{"id":39068,"date":"2020-11-29T22:49:13","date_gmt":"2020-11-29T22:49:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/?p=39068"},"modified":"2020-11-30T17:54:09","modified_gmt":"2020-11-30T17:54:09","slug":"comparing-nucaps-temperature-values-to-forecast-fields","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/39068","title":{"rendered":"Comparing NUCAPS temperature values to forecast fields"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_39071\" style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/T850-20201129_185111.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-39071\" class=\"wp-image-39071\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/T850-20201129_185111.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"458\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/T850-20201129_185111.png 979w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/T850-20201129_185111-300x220.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/T850-20201129_185111-768x563.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-39071\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gridded NUCAPS estimates of 850-mb Temperature, 1851 UTC on 30 November 2020 (Click to enlarge)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Late November is a time when cold outbreaks can pass over relatively warm Great Lakes waters (click <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/39052\">here <\/a>for recent observations) and produce lake-effect snow. Gridded NUCAPS observations derived from NOAA-20 CrIS and ATMS data, above, shows a large area with temperatures colder than -12\u00baC over northwest Ontario and northern Minnesota, just upwind of the Great Lakes;\u00a0 Lake Superior&#8217;s surface temperature at the time was around 5\u00baC &#8212;\u00a0 a temperature difference that support lake-effect precipitation.\u00a0 How well do the NUCAPS observations compare to model predictions of the environment?<\/p>\n<p>Forecasts from the 1200 UTC run of the NAM, below, valid at 1800 UTC, and from the 1500 UTC run of the Rapid Refresh, valid at 1900 UTC, show -12\u00baC in bright magenta.\u00a0 (Model analyses taken from <a href=\"https:\/\/weather.cod.edu\/forecast\/\">this website<\/a>)\u00a0 NUCAPS analyses suggest the cold air is moving south faster than anticipated by the model.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_39069\" style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/12zNAM_18zForecast.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-39069\" class=\"wp-image-39069\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/12zNAM_18zForecast.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"490\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/12zNAM_18zForecast.png 801w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/12zNAM_18zForecast-300x235.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/12zNAM_18zForecast-768x602.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-39069\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">6-h forecast of 850-mb Temperature, valid 1800 UTC on 29 November 2020 (Click to enlarge)<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_39070\" style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/15zRap_19zForecast.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-39070\" class=\"wp-image-39070\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/15zRap_19zForecast.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"486\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/15zRap_19zForecast.png 803w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/15zRap_19zForecast-300x233.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/15zRap_19zForecast-768x598.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-39070\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">4-hour forecast of 850-mb temperature from the Rapid Refresh, valid 1900 UTC on 29 November 2020 (Click to enlarge)<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/weather.msfc.nasa.gov\/cgi-bin\/sportPublishData.pl?dataset=griddednucaps\">This site<\/a> can be used to view gridded NUCAPS fields outside of AWIPS.\u00a0 The 850-mb analysis from the pass is shown below.\u00a0 It&#8217;s important to recall that Gridded NUCAPS fields include data from all retrieved profiles &#8212; including profiles for which the infrared retrieval failed (usually in locations with thick clouds, and those from which the infrared and microwave retrievals both failed (usually in locations with rain). <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/20201129_1849_gridded_nucaps_noaa20_conus_web10_QUAL.png\">This mapping<\/a> for the temperature gridding below shows where infrared retrievals failed (yellow) and where infrared and microwave retrievals both failed (red).<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_39078\" style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/20201129_1849_gridded_nucaps_noaa20_conus_web21_T850mb.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-39078\" class=\"wp-image-39078\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/20201129_1849_gridded_nucaps_noaa20_conus_web21_T850mb.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"305\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/20201129_1849_gridded_nucaps_noaa20_conus_web21_T850mb.png 1161w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/20201129_1849_gridded_nucaps_noaa20_conus_web21_T850mb-300x147.png 300w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/20201129_1849_gridded_nucaps_noaa20_conus_web21_T850mb-1024x500.png 1024w, https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/20201129_1849_gridded_nucaps_noaa20_conus_web21_T850mb-768x375.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-39078\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">850-mb Temperature fields, 1849 UTC on 29 November 2020 (Click to enlarge)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The &#8216;yellow&#8217; points north and west of the Great Lakes were associated with clouds that are apparent in this VIIRS True Color image, taken from the UW-Madison Direct Broadcast ftp site (<a href=\"ftp:\/\/ftp.ssec.wisc.edu\/pub\/eosdb\/j01\/viirs\/\">Link<\/a>).  The clouds were associated with a departing low pressure system (<a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/sfc113020_011002.gif\">link<\/a>).<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_39081\" style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/noaa20_viirs_true_color_20201129_185043_wgs84_fit-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-39081\" class=\"wp-image-39081\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2020\/11\/noaa20_viirs_true_color_20201129_185043_wgs84_fit.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"576\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-39081\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">NOAA-20 VIIRS True-Color imagery, 1850 UTC on 29 November 2020 (Click to enlarge)<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Late November is a time when cold outbreaks can pass over relatively warm Great Lakes waters (click here for recent observations) and produce lake-effect snow. Gridded NUCAPS observations derived from NOAA-20 CrIS and ATMS data, above, shows a large area with temperatures colder than -12\u00baC over northwest Ontario and northern Minnesota, just upwind of the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":39071,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[78,83,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39068","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noaa-20","category-nucaps","category-winter-weather"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39068","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39068"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39068\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39086,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39068\/revisions\/39086"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39071"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39068"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39068"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39068"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}