Satellite Observations of a strong Nor’easter

November 12th, 2009 |

WVLoop_12Nov09

A strong storm is bringing high winds and rain to the east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward to New Jersey. This dangerous weather will persist through tomorrow. The weather results from the combination of the extratropically transitioned remnants of Ida — over southern North Carolina — and a strong high pressure system over New England. (See a surface analysis here). Various satellite-derived products can be used to explore this system.

Consider the water vapor loop above. Towards the end of the loop, features in the vapor are developing and moving westward over Virginia and North Carolina. That observation combined with the continued eastward motion in the water vapor signal over the southeast part of the US suggests the formation of a closed circulation. Such a development will slow the eastward progression of the system, prolonging the period of stormy weather on the coast.

Blended_TPW_20091112_0857

Satellite observations of total precipitable water (a blended product from AMSU and SSM/I on the NOAA series of Polar Orbiters) show large values — greater than 200% of normal — over the eastern United States. Superimposed near-surface winds from the QuikScat scatterometer show a broad region of gale-force winds over the Ocean. The long fetch of the wind over open ocean will allow large waves to develop. (A zoomed-in version of the QuikScat winds, here, includes a 57-knot wind with a rain flag of only 1% — meaning it’s a “good” wind. Peak surface wind gusts from reporting stations on land at this time included 44 knots at Norfolk, Virginia, 43 knots at Wallops Island, Virginia, and 42 knots at Elizabeth City, NC). The long duration of the storm event and the winds will exacerbate matters. A loop of precipitable water derived from SSMI and AMSRE (here) shows the tropical origins of the moisture over the eastern part of the United States, and also the movement of more moisture in from the east.

RRloop

Abundant moisture is leading to large rainfalls. Rainfall rates are estimated using data from the AMSU instrument on the NOAA series of POES spacecraft. There are numerous pixels in the short loop above, including suggesting rains exceeding 20 mm per hour. There is also a westward drift suggested in the loop.

Visible image loops (rocking loops) from GOES-12 and GOES-14 show the westward drift of clouds into western Virginia and the Carolinas as the system starts to close off. A near-surface circulation center can also be inferred over southern North Carolina.

Enhanced turbidity of waters along the Gulf Coast

November 12th, 2009 |
MODIS true color images (30 September, 01 November, 10 November)

MODIS true color images (30 September, 01 November, 10 November)

A sequence of three MODIS true color images from the SSEC MODIS Today site (above) showed an increasing level of turbidity of the water along the Gulf Coast — the 3 images are from 30 September, 01 November, and 10 November 2009. This increase in turbidity can be directly attributed to the runoff of sediment-rich water due to heavy precipitation across much of the Gulf Coast states from late October into early November, as shown in the 14-day observed precipitation map (below). Special thanks to Steve Davis and Jeff Craven at the National Weather Service forecast office at Milwaukee/Sullivan for creating/capturing these images and bringing this case to our attention!

14-day observed precipitation

14-day observed precipitation

AWIPS images of the MODIS Sea Surface Temperature (SST) product (below) showed that the Gulf of Mexico immediately offshore was significantly colder due to this discharge of sediment-rich water from rivers draining from the Gulf Coast states — SST values were in the low to mid 60s F (darker green colors) right along the coast, compared to the mid 70s to near 80º F (darker red colors) farther offshore.

MODIS Sea Surface Temperature product (November 10 - 12)

MODIS Sea Surface Temperature product (November 10 - 12)