WXTLIST WMO=ABIO10 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 2009326 1924 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /221800Z-231800ZNOV2009// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.4S 56.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5S 54.7E, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONSOLIDATING DEEP CONVECTION OVER AN ELONGATED (NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST) LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 221522Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS THE THE MAIN CONVECTIVE BAND TO THE NORTH OF THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS SLIGHTLY EQUATORWARD OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE AND IS IN AN AREA OF MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, A SERIES OF TRANSITING MID-LATITUDE TROUGHS ARE SERVING TO ENHANCE THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. DUE TO INCREASING ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.// WXTLIST: done