A better view of the offshore ice (as well as the ice in central Hudson Bay, northeast of the aforementioned mesoscale low) was provided by Suomi NPP VIIRS true-color and false-color images, visulized using the SSEC RealEarth web map server (below). In the false-color image, snow cover and ice appear as darker shades of cyan.A comparison of Canadian Ice Service analyses from 16 November and 23 November (below) showed the growth of the offshore ice along the western and northwestern edges of Hudson Bay, as well as the larger area of ice growing southward in the central portion of Hudson Bay during that 1-week period. The departure from normal images at the bottom indicated that ice concentration along the western and northwestern edges was well below normal (red), while the concentration of the large area of ice in central Hudson Bay was greater than normal (blue). ]]>
*Update #2: * **Effective immediately; all the GOES-13 (GOES-East)
sounding products are ceased to produce and stop distribution as we are
experiencing an anomaly with the sounder instrument. Engineers are
investigating the problem. We will inform you when we resume our normal
*Update #1: * GOES-13 (GOES-East) Sounder IR Data Outage
*Topic:* GOES-13 (GOES-East) Sounder IR Data Products Outage
*Date/Time**Issued:*November 20, 2015 1955Z*
*Product(s) or Data Impacted:*
GOES-13 (GOES-East) Sounder data
Blended Hydrometorological Products – Blended TPW
Microwave AWIPS Products – Blended TPW
Microwave McIDAS Products – Blended TPW
GOES Gridded Cloud Product
GOES VARiable data
AFEP/Ingestor – GOES
Single Field of View BUFR
Single Field of View SDPI for AWIPS
Single Field of View TPW
Sounding ASOS SCSP
*Date/Time of Initial Impact:*November 20, 2015 0922Z **
*Date/Time of Expected End:* TBD
*Length of Outage:* TBD
*Details/Specifics of Change:*GOES-13 (GOES-East) Sounder instrumentis experiencing an anomaly. Engineers are investigating the problem. GOES-13 Sounder IR data is not available. **Effective immediately all the GOES-13 (GOES-East) sounding products are ceased to produce and stop distribution as we are experiencing an anomaly with the sounder instrument. Engineers are investigating the problem. We will inform you when we will resume our normal operations.
The corresponding 4-km resolution GOES-15 Infrared (10.7 µm) images (below) revealed that cloud-top IR brightness temperatures quickly cooled from -23º C at 2130 UTC to -42º C at 2200 UTC.There was a 30-minute gap in GOES-15 coverage from 2100 to 2130 UTC (due to a full disk scan), but a comparison of 1-km resolution NOAA-19 AVHRR Visible (0.63 µm) and Infrared (10.8 µm) caught the very early growth of the tornado-producing storm at 2115 UTC (below). The cloud-top IR brightness temperatures were as cold as -23º C at that time, indicating a high probability that cloud glaciation had begun. A timely overpass of the Suomi NPP satellite allowed a comparison of 375-meter resolution VIIRS Visible (0.64 µm) and Infrared (11.45 µm) images during the time that the tornado was srill on the ground (below). Once again, the strong slant of the storms due to increasing wind speeds aloft allowed the western/southwestern sides of the thunderstorm clouds to be brightly illuminated on the visible image. The coldest cloud-top IR brightness temperature was -51º C (yellow color enhancement), which was just shy of the -53º C tropopause temperature reported on the Oakland rawinsonde report at 12 UTC. A VIIRS true-color image of the storm visualized using RealEarth is shown below. The actual satellite overpass time was around 2151 UTC. GOES-15 sounder Lifted Index (LI) derived product images (below) showed the pockets of post-frontal instability over central California — LI values less than -4 C were seen (yellow color enhancement). ]]>
The Storm Prediction Center has revised its criteria for initiating GOES Rapid Scan Operations (RSO) calls. Previously, RSO was automatically activated when a Moderate Risk (MDT) appeared in the SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook. On October 1st that was changed per a September email from SPC:
Starting October 1, the SPC Lead Forecaster will contact the NCO/SDM to request GOES RSO whenever a Day 1 Convective Outlook includes an ENH Risk area. Data from the first six months of 2015 suggests SPC would request RSO on approximately 10-20 more days compared to the current MDT Risk criterion. Activating RSO on a more frequent basis using the ENH Risk criterion would improve NWS forecaster situational awareness on convectively active days and help prepare users for much higher temporal frequency GOES-R data.
An Enhanced Risk was issued on 11 November 2015 as a strong extratropical cyclone was developing over the midsection of the country. The image above shows the GOES-13 Water vapor imagery from 1145 UTC on 11 November. A strong jet extends from the southwestern United States northeastward. On the previous day (10 November, at 12 UTC) Albuquerque reported 135-knot winds at 300 hPa (and no winds at all at 200 hPa as the balloon was lost to the tracker); at 00 UTC on 11 November, winds were 162 knots just above the 250 hPa level. Strong veering, indicating warm advection, is apparent over the mid-Mississippi River Valley. Low-level warm advection is forecast to increase as the extratropical cyclone intensifies.
Update: GOES-East began RSO at 1545 UTC on 11 November 2015 — a few image animations are shown below.Of particular interest on 6.5 µm water vapor imagery, above, was the tightly-wrapped signature of the middle-tropospheric vorticity center moving northeastward along the Kansas/Nebraska border. The 10.7 µm Infrared images, above, showed the development of thunderstorms across Iowa which exhibited cloud-top IR brightness temperatures in the -50 to -60º C range (yellow to red color enhancement). Hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes were produced by these areas of deep convection (SPC storm reports). 3.9 µm Shortwave Infrared images, above, displayed numerous “hot spots” (black to yellow to red color enhancement) due to fire activity in parts of northeastern Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas. Finally, 0.63 µm Visible channel images, above, showed the hazy signature of smoke plumes from these Kansas/Oklahoma fires (along with a separate plume of blowing dust). In addition, as clouds cleared along the western edge of the storm, swaths of fresh snow cover could be seen over portions of Wyoming, Colorado, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas. As much as 12.5 inches of snow was reported in northeastern Colorado, with wind gusts of 75 mph creating blizzard conditions. ]]>
Since the first operational geostationary weather satellites (SMS-1 and SMS-2) were relatively new back in 1975, the CIMSS Regional Assimilation System (CRAS) model was utilized to generate synthetic Infrared (IR) satellite images to provide a general idea of what the satellite imagery might have looked like for this intense storm. The 48-hour sequence of synthetic CRAS IR images (below) shows the evolution of the model-derived cloud features at 1-hour intervals.Additional information about this Edmond Fitzgerald storm can be seen on this website and this lecture, as well as the NWS Marquette and this journal article.
A strong storm of similar character developed over the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes region on 9-11 November 1998. GOES-8 (GOES-East) Infrared (10.7 µm) and Water Vapor (6.7 µm) images of this 1998 storm are shown below (and are also available as YouTube videos). This storm set all-time minimum barometric pressure records for the state of Minnesota, with 962 mb (28.43″) recorded at Albert Lea and Austin in southern Minnesota. On the cold side of the storm, up to 12.5 inches of snow fell at Sioux Falls in southeastern South Dakota. Wind gusts were as high as 64 mph in Minnesota and 94 mph in Wisconsin.]]>
GOES-13 Visible Imagery, above, shows Tropical Storm Kate northeast of the Bahamas late in the day on 9 November. The storm is over a region of warm sea surface temperatures, below (imagery from the CIMSS Tropical Weather Site), in an environment of low shear. RapidScat winds show winds between 35 and 40 knots to the northeast of the storm center. The projected path is also shown, paralleling the East Coast before moving out to sea. The path takes the storm north of Bermuda as well.
Suomi NPP viewed the storm as well, shortly after noon on 9 November. The Visible (0.64 µm), near-infrared (1.61 µm) and 11.35 µm imagery are shown below. The 1.61 imagery shows darker returns over ice clouds because of absorption at that wavelength. The extensive cirrus shield over Kate’s convection (and along the East Coast is association with frontal system) is readily apparent. Water-based clouds, in contrast, are bright white in both the visible and near-infrared channels.
ASCAT winds from 0230 UTC on 10 November (below) also show strongest winds on the northern and eastern sides of the storm.
Kate was upgraded to a minimal Hurricane at 0900 UTC on 11 November.]]>
A GOES-R volcanic ash height product (derived using Himawari-8 AHI data) from the SSEC Volcanic Cloud Monitoring site indicated that the plume reached heights of 10 km (dark blue color enhancement) at times during the 03-04 October period (below).McIDAS-V images of Suomi NPP VIIRS Day/Night Band (0.7 µm), near-IR (1.6 µm), shortwave IR (3.74 µm), and IR (11.45 µm) images (below, courtesy of William Straka, SSEC) showed the hot spot and nighttime glow of the summit of the Rinjani volcano at 1733 UTC on 04 November. ]]>
Cyclone Chapala continued its unusual approach towards Yemen on the southwestern edge of the Arabian Peninsula. Early on 2 November, the storm has passed just north of the Island of Socotra and entered the Gulf of Aden. METOP-B overflew the storm at ~0615 UTC on 2 November; Visible and Infrared data, above, show a still-compact storm with an obvious eye ringed by cold cloud tops (the coldest brightness temperatures are near -75º C) tucked into the mouth of the Gulf of Aden. Wind shear in the region is very low and sea-surface temperatures are warm. The morphed microwave imagery, below (taken from this site), indicates that the eyewall brushed the island of Socotra as it passed (a comparison of Meteosat-7 Infrared and DMSP SSMIS microwave images around 15 UTC on 01 November can be seen here).
Subsequent microwave imagery, below, for the 24 hours ending 1200 UTC on 2 November (the image below overlaps the one above) show a decrease in the eyewall structure and intensity.
Satellite-based intensity estimates at around 0000 UTC on 2 November (link) suggest a central mean sea-level pressure around 940 mb with sustained winds near 120 knots. The 0000 UTC Meteosat-7 image is shown below.
Suomi NPP overflew the region shortly after 2100 UTC on 1 November, and the Day/Night Band imagery from VIIRS is shown below, toggled with the 11.45 µm Infrared imagery. The storm is centered just northwest of Socotra; mesovortices are evident within the eye, as are overshooting tops in the eyewall convection; the bright streak seen on the Day/Night Band image is a region of the western eyewall illuminated by intense lightning activity. Zoomed-out versions of the imagery are available here for Day/Night Band and here for 11.45 µm Infrared. (VIIRS Imagery courtesy William Straka, SSEC/CIMSS).
A comparison of Meteosat-7 Infrared and DMSP SSMIS Microwave images around 1530 UTC on 2 November, below, showed the northern edge of the eyewall very near to the coast of Yemen.
At landfall, below, as viewed by Suomi NPP’s VIIRS instrument and a timely overpass, the eye of the storm had filled. The change in storm structure prior to landfall was very apparent in this toggle of two METOP Infrared images, at 0558 and 1644 UTC on 2 November. However, Meteosat-7 Infrared images showed that there was a large convective burst that developed as Chapala made landfall. Chapala was the first tropical cyclone on record to make landfall in Yemen while still at hurricane intensity.A 6-day animation of the storm using VIIRS true-color imagery from RealEarth can be seen here. Cyclone Chapala is also discussed in this blog post.
===== 05 November Update =====
A 14-day animation of UK Met Office OSTIA Sea Surface Temperature, below, reveals the cold wake of upwelling water (yellow color enhancement) following the passage of Hurricane Chapala.]]>