This statistical model predicts the probability that a storm will produce severe weather in the near-term (in the next 60 min).
ProbSevere inputs include: GOES-EAST, GOES-WEST, RAP NWP, MRMS severe weather products, and total lightning (see one-pager).

For more information, please see the links below or read about the ProbSevere model on the CIMSS Satellite Blog and on the GOES-R Proving Ground Blog

*Periodic outages or large latency of NCEP MRMS data may cause delays in ProbSevere output.*


RealEarth

Driven by SSEC RealEarth™             Please contact the webmaster for questions or suggestions on this page.


NWP model grids Training and Additional Model Information NWS Data Access Daily Accumulation

Data from NOAA satellites, radars, and numerical weather prediction models were used to generate the layers on this page and the images on pages herein. DO NOT USE for any purpose pertaining to the protection of life and/or property. Do not reproduce or disseminate without consent of University of Wisconsin-Madison CIMSS/SSEC. For more information about this product, please contact us.
Mike Pavolonis John Cintineo Justin Sieglaff Dan Lindsey