{"id":51768,"date":"2023-04-26T15:37:09","date_gmt":"2023-04-26T15:37:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/?p=51768"},"modified":"2024-01-19T18:40:54","modified_gmt":"2024-01-19T18:40:54","slug":"will-it-be-cloudy-on-april-8th-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/51768","title":{"rendered":"Will it be Cloudy on April 8th (2024)?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Due to the <a href=\"https:\/\/solarsystem.nasa.gov\/eclipses\/2024\/apr-8-total\/overview\/\">total solar eclipse<\/a> over parts of the contiguous U.S. on April 8, 2024, there are many wondering what the <a href=\"https:\/\/glossary.ametsoc.org\/wiki\/Cloud_cover\">cloud cover<\/a> may be then. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Q: Will it be cloudy over the path of the total solar eclipse on April 8, 2024? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A: We don&#8217;t know what the cloud cover will be on April 8th, 2024. To offer a clue, we can look to the past. The animation below is a geostationary visible image from April 8 over the last few decades. One image (~19 UTC) is shown for each day. The satellites include: <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Synchronous_Meteorological_Satellite\">SMS-1<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/GOES_3\">GOES-3<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov\/nmc\/experiment\/display.action?id=1975-011A-04\">SMS-2<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/GOES_5\">GOES-5<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/GOES_6\">GOES-6<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/GOES_7\">GOES-7<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/GOES_8\">GOES-8<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/GOES_12\">GOES-12<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/GOES_13\">GOES-13<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/nwafiles.nwas.org\/jom\/articles\/2018\/2018-JOM4\/2018-JOM4.pdf\">GOES-16<\/a> (here is a <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/05\/US_Geo_Sat_History_graphicRev_final-1536x864.jpg\">timeline of the U.S. geo imager<\/a>s). The loop below (<a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/04\/SE_VIS_path_1979_2023_loop_slower.gif\">animated gif<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/04\/SE_VIS_path_1979_2023_loop_slower.mp4\">mp4<\/a>) is also available as an <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/04\/SE_VIS_path_1979_2023_loop.gif\">animated gif<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/04\/SE_VIS_path_1979_2023_loop.mp4\">mp4<\/a> with a quicker playback speed. The <a href=\"http:\/\/eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov\/SEplot\/SEplot2001\/SE2024Apr08T.GIF\">expected eclipse path<\/a> is over-plotted. In addition, here is an <a href=\"https:\/\/eclipse2024.org\/eclipse_cities\/statemap.html\">interactive path plot page<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video autoplay controls loop src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/04\/SE_VIS_path_1979_2023_loop_slower.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">April 8th images from geostationary imagers from 1979 to 2023. Also shown is the April 8, 2024 eclipse path. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Also see this <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/goes\/loops\/geo_April_8ths.html\">interactive web page<\/a>, where the speed of the loop can be changed, the image annotated, etc. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/goes\/loops\/geo_April_8ths.html\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"911\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/thumbnail_april8-1024x911.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-51811\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/thumbnail_april8-1024x911.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/thumbnail_april8-300x267.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/thumbnail_april8-768x684.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/thumbnail_april8-1536x1367.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/thumbnail_april8-2048x1823.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Click on the image for an interactive web page. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Another option is this cloud <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecmwf.int\/en\/forecasts\/dataset\/ecmwf-reanalysis-v5\">climatology<\/a> by <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Climatologist49\" target=\"_blank\">Brian Brettschneider<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">366 days from today a total solar eclipse will move from southwest to northeast across the Contiguous U.S. This map show the climatological (historical) cloud coverage for April 8th during the middle of the day. [This is not a forecast.] ?? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/y4a65ZDCx9\">pic.twitter.com\/y4a65ZDCx9<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Brian Brettschneider (@Climatologist49) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Climatologist49\/status\/1644705051846541314?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 8, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(This is not a forecast.)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Another <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/56516\">cloud climatology, but from GOES<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Q: Will the NWS Weather Prediction Models include the total eclipse in their cloud forecasts? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A: We don&#8217;t know, but in 2017 certain experimental models did. Of course the cooling associated with the eclipse shadow can cause local changes to temperature, wind, cloud cover and other parameters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Q: Is there a NOAA-operated sensor to provide rapid updates of cloud cover over the US? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A: Yes, there is a GOES constellation. There are many <a href=\"http:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/goes\/goesdata.html\">web sites<\/a> (including the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov\/GOES\/conus.php?sat=G16\">GOES Viewer<\/a>) and phone apps to see realtime imagery. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"614\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/20231092051_GOES16-ABI-CONUS-Sandwich-1250x750-1-1024x614.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-51772\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/20231092051_GOES16-ABI-CONUS-Sandwich-1250x750-1-1024x614.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/20231092051_GOES16-ABI-CONUS-Sandwich-1250x750-1-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/20231092051_GOES16-ABI-CONUS-Sandwich-1250x750-1-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/20231092051_GOES16-ABI-CONUS-Sandwich-1250x750-1.jpg 1250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Example GOES-16 ABI combined visible and infrared window composite image. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Q: Isn&#8217;t there another solar eclipse coming up over the western U.S? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A: Yes, on October 14, 2023. Although that&#8217;s an annular (&#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Solar_eclipse\">ring<\/a>&#8220;) eclipse, not a total eclipse. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/33784-solar-eclipse-guide.html#section-october-14-2023-annular-solar-eclipse\">More<\/a>, including the <a href=\"https:\/\/solarsystem.nasa.gov\/eclipses\/2023\/oct-14-annular\/overview\/\">path<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Q: What might the moon&#8217;s shadow look like cast on the Earth during a total solar eclipse? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A: We have a good idea, based on previous cases from geostationary imagers, for example from <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/24751\">2017<\/a>. Or see these other examples: <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/35258\">2019<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/37321\">2020<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/39225\">2020<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/41046\">2021<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/51922\">2023<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/04\/230420_himawari9_nearInfraredVegetation_solar_eclipse_shadow_anim.mp4\">2023<\/a>). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/04\/170821_goes16_truecolor_eclipse_anim.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">CIMSS true color imagery from August of 2017 over the contiguous U.S. (<em>Click the image to animate.<\/em>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Q: Can the cooling associated with a total solar eclipse affect the cloud patterns? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A: Yes it can, especially for &#8220;fair weather&#8221; cumulus. We saw from GOES the dissipation of certain clouds during the <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/24751\">2017 event<\/a> (near St. Louis, MO).  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-video\"><video controls src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/08\/170821_goes16_visisible_STL_eclipse_cu_suppression_anim.mp4\"><\/video><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Notice some clouds dissipate in this visible satellite loop with less solar radiation associated with the 2017 total eclipse.  (<em>Click the image to animate.<\/em>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Q: Should I look at the Sun without proper eye protection? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A: No. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Q: Is 99% close enough to experience the total eclipse? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A: No. Try to get into the region of totality. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>H\/T<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These images were made using NASA and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/satellites\">NOAA<\/a> geostationary visible imagery with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/mcidas\/software\/x\/\">McIDAS-X<\/a> software, from UW-Madison, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/\">SSEC<\/a>. The images are via the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssec.wisc.edu\/datacenter\/\">SSEC Data Services<\/a>. Thanks to Jim Nelson, Mat Gunshor, Scott Bachmeier and many others, including Kaba Bah. Thanks to Tom Whittaker for the java-script webapp (interactive web page). Thanks also for the <a href=\"https:\/\/eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov\/SEgoogle\/SEgoogle2001\/SE2024Apr08Tgoogle.html\">Eclipse Predictions<\/a> by Fred Espenak, NASA&#8217;s GSFC. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Due to the total solar eclipse over parts of the contiguous U.S. on April 8, 2024, there are many wondering what the cloud cover may be then. Q: Will it be cloudy over the path of the total solar eclipse on April 8, 2024? A: We don&#8217;t know what the cloud cover will be on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":51793,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,19,11,74,69,135,103,54,61,88,99],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general-interpretation","category-goes-12","category-goes-13","category-goes-16","category-goes-3","category-goes-5","category-goes-6","category-goes-7","category-goes-8","category-sms-2","category-solar-eclipse-shadow"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51768","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51768"}],"version-history":[{"count":31,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51768\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":56572,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51768\/revisions\/56572"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/51793"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51768"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51768"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51768"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}