{"id":49236,"date":"2022-12-14T18:20:04","date_gmt":"2022-12-14T18:20:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/?p=49236"},"modified":"2023-10-13T19:47:12","modified_gmt":"2023-10-13T19:47:12","slug":"intensestormnet-with-severe-weather-in-the-deep-south","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/49236","title":{"rendered":"IntenseStormNet with severe weather in the deep south"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/IntenseStormNet_1536_to_1601_14December2022anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1330\" height=\"740\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/IntenseStormNet_1536_to_1601_14December2022anim.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-49237\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">RealEarth display of IntenseStormNet polygons on top of ABI Band 13, 1536 &#8211; 1601 UTC on 14 December 2022 (Click to enlarge)  (Contour colors:  Blue: 10%; Cyan: 25%; Green: 50%; Magenta:  90%)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>IntenseStormNet is a part of the ProbSevere portfolio; it relates ABI Channels 2 (0.64 \u00b5m) and 13 (10.3 \u00b5m) and GLM observations of Flash Extent Density (<a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/34480\">see this past blog post<\/a> for more information) to the likelihood that a given satellite-detected storm is severe.  (The probabilities are created from output of a Convolutional Neural Network)  The product is available in a <a href=\"https:\/\/re.ssec.wisc.edu\">RealEarth<\/a> instance <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/severe_conv\/icp.html\">at this link<\/a>.  The animation above shows several cells identified as most likely to support severe weather (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.spc.noaa.gov\/products\/outlook\/archive\/2022\/day1otlk_20221214_1630.html\">here is the 1630 UTC Convective Outlook from SPC<\/a>;  much of southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle is under an enhanced risk of Severe weather;  extreme eastern Louisiana and parts of the central Gulf Coast &#8212; including New Orleans and Mobile &#8212; is under a Moderate risk).  The most likely candidate is entering southwest Mississippi at 1601 UTC.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A tornado was actually reported just before the animation started, from that suspect cell, in Ville Platte LA, north-northwest of Lafayette, at 1523 UTC.  What did IntenseStormNet look for that storm at that time?  That&#8217;s shown below.  The tornadic storm does indeed have a very high probability!  <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/ProbSeverev3_1526_14Dec2022.png\">Here&#8217;s the ProbSevere (version 3) image for the same time<\/a>.  Read-outs for the ProbSevere output are available for that particular Object Number (#706504), available at <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/severe_conv\/plots\/PSv2v3plots.php?ID=706504\">this (temporary) link<\/a> and shown at the bottom.  Note the strong increase in ICP before the tornadic event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/IntenseStormNet_1526_14December2022cL.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/IntenseStormNet_1526_14December2022cL-1024x512.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-49241\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/IntenseStormNet_1526_14December2022cL-1024x512.png 1024w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/IntenseStormNet_1526_14December2022cL-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/IntenseStormNet_1526_14December2022cL-768x384.png 768w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/IntenseStormNet_1526_14December2022cL.png 1340w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">IntenseStormNet contours on top of GOES-16 ABI Band 13 imagery, 1526 UTC on 14 December 2022 (Click to enlarge) (Contour colors:  Blue: 10%; Cyan: 25%; Green: 50%; Magenta:  90%)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"705\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/Output706054-1024x705.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-49244\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/Output706054-1024x705.png 1024w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/Output706054-300x207.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/Output706054-768x529.png 768w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2022\/12\/Output706054.png 1371w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">ProbSevere (v2 and v3) readouts for Object Number 706504.  Click to enlarge.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>A Journal Article on this product is available <a href=\"https:\/\/journals.ametsoc.org\/view\/journals\/wefo\/35\/6\/waf-d-20-0028.1.xml\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>IntenseStormNet is a part of the ProbSevere portfolio; it relates ABI Channels 2 (0.64 \u00b5m) and 13 (10.3 \u00b5m) and GLM observations of Flash Extent Density (see this past blog post for more information) to the likelihood that a given satellite-detected storm is severe. (The probabilities are created from output of a Convolutional Neural Network) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":49241,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[74,137,151,59],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-goes-16","category-intenseconvectiveprobability","category-l2_readouts","category-probsevere"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49236","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49236"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49236\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49262,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49236\/revisions\/49262"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49241"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49236"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49236"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49236"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}