Archive for the ‘AVHRR’ Category

Satellite Observations of a strong Nor’easter

Thursday, November 12th, 2009

WVLoop_12Nov09

A strong storm is bringing high winds and rain to the east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward to New Jersey. This dangerous weather will persist through tomorrow. The weather results from the combination of the extratropically transitioned remnants of Ida — over southern North Carolina — and a strong high pressure system over New England. (See a surface analysis here). Various satellite-derived products can be used to explore this system.

Consider the water vapor loop above. Towards the end of the loop, features in the vapor are developing and moving westward over Virginia and North Carolina. That observation combined with the continued eastward motion in the water vapor signal over the southeast part of the US suggests the formation of a closed circulation. Such a development will slow the eastward progression of the system, prolonging the period of stormy weather on the coast.

Blended_TPW_20091112_0857

Satellite observations of total precipitable water (a blended product from AMSU and SSM/I on the NOAA series of Polar Orbiters) show large values — greater than 200% of normal — over the eastern United States. Superimposed near-surface winds from the QuikScat scatterometer show a broad region of gale-force winds over the Ocean. The long fetch of the wind over open ocean will allow large waves to develop. (A zoomed-in version of the QuikScat winds, here, includes a 57-knot wind with a rain flag of only 1% — meaning it’s a “good” wind. Peak surface wind gusts from reporting stations on land at this time included 44 knots at Norfolk, Virginia, 43 knots at Wallops Island, Virginia, and 42 knots at Elizabeth City, NC). The long duration of the storm event and the winds will exacerbate matters. A loop of precipitable water derived from SSMI and AMSRE (here) shows the tropical origins of the moisture over the eastern part of the United States, and also the movement of more moisture in from the east.

RRloop

Abundant moisture is leading to large rainfalls. Rainfall rates are estimated using data from the AMSU instrument on the NOAA series of POES spacecraft. There are numerous pixels in the short loop above, including suggesting rains exceeding 20 mm per hour. There is also a westward drift suggested in the loop.

Visible image loops (rocking loops) from GOES-12 and GOES-14 show the westward drift of clouds into western Virginia and the Carolinas as the system starts to close off. A near-surface circulation center can also be inferred over southern North Carolina.

Hurricane Rick at Category Five Intensity

Monday, October 19th, 2009

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Rick, shown above near peak intensity at sunset on 17 October 2009, is the second strongest hurricanes on record in the eastern Pacific — weaker only than 1997’s Linda. Sustained winds at this time were estimated to be 180 miles per hour, and the central sea level pressure was estimated to be 906 mb. Note in the visible imagery the presence of gravity waves in the cirrus shield that makes up the central dense overcast (CDO). In addition, as noted in the Tropical Prediction Center discussion issued near this time, the stadium effect in the Hurricane eye is readily apparent.

Rick formed out of a tropical disturbance southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec (a loop of 3-hourly water vapor imagery here, and a loop of 6-hourly 11-micron imagery here show an interesting flare-up of convection in the Gulf of Tehuantepec in the days before Rick formed. It is worth pondering how that convection influenced Rick’s early and rapid growth). The evolution from strong tropical depression (here, at 2100 UTC on 15 October) to minimal hurricane (here, at 1500 UTC on 16 October) to category 4 hurricane (here, at 1500 UTC on 17 October to category 5 hurricane, above, was rapid indeed and speaks to the ideal environment through which the disturbance traveled. Consider the image below from the CIMSS Tropical Weather Website.

MPI

The image shows that the theoretical minimum to the central pressure in the region through which the system traveled was below 880 mb! (This value is a function of sea surface temperature, and of atmospheric thermodynamic profiles as described here. Note that Rick was moving across ocean waters with surface temperatures close to 30 C as it intensified rapidly. Wind shear as the storm rapidly intensified time was also very low (as diagnosed by Satellite winds). Very warm ocean waters and low vertical wind shear are key ingredients in allowing the strengthening of tropical systems.

The ideal environment resulted in a category 5 storm with a very tall circular ring of convection around the eye. The GOES-11 10.7-micron image, below, shows temperatures of nearly -80 C (the purple pixels within the grey) in the tallest convection around the eye.

RICKIR

(Added: Note in the water vapor and infrared imagery loops, above, the presence of what looks to be a binocular-shaped eye. This is an artifact of the interpolation used to blend GOES-12 and GOES-11 imagery to combine one cohesive picture. In individual images from either satellite, only a single eye is present).

RICK_NOAA19_CH4

Polar orbiting satellites, such as NOAA-19, give high-resolution images of the storm. The 10.8-micron example above, from 2020 UTC on 17 October, as the storm neared its peak intensity, shows pixels northwest of the storm center (this NOAA-19 pass is ascending, so north is towards the bottom of the image) with brightness temperatures of -84 C. Note also the more circular aspect ratio that comes from the polar-orbiter’s more top-down view, versus the Geostationary satellite’s oblique view. Visible imagery, below, at 0.65 and 0.86 microns, from the NOAA-19 AVHRR instrument, show better storm structure as well.

RICK_NOAA19_CH1

RICK_NOAA19_CH2

MODIS imagery from the Terra and Aqua satellites can also be used to investigate the storm. Unfortunately for this storm, the Aqua overpass granule split was right across the storm eye (granules are created so that the vast amount of data created by the satellite are more easily transportable). Gluing the two images together does not re-capture all the missed points, but it does give a good representation of the storm intensity here. A later MODIS image from TERRA, below, from 1755 UTC on 18 October (that is, about a day after the image from Aqua), below, shows a somewhat cloudier, but still quite distinct, eye. At this point, Rick has passed its peak in intensity.

MODISRICK

(added: Jesse at Accu-Weather has other imagery of Rick here).