{"id":52490,"date":"2023-05-23T14:30:14","date_gmt":"2023-05-23T14:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/?p=52490"},"modified":"2023-05-23T17:16:15","modified_gmt":"2023-05-23T17:16:15","slug":"super-typhoon-mawar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/52490","title":{"rendered":"Super Typhoon Mawar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video height=\"892\" style=\"aspect-ratio: 1088 \/ 892;\" width=\"1088\" controls loop src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/H9Band13Target-20230522_1702_to_20230523_1212anim.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Himawawri-9 Band 13 Clean Window Infrared (10.4 \u00b5m) imagery, 1702 UTC on 22 May 2023 through 1212 UTC on 23 May 2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Himawari-9 Infrared Imagery, above, shows Mawar as it develops and eye and strenghtens to Super Typhoon status.  The animation above shows a well-developed symmetric storm with good outflow from all quadrants. The eye is seemingly in steady state from about 0300-0900 UTC, after which time its size shrinks.  The 0600 UTC update from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.metoc.navy.mil\/jtwc\/jtwc.html\">Joint Typhoon Warning Center<\/a> reported a central pressure near 923 mb.  Based on the analysis of heat content in the ocean (from the SSEC Tropical Weather Website), below, Mawar is close to its maximum strength.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/LowestSLPMawar_0600_23May2023.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"666\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/LowestSLPMawar_0600_23May2023-1024x666.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-52493\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/LowestSLPMawar_0600_23May2023-1024x666.gif 1024w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/LowestSLPMawar_0600_23May2023-300x195.gif 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/LowestSLPMawar_0600_23May2023-768x500.gif 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Maximum Potential Intensity Pressure (in hPa\/mb), 0500 UTC on 22 May 2023 (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The DPRINT product (formerly called Open-AIIR), a Machine-Learning tool that estimates winds based on satellite presentation, available at the <a href=\"http:\/\/tropic.ssec.wisc.edu\/\">SSEC Tropical Weather Website<\/a>, suggests a peak in intensity occurred around 1000 or 1100 UTC on 23 May.  However, Mawar remains a Super Typhoon.  Microwave observations of the eyewall structure (<a href=\"https:\/\/tropic.ssec.wisc.edu\/real-time\/archerOnline\/cyclones\/2023_02W\/web\/summaryTableERC.html\">here<\/a>), can be used to monitor the possibility of an Eyewall Replacement Cycle (ERC), which cycle will be responsible for short-time period variations in typhoon strength from now through landfall on\/near Guam.  Such cycles are challenging to predict in advance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/DPRINT_2023_02W_intensity_plot.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"964\" height=\"786\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/DPRINT_2023_02W_intensity_plot.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-52498\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/DPRINT_2023_02W_intensity_plot.png 964w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/DPRINT_2023_02W_intensity_plot-300x245.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/DPRINT_2023_02W_intensity_plot-768x626.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 964px) 100vw, 964px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">DPRINT (formerly OPEN-AIIR) estimates of Mawar&#8217;s intensity through 1420 UTC on 23 May 2023 (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>The RCM-2 satellite made another overpass over Mawar, this time at 0830 UTC on 23 May (previous SAR Observations are discussed <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/52430\">here<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/52451\">here<\/a>).  The image below compares the SAR observations with the Target Himawari Band 13 (Clean Window, 10.4 \u00b5m) image.  The strongest SAR winds are not completely encircling the eye.  All Mawar SAR observations\/analyses can be accessed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov\/socd\/mecb\/sar\/AKDEMO_products\/APL_winds\/tropical\/index.html?year=2023&amp;storm=WP022023_MAWAR\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/Himawari9_Band13_EyeSARWinds-20230523_0829toggle.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1089\" height=\"893\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/Himawari9_Band13_EyeSARWinds-20230523_0829toggle.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-52503\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Himawari-9 Clean Window infrared imagery (10.4 \u00b5m) and RCM-2 SAR Winds (scaled from 0-65 m\/s), 0830 UTC on 23 May 2023 (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Waves at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndbc.noaa.gov\/station_page.php?station=52200\">Ipan<\/a>, southeast of Guam, shown below, have increased to 16 feet.  Significant coastal flooding is expected on Guam with this storm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/IPAN_SeasPlotEnding1230AMCHST_24May.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/IPAN_SeasPlotEnding1230AMCHST_24May-1024x617.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-52509\" width=\"1024\" height=\"617\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/IPAN_SeasPlotEnding1230AMCHST_24May-1024x617.png 1024w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/IPAN_SeasPlotEnding1230AMCHST_24May-300x181.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/IPAN_SeasPlotEnding1230AMCHST_24May-768x462.png 768w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/IPAN_SeasPlotEnding1230AMCHST_24May.png 1166w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Wave Characteristics at Ipan, ending 1530 UTC on 23 May (0030 CHST on 24 May) (Click to enlarge)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Current forecasts have the path of Mawar bisecting the island of Guam.  Refer to the <a href=\"https:\/\/weather.gov\/gum\">National Weather Service Guam Forecast office website<\/a> for more information (Local statements from the Guam forecast office are <a href=\"https:\/\/forecast.weather.gov\/product.php?issuedby=PQ1&amp;product=HLS&amp;site=gum\">here<\/a>).  Other information is available at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.metoc.navy.mil\/jtwc\/jtwc.html\">JTWC<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jma.go.jp\/jma\/jma-eng\/jma-center\/rsmc-hp-pub-eg\/RSMC_HP.htm\">Tokyo RSMC<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Update, 1700 UTC on 23 May<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The satellite presentation of Mawar has degraded, and the eye is no longer so striking in satellite imagery.  The animation below runs from 0634 UTC, when the eye is distinct, through 1657 UTC on 23 May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video height=\"892\" style=\"aspect-ratio: 1088 \/ 892;\" width=\"1088\" controls loop src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/05\/H9Band13-20230523_0634_to_1657anim.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Himawawri-9 Band 13 Clean Window Infrared (10.4 \u00b5m) imagery, 0634 UTC on 22 May 2023 through 1657 UTC on 23 May 2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Himawari-9 Infrared Imagery, above, shows Mawar as it develops and eye and strenghtens to Super Typhoon status. The animation above shows a well-developed symmetric storm with good outflow from all quadrants. The eye is seemingly in steady state from about 0300-0900 UTC, after which time its size shrinks. The 0600 UTC update from the Joint [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":52496,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[73,104,25,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-himawari-9","category-sar","category-satellite-winds","category-tropical-cyclones"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52490","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52490"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52490\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":52516,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52490\/revisions\/52516"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/52496"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52490"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52490"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52490"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}