https:\/\/volcano.ssec.wisc.edu\/imagery\/view\/#sector:Philippines_2_km::instr:AHI::instr:VIIRS::sat:all::image_type:RGB1112or13um_3911um_11um_Ash_Retv::endtime:2025-04-02_21-00-00::daterange:60\">CIMSS VOLCAT<\/a> site suggest any kind of volcanism.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/AshRetrieval_VolcanoSSEC_2100UTC_2April2025.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1012\" height=\"832\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/AshRetrieval_VolcanoSSEC_2100UTC_2April2025.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-63926\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/AshRetrieval_VolcanoSSEC_2100UTC_2April2025.png 1012w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/AshRetrieval_VolcanoSSEC_2100UTC_2April2025-300x247.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/AshRetrieval_VolcanoSSEC_2100UTC_2April2025-768x631.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1012px) 100vw, 1012px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Ash Retrieval information from SSEC VOLCAT site (link in text), 2100 UTC on 2 April 2025 (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Answer:  This is a thunderstorm!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>I am indebted to Brandon Aydlett, SOO at <a href=\"https:\/\/weather.gov\/gum\">WFO GUM<\/a>, for alerting me to this interesting case. He also sent along <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/20250403Philippines_Volcano_or_Not.pdf\">this pdf <\/a> outlining what happened when he got the request. You&#8217;ll note that the blog post includes much of what he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brandon Aydlett, the Science and Operations Officer (SOO) at the NWS forecast office in Guam (where the National Weather Service day begins) relays the following message: Yesterday we received a call from a local radio noting something suspicious in IR imagery over the Philippines. Of course, it looked eerily like a volcanic eruption, of course, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":63916,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,73,58,78,25,48,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general-interpretation","category-himawari-9","category-metop","category-noaa-20","category-satellite-winds","category-viirs","category-volcanic-activity"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63907","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=63907"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63907\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63953,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63907\/revisions\/63953"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63916"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=63907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=63907"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=63907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}