{"id":50765,"date":"2023-02-24T22:16:00","date_gmt":"2023-02-24T22:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/?p=50765"},"modified":"2023-02-27T16:44:56","modified_gmt":"2023-02-27T16:44:56","slug":"lightningcast-probability-and-a-glm-lightning-jump-preceding-a-tornado-warning-issued-by-nws-los-angeles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/50765","title":{"rendered":"LightningCast Probability and a GLM lightning jump preceding a Tornado Warning issued by NWS Los Angeles"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><div style=\"width: 1725px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/230224_goes18_visible_infrared_glmFlashExtentDensity_SoCal_tornado_warning_anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/ca_vis_glm-20230224_180725.png\" width=\"1715\" height=\"830\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">GOES-18 &#8220;Red&#8221; Visible (0.64 \u00b5m) and &#8220;Clean&#8221; Infrared Window (10.3 \u00b5m) images, with\/without an overlay of GLM Flash Extent Density [click to play animated GIF | <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/230224_goes18_visible_infrared_glmFlashExtentDensity_SoCal_tornado_warning_anim.mp4\"><strong>MP4<\/strong><\/a>]<\/p><\/div>1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 <em>(GOES-West) <\/em>&#8220;Red&#8221; Visible (<a href=\"http:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/goes\/OCLOFactSheetPDFs\/ABIQuickGuide_Band02.pdf\"><strong>0.64 \u00b5m<\/strong><\/a>) and &#8220;Clean&#8221; Infrared Window (<a href=\"http:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/goes\/OCLOFactSheetPDFs\/ABIQuickGuide_Band13.pdf\"><strong>10.3 \u00b5m<\/strong><\/a>) images <em><strong>(above)<\/strong><\/em>, with and without an overlay of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goes-r.gov\/spacesegment\/glm.htmlhttps:\/\/www.goes-r.gov\/spacesegment\/glm.html\"><strong>GLM<\/strong><\/a> Flash Extent Density, showed convection moving onshore in Southern California during the late morning hours on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goes-r.gov\/spacesegment\/glm.html\"><strong>24 February 2023<\/strong><\/a> &#8212; which prompted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weather.gov\/lox\/\"><strong>NWS Los Angeles<\/strong><\/a> to issue a <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/230224_klox_tornado_warning.text\"><strong>Tornado Warning<\/strong><\/a> at 1807 UTC. There was a notable lightning jump that began at 1803 UTC, 4 minutes prior to the issuance of the Tornado Warning.<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"width: 1725px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/230224_goes18_visible_glmFlashExtentDensity_lightningCast_SoCal_tornado_warning_anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/ca_vis_ltgcast-20230224_174925.png\" width=\"1715\" height=\"830\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">GOES-18 &#8220;Red&#8221; Visible (0.64 \u00b5m) images, with an overlay of GLM Flash Extent Density and contours of LightningCast Probability [click to play animated GIF | <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/230224_goes18_visible_glmFlashExtentDensity_lightningCast_SoCal_tornado_warning_anim.mp4\"><strong>MP4<\/strong><\/a>]<\/p><\/div>1-minute GOES-18 Visible images <em><strong>(above)<\/strong><\/em> include contours of <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/severe_conv\/pltg.html\"><strong>LightningCast<\/strong><\/a> Probability. Cursor-sampled maximum values of LightningCast Probability within each contour <em><strong>(below)<\/strong><\/em> indicated that while the offshore probability values were fairly low (ranging from 12% to 22%), they did begin to appear as early as <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/230224_1748utc_goes18_visible_lightningCast_CA.png\"><strong>1748 UTC<\/strong><\/a> (19 minutes prior to the Tornado Warning) &#8212; and probability values increased to a more modest 33% at <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/230224_1815utc_goes18_visible_lightningCast_CA.png\"><strong>1815 UTC<\/strong><\/a> as the tornado-warned storm moved farther inland (and the aforementioned lightning jump was still underway).<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 1930px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/230224_goes18_visible_lightningCast_cursor_sample_CA_anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/images\/2023\/02\/230224_goes18_visible_lightningCast_cursor_sample_CA_anim.gif\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">GOES-18 &#8220;Red&#8221; Visible (0.64 \u00b5m) images, with an overlay of GLM Flash Extent Density &#8212; and cursor-sampled values of LightningCast Probability [click to enlarge]<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1-minute Mesoscale Domain Sector GOES-18 (GOES-West) &#8220;Red&#8221; Visible (0.64 \u00b5m) and &#8220;Clean&#8221; Infrared Window (10.3 \u00b5m) images (above), with and without an overlay of GLM Flash Extent Density, showed convection moving onshore in Southern California during the late morning hours on 24 February 2023 &#8212; which prompted NWS Los Angeles to issue a Tornado Warning [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":50771,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[76,114,30,115,59,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-glm","category-goes-18","category-lightning","category-lightningcast","category-probsevere","category-severe-convection"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50765"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50765\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":50794,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50765\/revisions\/50794"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50771"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}