{"id":25625,"date":"2017-10-07T23:59:54","date_gmt":"2017-10-07T23:59:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/?p=25625"},"modified":"2017-10-10T02:26:45","modified_gmt":"2017-10-10T02:26:45","slug":"unusual-october-tornado-in-wisconsin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/25625","title":{"rendered":"Unusual October Tornado in Wisconsin"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_25629\" style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a class=\"thumbnail\" href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/GOES16VIS_Ch02-20171007_2042_2227anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-25629\" class=\"wp-image-25629\" class=\"thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/GOES16VIS_Ch02-20171007_220721.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-25629\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">GOES-16 ABI Visible (0.64 \u00b5m) Imagery, 2042-2227 UTC on 7 October 2017 (Click to animate)<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>GOES-16 data posted on this page are preliminary, non-operational and are undergoing testing<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>October is typically not a month when tornadoes are expected in Wisconsin. (And in fact, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ustornadoes.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/total_by_month_1950-2011.gif\">the month ranks fourth in the numbers of fewest tornadoes nationwide<\/a>). Nevertheless, a brief tornado occurred on the east side of Madison WI late in the afternoon on 7 October (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.weather.gov\/mkx\/tor100717\">NWS Milwaukee\/Sullivan<\/a>). The visible animation, above, from GOES-16, shows a thin line of weak convection moving through the central part of the state.  A slower animation centered on the reported time of the tornado (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.spc.noaa.gov\/climo\/reports\/171007_rpts.html\">2200 UTC<\/a>), is below.  The dynamic state of the thunderstorm tops is apparent, and the 5-minute time-step may not be sufficient to resolve the small time-scale changes in the tornadic storm (the two GOES-16 Mesoscale sectors that provide 1-minute imagery were covering the pending <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/archives\/25616\">landfall of Hurricane Nate<\/a> at this time, and were giving severe weather support to Puerto Rico, radar-less in the wake of Hurricane Maria).<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a class=\"thumbnail\" href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/GOES16VIS_Ch02-20171007_2152_2222stepanim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/GOES16VIS_Ch02-20171007_2152_2222stepanim.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">GOES-16 ABI Visible (0.64 \u00b5m) Imagery, 2152-2222 UTC on 7 October 2017 (Click to enlarge)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The Clean Window Channel, below, with the default AWIPS enhancement, shows little cloud-top structure.  <\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a class=\"thumbnail\" href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/GOES16ABI_Ch13_Defl-20171007_2002_2302anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/GOES16ABI_Ch13_Defl-20171007_220721.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">GOES-16 ABI Infrared (10.3 \u00b5m) Imagery, 1917-2302 UTC on 7 October 2017, default enhancement (Click to animate)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Coldest cloud-top brightness temperatures with this event were in the -15\u00ba to -20\u00ba C range, and the default enhancement (with a range from -109\u00ba to 55\u00ba) showed little gradation in that range.  By changing the coldest temperature in the enhancement from -109\u00ba C to -43\u00ba C, however, a structure in the cold clouds emerged, as shown below.  Do not be afraid to change enhancements!<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a class=\"thumbnail\" href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/GOES16ABI_Ch13_Adj-20171007_2002_2302anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/GOES16ABI_Ch13_Adj-20171007_220721.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"488\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">GOES-16 ABI Infrared (10.3 \u00b5m) Imagery, 1917-2302 UTC on 7 October 2017, adjusted enhancement (Click to animate)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The NOAA\/CIMSS ProbSevere products for this event is shown below (from <a href=\"http:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/severe_conv\/probsevtest.html\">this site<\/a>).  ProbTor values were negligible;  however, ProbWind values for the tornadic cell were around 20-24% leading up to the event.  In addition, the cell that produced the tornado <em>had the highest probabilities in the identified cells along the line of convection.<\/em>  The single exception occurred at 2235 UTC, after the severe weather event, when the cell to the north briefly (for only five minutes) <a href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/ProbTor_2235N_7Oct2017.gif\">showed Probabilities exceeding 40%<\/a>.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 635px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a class=\"thumbnail\" href=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/ProbTor_2130_2235_7Oct2017anim.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2017\/10\/ProbTor_2130_2235_7Oct2017anim.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"588\" \/><\/a><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">NOAA\/CIMSS ProbTor, 2130-2235 UTC on 7 October 2017 (Click to enlarge)<\/p><\/div>\n<p><center><br \/>\n============================== Added =============================<br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The National Weather Service in<a href=\"http:\/\/www.weather.gov\/mkx\"> Milwaukee\/Sullivan WI<\/a> determined that the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.weather.gov\/mkx\/tor100717\">tornado was an EF-0 based on a damage assessment<\/a>.  They provided radar imagery at the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.weather.gov\/images\/mkx\/top-news\/2017\/100717\/tor-beginning.png\">start of the tornado<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.weather.gov\/images\/mkx\/top-news\/2017\/100717\/tor2202.png\">during the tornado<\/a>, at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.weather.gov\/images\/mkx\/top-news\/2017\/100717\/tor2206.png\">its end<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.weather.gov\/images\/mkx\/top-news\/2017\/100717\/tor2211.png\">after dissipation<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>GOES-16 data posted on this page are preliminary, non-operational and are undergoing testing October is typically not a month when tornadoes are expected in Wisconsin. (And in fact, the month ranks fourth in the numbers of fewest tornadoes nationwide). Nevertheless, a brief tornado occurred on the east side of Madison WI late in the afternoon [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":25630,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[74,59,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-goes-16","category-probsevere","category-severe-convection"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25625"}],"version-history":[{"count":18,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25625\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25674,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25625\/revisions\/25674"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25630"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cimss.ssec.wisc.edu\/satellite-blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}